NextDecade Corporation (NEXT) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.72: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality.
NextDecade is constructing the Rio Grande LNG Facility in Brownsville, Texas, with five liquefaction trains (~30 MTPA capacity) under construction by Bechtel under lump-sum EPC contracts. The company generates no revenue; cash flows depend entirely on completing the facility and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.72: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicRio Grande LNG Facility (single-asset)10-K Item 1A: 'Our cash flow and consequently our ability to distribute earnings will be dependent upon our ability to complete Phase 1, Train 4 and Train 5 of the Rio Grande LNG Facility'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-04-15Item 5.02LOWNextDecade entered amended and restated employment agreement with CEO/Chairman Matthew Schatzman effective April 15, 2026; term through April 15, 2029; base salary $1,000,000. No officer departure.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.72: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 53 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $7.17. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $8.88 (+15.1% upside). Prior stop was $7.17. Stop-loss: $7.17.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Rio Grande LNG Facility (single-asset); Target reached (-0.8% upside); Quality below floor (1.0 < 4.0).
NextDecade Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 48.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
10 analysts cover NEXT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $9.
What does NextDecade Corporation do?NextDecade is constructing the Rio Grande LNG Facility in Brownsville, Texas, with five liquefaction trains (~30 MTPA...
NextDecade is constructing the Rio Grande LNG Facility in Brownsville, Texas, with five liquefaction trains (~30 MTPA capacity) under construction by Bechtel under lump-sum EPC contracts. The company generates no revenue; cash flows depend entirely on completing the facility and executing ~25.3 MTPA in signed long-term LNG SPAs with 14 counterparties.