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Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Near 52-week high (1.1% away).

Flowco Holdings is a U.S.-based provider of production optimization, artificial lift, and emissions management solutions for oil and gas producers, organized in two segments: Production Solutions and Natural Gas Technologies. Revenue is generated from a fleet of over 4,600... Read more

$24.68+5.5% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 32 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Stop $22.92Target $25.99(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$29.88+21.0%8 analysts
$25.99our TP
$24.68price
$29.88mean
$33

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.5%
Near 52-week high (1.1% away)
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.8
P/E (Fwd)14.1
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA6.9
Profit Mgn5.4%
ROE12.0%
Rev Growth6.0%
Beta
Dividend1.31%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'We do have significant customer concentration in our top ten customers; therefore, the loss of a major customer could have a material adverse effect'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
4.8
Quality Rank
4.9
Growth Rank
5.8
GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dMomentum 6.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.89Resistance $24.81

Price Targets

$23
$26
A.Upside+5.3%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLOC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $24.68, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Near 52-week high (1.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $25.99 (+5.3%), stop $22.92 (−7.7%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLOC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.99 (+5.5% upside). Target $25.99 (+5.3%), stop $22.92 (−7.7%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $22.92.

What are the risks of investing in FLOC?

Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Near 52-week high (1.1% away); Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Is FLOC overvalued or undervalued?

Flowco Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.8 (forward 14.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FLOC?

14 analysts cover FLOC with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $30.

What does Flowco Holdings Inc. do?Flowco Holdings is a U.S.-based provider of production optimization, artificial lift, and emissions management...

Flowco Holdings is a U.S.-based provider of production optimization, artificial lift, and emissions management solutions for oil and gas producers, organized in two segments: Production Solutions and Natural Gas Technologies. Revenue is generated from a fleet of over 4,600 active systems serving U.S. oil and gas basins with more durable recurring cash flows than drilling-related services.

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