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Crocs, Inc. (CROX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Footwear & Accessories

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $94.41. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $100.35. Engine's entry $94.41 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5.

Crocs, Inc. designs and sells casual lifestyle footwear globally through two segments: Crocs Brand (iconic clog and sandal products) and HEYDUDE Brand (lightweight loafer silhouettes). Revenue is from wholesale, retail, and digital channels; digital was 37.8% of consolidated... Read more

$100.35+14.9% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#7 of 7 Footwear & Accessories
Entry $94.41(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $86.03Target $110.90(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1Setup A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$109.67+9.3%12 analysts
$110.90our TP
$100.35price
$109.67mean
$84
$135

Wait for pullback to $94.41. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $100.35. Engine's entry $94.41 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.03% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.1
Mkt Cap$5.0B
EV/EBITDA6.7
Profit Mgn-2.0%
ROE-5.2%
Rev Growth-3.2%
Beta1.54
DividendNone
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.10bearish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$50-50.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMSupplierlargest Crocs Brand third-party manufacturer (Vietnam)45%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our largest third-party manufacturer for the Crocs Brand, with the majority of operations in Vietnam, produced approximately 45%, 50%, and 47% of our production during the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -3.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.7
Declining revenue: -3%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.7

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
8.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-MA but MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $81.13Resistance $113.16

Price Targets

$86
$94
$111
A.Upside+10.5%
A.R:R-0.3:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.2% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CROX stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $94.41. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $100.35. Engine's entry $94.41 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $110.90 (+10.5%), stop $86.03 (−16.6%), Setup A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CROX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $110.90 (+14.9% upside). Target $110.90 (+10.5%), stop $86.03 (−16.6%), Setup A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $86.03.

What are the risks of investing in CROX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 2.0), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.03% of cap).

Is CROX overvalued or undervalued?

Crocs, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about CROX?

23 analysts cover CROX with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $110.

What does Crocs, Inc. do?Crocs, Inc. designs and sells casual lifestyle footwear globally through two segments: Crocs Brand (iconic clog and...

Crocs, Inc. designs and sells casual lifestyle footwear globally through two segments: Crocs Brand (iconic clog and sandal products) and HEYDUDE Brand (lightweight loafer silhouettes). Revenue is from wholesale, retail, and digital channels; digital was 37.8% of consolidated revenues in 2025, with international comprising 48.6% of Crocs Brand revenues.

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