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NGSNatural Gas Services Group, IncHold6.4·$39.46-3.59%
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Natural Gas Services Group, Inc (NGS) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.46, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum.

Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. provides natural gas compression equipment, flares and related assets; and electric compression equipment, technology, and services to the energy industry in the United States. The company rents, designs, installs, service, and maintains natural... Read more

$39.46+21.7% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#5 of 37 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-14.26%
IncomeYield0.91%Payout12.21%sustainable
Stop $37.67Target $48.02(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$56.50+43.2%2 analysts
$48.02our TP
$39.46price
$56.50mean
$60

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.46, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 37d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Aug 10, 202637d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.9
P/E (Fwd)16.8
Mkt Cap$508M
EV/EBITDA8.8
Profit Mgn12.2%
ROE8.1%
Rev Growth17.1%
Beta0.40
Dividend0.91%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.70neutral
IV72%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.4
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.8
Uptrend pullback (RSI 37) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.8<4.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 37d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
37 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $38.83Resistance $44.60

Price Targets

$38
$48
A.Upside+21.7%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-10 (37d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NGS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $39.46, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Negative momentum. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $48.02 (+21.7%), stop $37.67 (−4.8%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NGS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.02 (+21.7% upside). Target $48.02 (+21.7%), stop $37.67 (−4.8%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Stop-loss: $37.67.

What are the risks of investing in NGS?

Negative momentum.

Is NGS overvalued or undervalued?

Natural Gas Services Group, Inc trades at a P/E of 22.9 (forward 16.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NGS?

9 analysts cover NGS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $57.

What does Natural Gas Services Group, Inc do?Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. provides natural gas compression equipment, flares and related assets; and electric...

Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. provides natural gas compression equipment, flares and related assets; and electric compression equipment, technology, and services to the energy industry in the United States. The company rents, designs, installs, service, and maintains natural gas engine and electric motor drive compressors for oil and gas production and processing facilities. It also designs and assembles compressor units for rental; and designs, engineers, and sells compressor components. In addition, the company provides aftermarket services for its compressors; and services related to the installation and start-up of new compressor units. Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1998 and is headquartered in Southlake, Texas.

Related stocks: USAC (USA Compression Partners, LP) · FLOC (Flowco Holdings Inc.) · WHD (Cactus, Inc. Class A Common Sto) · NESR (National Energy Services Reunit) · VTOL (Bristow Group, Inc.)
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