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Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $362.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%); Concentration risk — Product: transaction and clearing-based business (74.0%).

Cboe Global Markets operates exchanges and clearing facilities across equities, derivatives, and FX in the US, Europe, and Asia Pacific. Revenue is driven primarily by transaction and clearing fees (74% of revenues less cost of revenues in 2025), with proprietary products... Read more

$362.97+21.3% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#8 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.62%
IncomeYield0.79%(5y avg 1.30%)Payout23.83%sustainable
Entry $299.81(support + ATR)Stop $284.87Target $363.76(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1Setup A.R:R 4.3:1
Analyst target$330.57-8.9%14 analysts
$363.76our TP
$362.97price
$330.57mean
$273
$395

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $362.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%); Concentration risk — Product: transaction and clearing-based business (74.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $362.97 has reached target $363.76. No upside to wait for. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Cboe Global Markets, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • May 1, 2026 MEDIUM Item 2.05: Cboe announced additional strategic realignment actions including resource optimization, expected to be substantially completed by end of 2026. Pre-tax restructuring charges of approximately $36-46M expected, primarily for severance payments and related costs.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.9 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%)
Concentration risk — Product: transaction and clearing-based business (74.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.3
P/E (Fwd)25.5
Mkt Cap$38.3B
EV/EBITDA21.2
Profit Mgn25.8%
ROE25.1%
Rev Growth6.5%
Beta0.37
Dividend0.79%
Rating analysts23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.69bullish
IV37%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductoptions and futures segments68%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 68% of our total revenues less cost of revenues were generated by the options and futures segments, the majority of which was generated by products based on exclusively licensed indices (e.g., SPX options) and products based on our proprietary VIX methodology'
  • HIGHProducttransaction and clearing-based business74%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 74% of our revenues less cost of revenues were generated by our transaction and clearing-based business. which is heavily oriented towards U.S. index and equity options.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-01Item 2.05MEDIUM
    Cboe announced additional strategic realignment actions including resource optimization, expected to be substantially completed by end of 2026. Pre-tax restructuring charges of approximately $36-46M expected, primarily for severance payments and related costs.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Analyst Target
3.0
Peg Ratio
3.2
Pe
4.2
Ps
4.8
Forward Pe
4.9
Forward P/E: 25.5xPEG: 3.82

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.9
Value Rank
3.6
Quality Rank
4.8
GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
77 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $293.68Resistance $371.18

Price Targets

$285
$300
$364
A.Upside+0.2%
A.R:R-1.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)4.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-20.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CBOE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $362.97, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%); Concentration risk — Product: transaction and clearing-based business (74.0%). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $362.97 has reached target $363.76. No upside to wait for. Target $363.76 (+0.2%), stop $284.87 (−27.4%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CBOE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $363.76 (+21.3% upside). Target $363.76 (+0.2%), stop $284.87 (−27.4%), A.R:R -1.4:1. Stop-loss: $284.87.

What are the risks of investing in CBOE?

Concentration risk — Product: options and futures segments (68.0%); Concentration risk — Product: transaction and clearing-based business (74.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is CBOE overvalued or undervalued?

Cboe Global Markets, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.3 (forward 25.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CBOE?

23 analysts cover CBOE with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $331.

What does Cboe Global Markets, Inc. do?Cboe Global Markets operates exchanges and clearing facilities across equities, derivatives, and FX in the US, Europe,...

Cboe Global Markets operates exchanges and clearing facilities across equities, derivatives, and FX in the US, Europe, and Asia Pacific. Revenue is driven primarily by transaction and clearing fees (74% of revenues less cost of revenues in 2025), with proprietary products including SPX options and VIX futures being the flagship revenue drivers. The company initiated a strategic realignment in 2025, winding down non-core businesses.

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