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NESRNational Energy Services ReunitHold6.4·$26.52-3.98%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

National Energy Services Reunited has delivered 4 consecutive earnings beats and 34% revenue growth, but its valuation is near cyclical peak levels for an oil-field services company, and thin upside margin of only 6% makes new entries unattractive at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Four Quarter Beat StreakImproving
  • Strong Revenue GrowthStable
  • Commodity Cycle Peak RiskDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

National Energy Services Reunit (NESR) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 11.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.26× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Thin upside margin: 7.9%.

NESR provides hydraulic fracturing, directional drilling, cementing, and related oilfield services exclusively in the MENA region, generating $1.324 billion in 2025 revenue almost entirely from national oil companies in Saudi Arabia, Oman, Kuwait, UAE, Iraq, Algeria, Egypt, and... Read more

$26.52+7.9% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#6 of 37 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.66%
Stop $25.42Target $28.71(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.7:1
Analyst target$33.00+24.4%7 analysts
$28.71our TP
$26.52price
$33.00mean
$36

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 11.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.26× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Thin upside margin: 7.9%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity and materials cycle peak fwd=11.1x,ratio=0.26x. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 18, 202621d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 11.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.26× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
Thin upside margin: 7.9%
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)43.2
P/E (Fwd)11.1
Mkt Cap$2.8B
EV/EBITDA12.0
Profit Mgn4.5%
ROE6.7%
Rev Growth33.5%
Beta0.32
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.25bearish
IV78%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R 0.7 < 1.5@spotINSIDER 3.03%=EXTREMEMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=11.1x,ratio=0.26xNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $26.21Resistance $30.31

Price Targets

$25
$29
A.Upside+7.9%
A.R:R0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.7 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot
! Insider activity: 3.03%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-18 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NESR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.52, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 11.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.26× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Thin upside margin: 7.9%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $28.71 (+8.3%), stop $25.42 (−4.3%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NESR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.71 (+7.9% upside). Target $28.71 (+8.3%), stop $25.42 (−4.3%), A.R:R 0.7:1. Stop-loss: $25.42.

What are the risks of investing in NESR?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 11.1× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.26× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; Thin upside margin: 7.9%; Negative momentum.

Is NESR overvalued or undervalued?

National Energy Services Reunit trades at a P/E of 43.2 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NESR?

13 analysts cover NESR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $33.

What does National Energy Services Reunit do?NESR provides hydraulic fracturing, directional drilling, cementing, and related oilfield services exclusively in the...

NESR provides hydraulic fracturing, directional drilling, cementing, and related oilfield services exclusively in the MENA region, generating $1.324 billion in 2025 revenue almost entirely from national oil companies in Saudi Arabia, Oman, Kuwait, UAE, Iraq, Algeria, Egypt, and Libya. A single customer accounted for 49% of 2025 consolidated revenues, and the top four customers combined for 73%.

Related stocks: FLOC (Flowco Holdings Inc.) · NGS (Natural Gas Services Group, Inc) · WHD (Cactus, Inc. Class A Common Sto) · USAC (USA Compression Partners, LP) · EROK (EagleRock Land, LLC)
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