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Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-01). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $305.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%); Concentration risk — Product: transaction and clearing-based business (74.0%).

Cboe Global Markets operates the largest US options exchange and third-largest US equities exchange, with trading and clearing services across equities, derivatives, and FX in North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific. In 2025, approximately 68% of revenues less costs came from... Read more

$305.69+7.1% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#4 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Entry $283.44(support + ATR)Stop $271.76Target $303.67(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1Setup A.R:R 1.7:1
Analyst target$301.64-1.3%14 analysts
$303.67our TP
$305.69price
$301.64mean
$250
$355

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $305.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%); Concentration risk — Product: transaction and clearing-based business (74.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $305.68 has reached target $303.67. No upside to wait for. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: transaction and clearing-based business (74.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.3
P/E (Fwd)22.9
Mkt Cap$32.0B
EV/EBITDA19.2
Profit Mgn23.3%
ROE23.4%
Rev Growth8.7%
Beta0.37
Dividend0.91%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C6.80bearish
IV43%normal
Max Pain$230-24.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductoptions and futures segments68%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 68% of our total revenues less cost of revenues were generated by the options and futures segments'
  • HIGHProducttransaction and clearing-based business74%
    10-K Item 1A: 'approximately 74% of our revenues less cost of revenues were generated by our transaction and clearing-based business'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-01-26Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Christopher Isaacson, EVP and COO, notified retirement effective March 6, 2026. Isaacson will provide consulting services through December 31, 2026. No successor COO named. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.5
Analyst Target
3.0
Peg Ratio
3.2
Pe
4.4
Forward Pe
5.6
Ps
5.7
Forward P/E: 22.9xPEG: 3.85
GatesA.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $280.17Resistance $309.87

Price Targets

$272
$283
$304
A.Upside-0.7%
A.R:R-1.7:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.1% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-01 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CBOE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $305.69, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%); Concentration risk — Product: transaction and clearing-based business (74.0%). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $305.68 has reached target $303.67. No upside to wait for. Target $303.67 (-0.7%), stop $271.76 (−12.5%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CBOE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $303.67 (+7.1% upside). Target $303.67 (-0.7%), stop $271.76 (−12.5%), A.R:R -1.7:1. Stop-loss: $271.76.

What are the risks of investing in CBOE?

Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%); Concentration risk — Product: transaction and clearing-based business (74.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CBOE overvalued or undervalued?

Cboe Global Markets, Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.3 (forward 22.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CBOE?

23 analysts cover CBOE with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $302.

What does Cboe Global Markets, Inc. do?Cboe Global Markets operates the largest US options exchange and third-largest US equities exchange, with trading and...

Cboe Global Markets operates the largest US options exchange and third-largest US equities exchange, with trading and clearing services across equities, derivatives, and FX in North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific. In 2025, approximately 68% of revenues less costs came from options and futures, primarily SPX options and VIX products; transaction and clearing fees represented approximately 74% of revenues less costs.

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