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TGSTransportadora de Gas del Sur SSell6.0·$23.25
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Transportadora de Gas del Sur offers high quality (9/9 Piotroski, wide moat, 27% margins) at a forward P/E of 8.6x with 50.7% upside to the analyst target, but three straight earnings misses, negative cash conversion and a confirmed downtrend weigh on it.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Wide Moat↓Deteriorating
  • Cheap Valuation Large Upside↓Deteriorating
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Transportadora de Gas del Sur S (TGS) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $23.25 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum.

Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. engages in transportation of natural gas, and production and commercialization of natural gas liquids in Argentina and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Natural Gas Transportation Services; Liquids Production and... Read more

$23.25+53.4% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#15 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield-1903.97%
Stop $21.64Analyst target $35.67(−13% haircut)A.R:R 5.6:1
Analyst consensus$41.00+76.3%8 analysts with price targets
$35.67Analyst target
$23.25price
$41.00mean
$54

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $23.25 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 112d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 30, 2026
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 25, 2027112d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
High-quality business
Risks
Consecutive earnings misses (3)
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)8.7
P/E (Fwd)8.5
Mkt Cap$3.5B
EV/EBITDA-0.3
Profit Mgn26.6%
ROE13.7%
Rev Growth24.8%
Beta-0.53
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings6

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV61%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
8.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 5.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 112d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
33 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $22.31Resistance $27.25

Price Targets

$22
$36
A.Upside+53.4%
A.R:R5.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier -1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-25 (112d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TGS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $23.25 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $21.64. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TGS stock price target?

Analyst target: $35.67 (+53.4% upside). Prior stop was $21.64. Stop-loss: $21.64.

What are the risks of investing in TGS?

Consecutive earnings misses (3); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is TGS overvalued or undervalued?

Transportadora de Gas del Sur S trades at a P/E of 8.7 (forward 8.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TGS?

6 analysts rate TGS, with a consensus score of 4.3/5. 8 analysts publish price targets averaging $41.

What does Transportadora de Gas del Sur S do?Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. engages in transportation of natural gas, and production and commercialization of...

Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. engages in transportation of natural gas, and production and commercialization of natural gas liquids in Argentina and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Natural Gas Transportation Services; Liquids Production and Commercialization; Midstream; and Telecommunications. The Natural Gas Transportation segment transports natural gas through pipeline system to distribution companies, power plants, and industrial customers. It provides operation and maintenance services for the natural gas transportation facilities. The Liquids Production and Commercialization segment produces and commercializes natural gas liquids, such as ethane, liquid petroleum gas, natural gasoline, propane, and butane. This segment offers certain related services comprising reception, storage, and dispatch of the liquids. The Midstream segment provides natural gas conditioning services; treatment, removal of impurities and natural gas compression, including the collection and transport of natural gas; and inspection and maintenance of pipelines and compressor plants services. In addition, this segment offers steam generation for electricity production and management services for expansion works and steam generation for the production of electricity. The Telecommunications segment offers data transmission services through a network of digital terrestrial radio relay. It serves residential, commercial, industrial, and electric power generation end users. The company was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Transportadora de Gas del Sur S.A. operates as a subsidiary of Compañía de Inversiones de Energía S.A.

Related stocks: DEC (Diversified Energy Company) · YPF (YPF Sociedad Anonima) · EC (Ecopetrol S.A.) · NFG (National Fuel Gas Company)
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