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EROKEagleRock Land, LLCBuy Wait6.7·$19.81
Buy WaitHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

EagleRock Land is growing revenue 74% YoY with a wide moat and a strong Piotroski F-Score of 7/9, with 32.0% upside to the analyst target, but earnings are expected to fall about 64% from a commodity-cycle peak and the stock is oversold below its 200-day average.

Thesis pillars

  • Cycle Peak Earnings Decline↑Improving
  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Wide Moat Quality→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 24, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

EagleRock Land, LLC (EROK) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Earnings in 1 day (2026-11-03). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $18.82. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $19.81. Engine's entry $18.82 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings expected to decline ~63% (cyclical peak); Negative momentum.

EagleRock Land, LLC operates as a land management company. The company owns or controls approximately 236,000 acres across in the heart of the Delaware and Midland sub-basins within the prolific Permian Basin. It also owns interest in approximately 70,000 acres pursuant to an... Read more

$19.81+21.5% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#5 of 34 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield—
Entry $18.82(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $17.50Target $24.07(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst consensus$27.67+39.7%6 analysts
$24.07our TP
$19.81price
$27.67mean
$31

Wait for pullback to $18.82. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $19.81. Engine's entry $18.82 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings expected to decline ~63% (cyclical peak); Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-11-02
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 20261d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~63% (cyclical peak)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.6
P/E (Fwd)20.8
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA-148.1
Profit Mgn-2.9%
ROE—
Rev Growth74.0%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWide

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.3
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dA.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $16.99Resistance $22.40

Price Targets

$18
$19
$24
A.Upside+21.5%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 21x vs trail 8x (2.7x)
! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EROK stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $18.82. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $19.81. Engine's entry $18.82 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Earnings expected to decline ~63% (cyclical peak); Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 41 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $24.07 (+21.5%), stop $17.50 (−13.2%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 6.7/10, high confidence.

What is the EROK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.07 (+21.5% upside). Target $24.07 (+21.5%), stop $17.50 (−13.2%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $17.50.

What are the risks of investing in EROK?

Earnings expected to decline ~63% (cyclical peak); Negative momentum.

Is EROK overvalued or undervalued?

EagleRock Land, LLC trades at a P/E of 7.6 (forward 20.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about EROK?

13 analysts cover EROK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $28.

What does EagleRock Land, LLC do?EagleRock Land, LLC operates as a land management company. The company owns or controls approximately 236,000 acres...

EagleRock Land, LLC operates as a land management company. The company owns or controls approximately 236,000 acres across in the heart of the Delaware and Midland sub-basins within the prolific Permian Basin. It also owns interest in approximately 70,000 acres pursuant to an acreage dedication related to Midland Basin water infrastructure assets. The company was founded in 2023 and is based in Houston, Texas.

Related stocks: FLOC (Flowco Holdings Inc.) · NESR (National Energy Services Reunit) · WHD (Cactus, Inc. Class A Common Sto) · NGS (Natural Gas Services Group, Inc) · FTK (Flotek Industries, Inc.)
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