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Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.83) + overbought RSI 81.

Nasdaq operates market infrastructure and financial technology across three segments: Capital Access Platforms (listings, data, indices), Financial Technology (regulatory compliance via AxiomSL and Calypso), and Market Services (trading and clearing). Revenue comes from listing... Read more

$91.25+5.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#3 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Stop $86.60Target $96.30(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.6:1
Analyst target$107.00+17.3%15 analysts
$96.30our TP
$91.25price
$107.00mean
$82
$120

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.83) + overbought RSI 81. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 81. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.40, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.5%
Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.83) + overbought RSI 81
Overbought (RSI 81)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.5
P/E (Fwd)20.6
Mkt Cap$51.6B
EV/EBITDA18.8
Profit Mgn35.3%
ROE16.2%
Rev Growth13.7%
Beta1.02
Dividend1.23%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV40%normal
Max Pain$73-20.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomercustomers concentrated in the financial industry
    10-K Item 1A: 'our Market Services businesses receive revenues from a relatively small number of customers concentrated in the financial industry'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.6
Bollinger
1.2
52w Position
8.0
GatesA.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.40EARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
81 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $82.18Resistance $91.87

Price Targets

$87
$96
A.Upside+5.5%
A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.6:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NDAQ stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $91.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.83) + overbought RSI 81. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 81. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $96.30 (+5.5%), stop $86.60 (−5.4%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NDAQ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $96.30 (+5.5% upside). Target $96.30 (+5.5%), stop $86.60 (−5.4%), A.R:R 0.6:1. Stop-loss: $86.60.

What are the risks of investing in NDAQ?

Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Euphoria warning: extreme positivity (+0.83) + overbought RSI 81; Overbought (RSI 81).

Is NDAQ overvalued or undervalued?

Nasdaq, Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.5 (forward 20.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NDAQ?

23 analysts cover NDAQ with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $107.

What does Nasdaq, Inc. do?Nasdaq operates market infrastructure and financial technology across three segments: Capital Access Platforms...

Nasdaq operates market infrastructure and financial technology across three segments: Capital Access Platforms (listings, data, indices), Financial Technology (regulatory compliance via AxiomSL and Calypso), and Market Services (trading and clearing). Revenue comes from listing fees, data subscriptions, trading/clearing fees, and SaaS compliance software sold to financial institutions globally.

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