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Morningstar, Inc. (MORN) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $169.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Weak growth.

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$169.50+24.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#7 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Stop $160.73Target $212.50(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$250.00+47.5%3 analysts
$212.50our TP
$169.50price
$250.00mean
$280

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $169.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Analyst upside: 24%
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.1
P/E (Fwd)14.5
Mkt Cap$7.2B
EV/EBITDA13.7
Profit Mgn15.3%
ROE26.3%
Rev Growth8.5%
Beta1.11
Dividend1.07%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.13bearish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$145-14.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
1.6
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.9
Revenue Growth
4.6
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $165.70Resistance $192.79

Price Targets

$161
$213
A.Upside+25.4%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MORN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $169.50 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $160.73. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MORN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $212.50 (+24.2% upside). Prior stop was $160.73. Stop-loss: $160.73.

What are the risks of investing in MORN?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is MORN overvalued or undervalued?

Morningstar, Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.1 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MORN?

9 analysts cover MORN with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $250.

What does Morningstar, Inc. do?Our mission is to empower investor success. We deliver connected data, independent research, investor-first tools, and...

Our mission is to empower investor success. We deliver connected data, independent research, investor-first tools, and long-term portfolio strategies with a focus on removing frictions that can slow decisions, cloud markets, and drive up costs.

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