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Suncor Energy Inc. (SU) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $68.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.4% away).

Suncor Energy Inc. operates as an integrated energy company in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through Oil Sands; Exploration and Production; and Refining and Marketing segments. The Oil Sands segment produces bitumen; and markets, supplies,... Read more

$68.08-2.0% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#8 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
Stop $65.04Target $66.70(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1
Analyst target$61.66-9.4%3 analysts
$66.70our TP
$68.08price
$61.66mean
$52
$75

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $68.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (-0.4% away)
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.8
P/E (Fwd)12.8
Mkt Cap$79.9B
EV/EBITDA6.1
Profit Mgn12.1%
ROE13.2%
Rev Growth-3.9%
Beta0.60
Dividend2.60%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.35bearish
IV49%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.0
52w Position
10.0
GatesA.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $59.27Resistance $68.06

Price Targets

$65
$67
A.Upside-2.0%
A.R:R-1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-23.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SU stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $68.08, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $66.70 (-2.0%), stop $65.04 (−4.7%), A.R:R -1.8:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $66.70 (-2.0% upside). Target $66.70 (-2.0%), stop $65.04 (−4.7%), A.R:R -1.8:1. Stop-loss: $65.04.

What are the risks of investing in SU?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (-0.4% away); Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is SU overvalued or undervalued?

Suncor Energy Inc. trades at a P/E of 18.8 (forward 12.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about SU?

28 analysts cover SU with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $62.

What does Suncor Energy Inc. do?Suncor Energy Inc. operates as an integrated energy company in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The...

Suncor Energy Inc. operates as an integrated energy company in Canada, the United States, and internationally. The company operates through Oil Sands; Exploration and Production; and Refining and Marketing segments. The Oil Sands segment produces bitumen; and markets, supplies, and transports and manages crude oil, power, and byproducts. The Exploration and Production segment is involved in the offshore operations on the east coast of Canada, and onshore assets in Libya and Syria; and marketing and risk management of crude oil. The Refining and Marketing segment refines and supplies crude oil and intermediate feedstock into a range of petroleum and petrochemical products, as well as sells refined petroleum products to retail customers. This segment is also involved in the trading of crude oil and refined products, natural gas, and power. The company was formerly known as Suncor Inc. and changed its name to Suncor Energy Inc. in April 1997. Suncor Energy Inc. was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Calgary, Canada.

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