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FLOCFlowco Holdings Inc.Hold6.2·$23.10-2.12%
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Flowco Holdings Inc. (FLOC) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

Flowco Holdings provides production optimization, artificial lift, and emissions management solutions to oil and natural gas producers across all major onshore U.S. basins through Production Solutions and Natural Gas Technologies segments. The company earns revenue primarily... Read more

$23.10+18.8% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#5 of 30 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield1.84%
IncomeYield1.40%Payout26.02%sustainable
Stop $21.99Target $27.45(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$31.56+36.6%9 analysts
$27.45our TP
$23.10price
$31.56mean
$34

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Flowco Holdings Inc.

About Flowco Holdings Inc.

Flowco Holdings operates a fleet of over 4,600 active systems across every major onshore U.S. oil and natural gas producing basin as of December 31, 2025, delivering production through two segments: Production Solutions (high pressure gas lift, conventional gas lift, plunger lift, digital monitoring) and Natural Gas Technologies (vapor recovery units, natural gas systems). Major service facilities are located in Midland, Texas; Carlsbad, New Mexico; and Williston, North Dakota, with manufacturing and repair operations in El Reno, Oklahoma; Houston, Fort Worth, Kilgore, and Pampa, Texas; and Lafayette, Louisiana.

Flowco earns revenue primarily from term contracts on deployed equipment, where customers pay for ongoing use of HPGL systems, VRU systems, and gas lift infrastructure over extended durations. HPGL units are provided to customers under contracts which are typically renewed multiple times, with high renewal rates attributed to system reliability and service quality. The company domestically manufactures its core technologies — including gas lift valves, mandrels, and plunger lift systems — capturing manufacturing margin that reduces rental fleet capex. Customers are supermajors and large independent oil and gas producers. The filing discloses significant concentration in the top ten customers, while also noting that certain product lines depend on a limited number of third-party suppliers and vendors. The production phase focus, rather than drilling and completions, positions Flowco's revenue as a function of non-discretionary operating expenditure by producers, making demand less sensitive to short-cycle capex reductions than peers in drilling services.

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Flowco's customer base, while served across multiple basins, carries disclosed concentration risk. The 10-K states the company has significant customer concentration in its top ten customers, with the loss of a major account named as a potential material adverse effect on financial condition and cash flows. This risk may intensify with ongoing upstream consolidation: the filing notes that consolidation could result in the acquisition or combination of primary customers, reducing demand or leading to pricing pressure without assurance of replacement revenue from other operators.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

From Flowco Holdings Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202648d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.2
P/E (Fwd)13.1
Mkt Cap$2.5B
EV/EBITDA7.6
Profit Mgn5.5%
ROE10.0%
Rev Growth8.9%
Beta
Dividend1.40%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop ten customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'significant customer concentration in our top ten customers; therefore, the loss of a major customer could have a material adverse effect'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-08Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved the 2026 Employee Stock Purchase Plan (ESPP) at May 7, 2026 Annual Meeting, authorizing issuance of up to 500,000 shares of Common Stock at $0.0001 par value per share.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-01Item 5.02LOW
    J. Hardy Murchison appointed as independent Class II director effective April 29, 2026, to serve until 2027 annual meeting. Appointed to Nominating and Governance Committee and Compensation Committee. Granted 3,625 RSUs.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.2
Volume
2.5
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 28)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 48d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.67Resistance $28.26

Price Targets

$22
$27
A.Upside+18.8%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (48d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FLOC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.10, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $27.45 (+18.8%), stop $21.99 (−5.0%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FLOC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $27.45 (+18.8% upside). Target $27.45 (+18.8%), stop $21.99 (−5.0%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $21.99.

What are the risks of investing in FLOC?

Negative momentum.

Is FLOC overvalued or undervalued?

Flowco Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.2 (forward 13.1). TrendMatrix value score: 8.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FLOC?

15 analysts cover FLOC with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $32.

What does Flowco Holdings Inc. do?Flowco Holdings provides production optimization, artificial lift, and emissions management solutions to oil and...

Flowco Holdings provides production optimization, artificial lift, and emissions management solutions to oil and natural gas producers across all major onshore U.S. basins through Production Solutions and Natural Gas Technologies segments. The company earns revenue primarily from term-contracted equipment — including a fleet of over 4,600 active systems — that generates recurring cash flows tied to producers' non-discretionary operating expenditures over the multi-decade lives of their wells.

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