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NESRNational Energy Services ReunitHold6.9·$19.58
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

National Energy Services Reunited has delivered 4 consecutive earnings beats and 34% revenue growth, but its valuation is near cyclical peak levels for an oil-field services company, and thin upside margin of only 6% makes new entries unattractive at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Four Quarter Beat Streak↓Deteriorating
  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Commodity Cycle Peak Risk↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

National Energy Services Reunit (NESR) Stock Analysis

Oversold Bounce setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthQualityHigh Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.58, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.33× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7).

NESR provides hydraulic fracturing, directional drilling, cementing, and related oilfield services exclusively in the MENA region, generating $1.324 billion in 2025 revenue almost entirely from national oil companies in Saudi Arabia, Oman, Kuwait, UAE, Iraq, Algeria, Egypt, and... Read more

$19.58+85.1% A.UpsideScore 6.9/10#2 of 34 Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield6.97%
Stop $18.67Target $36.25(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.7:1
Analyst target$41.67+112.8%9 analysts
$36.25our TP
$19.58price
$41.67mean
$50

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.58, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.33× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 4, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity and materials cycle peak fwd=7.5x,ratio=0.33x. Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202627d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.33× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.8
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$2.0B
EV/EBITDA7.3
Profit Mgn5.8%
ROE9.4%
Rev Growth59.1%
Beta0.48
DividendNone
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV102%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·3 ceiling hits

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
7.3
Capitulation risk (RSI 4, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+9.6%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5INSIDER 0.32%=HEAVYMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK fwd=7.5x,ratio=0.33xA.R:R 5.7 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEAROversold BounceSuitability: Speculative
RSI
4 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.25Resistance $33.63

Price Targets

$19
$36
A.Upside+85.1%
A.R:R5.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 0.32%=heavy
! MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:fwd=7.5x,ratio=0.33x

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NESR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $19.58, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.33× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7). Chart setup: Oversold RSI 4, near Bollinger lower, volume surge. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $36.25 (+85.1%), stop $18.67 (−4.9%), A.R:R 5.7:1. Score 6.9/10, high confidence.

What is the NESR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $36.25 (+85.1% upside). Target $36.25 (+85.1%), stop $18.67 (−4.9%), A.R:R 5.7:1. Stop-loss: $18.67.

What are the risks of investing in NESR?

Commodity cycle peak: fwd P/E 7.5× (below 12) + fwd/trail 0.33× (below 0.55). EPS just expanded off a commodity-price surge — forward estimate may be built on stale spot, mean-reversion risk unpriced.; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.7); Negative momentum.

Is NESR overvalued or undervalued?

National Energy Services Reunit trades at a P/E of 22.8 (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NESR?

13 analysts cover NESR with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $42.

What does National Energy Services Reunit do?NESR provides hydraulic fracturing, directional drilling, cementing, and related oilfield services exclusively in the...

NESR provides hydraulic fracturing, directional drilling, cementing, and related oilfield services exclusively in the MENA region, generating $1.324 billion in 2025 revenue almost entirely from national oil companies in Saudi Arabia, Oman, Kuwait, UAE, Iraq, Algeria, Egypt, and Libya. A single customer accounted for 49% of 2025 consolidated revenues, and the top four customers combined for 73%.

Related stocks: FLOC (Flowco Holdings Inc.) · EROK (EagleRock Land, LLC) · NGS (Natural Gas Services Group, Inc) · WBI (WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC) · FTK (Flotek Industries, Inc.)
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