National Fuel Gas Company (NFG) Stock Analysis
Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
Wait for pullback to $81.52. At $86.51 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $81.52 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.
National Fuel Gas is a diversified natural gas company with three segments: Integrated Upstream and Gathering (Seneca E&P, ~4.98 TCF proved reserves in Marcellus/Utica), Pipeline and Storage, and Utility (~756,000 customers in western New York and Pennsylvania). Revenue comes... Read more
Wait for pullback to $81.52. At $86.51 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $81.52 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomercustomers of Seneca (concentrated risk)10-K Item 1A: 'Certain customers of Seneca can represent a concentrated risk from time to time.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Wait for pullback to $81.52. At $86.51 the A.R:R is 0.2:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $81.52 (Rr Min Solve Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $87.55 (+1.2%), stop $77.38 (−11.8%), Setup A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $87.55 (+7.6% upside). Target $87.55 (+1.2%), stop $77.38 (−11.8%), Setup A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $77.38.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.
National Fuel Gas Company trades at a P/E of 12.3 (forward 10.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).
8 analysts cover NFG with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $103.
What does National Fuel Gas Company do?National Fuel Gas is a diversified natural gas company with three segments: Integrated Upstream and Gathering (Seneca...
National Fuel Gas is a diversified natural gas company with three segments: Integrated Upstream and Gathering (Seneca E&P, ~4.98 TCF proved reserves in Marcellus/Utica), Pipeline and Storage, and Utility (~756,000 customers in western New York and Pennsylvania). Revenue comes from natural gas production, interstate transportation, storage, and distribution.