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NDAQNasdaq, Inc.Hold6.3·$89.71-1.46%
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Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $89.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Nasdaq-100 core indices (73.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.4%.

Nasdaq operates three segments — Capital Access Platforms, Financial Technology, and Market Services — serving 5,599 listed companies and approximately 3,800 Financial Technology clients globally. Revenue comes from exchange fees, data subscriptions, listing fees, software... Read more

$89.71+7.4% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#4 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.03%
IncomeYield1.23%(5y avg 1.28%)Payout32.53%sustainable
Stop $84.19Target $95.88(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$106.53+18.8%15 analysts
$95.88our TP
$89.71price
$106.53mean
$82
$120

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $89.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Nasdaq-100 core indices (73.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.4%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Nasdaq, Inc.

About Nasdaq, Inc.

Nasdaq's three-segment business — Capital Access Platforms, Financial Technology, and Market Services — supported 5,599 listed companies across U.S. and Nordic and Baltic exchanges at year-end 2025, with Nasdaq-100 core index ETPs holding $640 billion of the $882 billion in total assets tracking Nasdaq indices, representing 73% of indexed AUM. The Financial Technology segment, scaled via the 2021 Verafin acquisition and the 2023 Adenza deal bringing in AxiomSL and Calypso, serves approximately 3,800 global clients including all Global Systemically Important Banks across more than 55 countries.

Nasdaq generates revenue through four primary mechanisms: transaction and clearing fees in Market Services, where the company held the largest combined U.S. multi-listed equity options market share in 2025 and The Nasdaq Stock Market is the largest single venue for U.S.-listed cash equities trading; annual listing fees from companies on The Nasdaq Stock Market and Nordic and Baltic exchanges; data subscription fees including flagship products such as Nasdaq TotalView; and index licensing fees based on a percentage of AUM, product issuance, or contracts traded. The Financial Technology segment earns SaaS and professional services fees through three divisions — Nasdaq Verafin (fraud and AML compliance for more than 2,750 North American financial institutions), AxiomSL (regulatory reporting covering 170-plus regulators in 60-plus countries), and Calypso (front-to-back capital markets technology serving 20-plus central banks). During 2025, 20 companies switched listings from NYSE or NYSE American to The Nasdaq Stock Market, contributing to net growth in the listed-company base.

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The Nasdaq-100 index franchise carries meaningful concentration within the index licensing segment: with $640 billion of the $882 billion in total indexed AUM tracking Nasdaq-100 core indices, fee revenue from this product line is exposed to AUM fluctuation and any competitive shift by major ETP sponsors. Adverse conditions that reduce Capital Access Platforms professional subscriptions — such as staff reductions at financial services firms following sector consolidation — could also weigh on data revenues, a dynamic the 10-K explicitly flags. These two product-level exposures together subject a material portion of Capital Access Platforms revenue to market-environment sensitivity.

See also: Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

From Nasdaq, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Nasdaq-100 core indices (73.0%)
Thin upside margin: 7.4%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.4
P/E (Fwd)20.5
Mkt Cap$51.5B
EV/EBITDA18.8
Profit Mgn35.3%
ROE16.2%
Rev Growth13.7%
Beta0.97
Dividend1.23%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.94neutral
IV39%normal
Max Pain$130+44.9% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductNasdaq-100 core indices73%
    10-K Item 1: 'More than 100 ETPs worldwide track Nasdaq-100 core indices, which had $640 billion in assets tracking the indices as of December 31, 2025, or 73% of total AUM.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerMarket Services customers
    10-K Item 1A: 'our Market Services businesses receive revenues from a relatively small number of customers concentrated in the financial industry'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $85.30Resistance $93.60

Price Targets

$84
$96
A.Upside+6.9%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NDAQ stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $89.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Nasdaq-100 core indices (73.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.4%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $95.88 (+6.9%), stop $84.19 (−6.6%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NDAQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $95.88 (+7.4% upside). Target $95.88 (+6.9%), stop $84.19 (−6.6%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $84.19.

What are the risks of investing in NDAQ?

Concentration risk — Product: Nasdaq-100 core indices (73.0%); Thin upside margin: 7.4%.

Is NDAQ overvalued or undervalued?

Nasdaq, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.4 (forward 20.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NDAQ?

24 analysts cover NDAQ with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $107.

What does Nasdaq, Inc. do?Nasdaq operates three segments — Capital Access Platforms, Financial Technology, and Market Services — serving 5,599...

Nasdaq operates three segments — Capital Access Platforms, Financial Technology, and Market Services — serving 5,599 listed companies and approximately 3,800 Financial Technology clients globally. Revenue comes from exchange fees, data subscriptions, listing fees, software licenses, and index royalties, with 73% of the company's $882 billion in indexed AUM tracking Nasdaq-100 core indices.

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