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Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $90.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 6.6%.

Nasdaq is a global technology and financial infrastructure company operating exchanges, market data, financial crime management, regulatory technology, and capital markets technology across three segments: Capital Access Platforms, Financial Technology, and Market Services. It... Read more

$90.37+6.6% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#5 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.00%
IncomeYield1.22%(5y avg 1.28%)Payout32.53%sustainable
Stop $86.17Target $96.30(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$107.00+18.4%15 analysts
$96.30our TP
$90.37price
$107.00mean
$82
$120

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $90.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 6.6%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 63d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Nasdaq, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 6.6%

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.7
P/E (Fwd)20.8
Mkt Cap$52.0B
EV/EBITDA19.0
Profit Mgn35.3%
ROE16.2%
Rev Growth13.7%
Beta0.99
Dividend1.22%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV36%normal
Max Pain$60-33.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 63d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $86.08Resistance $93.63

Price Targets

$86
$96
A.Upside+6.6%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (63d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NDAQ stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $90.37, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Thin upside margin: 6.6%. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 42. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $96.30 (+6.6%), stop $86.17 (−4.9%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NDAQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $96.30 (+6.6% upside). Target $96.30 (+6.6%), stop $86.17 (−4.9%), A.R:R 1.3:1. Stop-loss: $86.17.

What are the risks of investing in NDAQ?

Thin upside margin: 6.6%.

Is NDAQ overvalued or undervalued?

Nasdaq, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.7 (forward 20.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NDAQ?

24 analysts cover NDAQ with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $107.

What does Nasdaq, Inc. do?Nasdaq is a global technology and financial infrastructure company operating exchanges, market data, financial crime...

Nasdaq is a global technology and financial infrastructure company operating exchanges, market data, financial crime management, regulatory technology, and capital markets technology across three segments: Capital Access Platforms, Financial Technology, and Market Services. It powers 135+ marketplaces in 55+ countries and serves approximately 3,800 global clients including all G-SIBs; revenue is diversified across listing fees, data subscriptions, SaaS, and transaction fees.

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