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On Holding AG (ONON) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $37.00: Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

On Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, develops and distributes performance sports products under the On brand in Switzerland, the rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the United States, the rest of the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company offers athletic... Read more

$37.00+27.9% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#3 of 7 Footwear & Accessories
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.89%
Stop $34.73Target $47.77(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$53.07+43.4%26 analysts
$47.77our TP
$37.00price
$53.07mean
$24
$86

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $37.00: Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — On Holding AG

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.1
P/E (Fwd)17.5
Mkt Cap$12.7B
EV/EBITDA26.0
Profit Mgn8.0%
ROE15.5%
Rev Growth14.5%
Beta2.09
DividendNone
Rating analysts35

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.96neutral
IV64%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.4
Bollinger
1.5
52w Position
2.2
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.5>=5.5A.R:R 1.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $31.62Resistance $38.30

Price Targets

$35
$48
A.Upside+29.1%
A.R:R1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts35
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$53

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-11 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ONON stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $37.00: Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 59. Prior stop was $34.73. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ONON stock price target?

Take-profit target: $47.77 (+27.9% upside). Prior stop was $34.73. Stop-loss: $34.73.

What are the risks of investing in ONON?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.5%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ONON overvalued or undervalued?

On Holding AG trades at a P/E of 40.1 (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ONON?

35 analysts cover ONON with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $53.

What does On Holding AG do?On Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, develops and distributes performance sports products under the On brand...

On Holding AG, together with its subsidiaries, develops and distributes performance sports products under the On brand in Switzerland, the rest of Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the United States, the rest of the Americas, and the Asia-Pacific. The company offers athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories for performance running, performance outdoor, performance all day, performance training, performance tennis, and young movers. It sells its products to athletes and active customers through wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels; run specialty, general sporting goods, outdoor, luxury, street fashion, and lifestyle retailers; owned retail stores; and e-commerce platforms. On Holding AG was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.

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