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HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

TransUnion is a high-quality data and credit business (Piotroski 8/9, 16% margins) with breakout momentum, but only 5.7% upside to the analyst target, a forward P/E of 14.3x and steady insider selling limit the setup.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Strong Margins↑Improving
  • Earnings Growth Momentum↑Improving
  • Thin Upside To Target↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 27, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

TransUnion (TRU) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

TransUnion provides consumer credit reporting, fraud detection, marketing analytics, and identity resolution to businesses and consumers in over 30 countries. The company earns transactional and subscription-based revenue from lenders, insurers, retailers, and government... Read more

$82.13-1.2% A.UpsideScore 6.2/10#2 of 12 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.84%
IncomeYield0.66%(5y avg 0.52%)Payout11.92%sustainable
Stop $76.38Analyst target $81.17(reached)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst consensus$90.19+9.8%21 analysts with price targets
$82.13price
$90.19mean
$70
$103

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 98d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About TransUnion

About TransUnion

TransUnion's 2025 revenue was concentrated in U.S. Markets, with the Financial Services vertical accounting for approximately 37% of consolidated gross revenues and the Consumer Interactive vertical approximately 13%, making these two domestic segments the dominant revenue sources globally. The company processes data on over one billion consumers across more than 30 countries in North America, Latin America, Europe, Africa, India, and Asia Pacific, delivering credit risk, fraud mitigation, marketing analytics, and identity resolution solutions through its OneTru platform.

TransUnion generates revenue from transactional volume — lenders running credit checks, insurers pulling risk scores, employers screening candidates — and from subscription-based analytics and marketing solutions. Customer agreements in the U.S. Markets core credit segment are typically terminable on advance written notice ranging from 30 days to six months by either party, providing customers with the ability to renegotiate pricing or move to competitors. Industry consolidation could reduce the transactional base if merged customers operate under a single contract with volume discounts. The company has built adjacent verticals including fraud, marketing, and tenant screening to reduce exposure to cyclical credit demand. Global Capability Centers in India, South Africa, and Costa Rica now represent approximately 42% of the global workforce, supporting operational efficiency across software development, analytics, and back-office functions.

Show full overview

The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has supervisory and examination authority over TransUnion's business and may initiate enforcement actions for non-compliance with federal consumer financial laws, as explicitly named in the company's 10-K risk factors. A July 2025 cyberattack — in which a third party gained unauthorized access through social engineering to a customer support application — exposed personal data of 4.4 million consumers, triggering regulatory inquiries and class action lawsuits. With more than 50 disparate U.S. state and federal notification regimes applicable to consumer data breaches, future incidents may trigger multi-jurisdiction enforcement actions that could adversely affect operating costs and reputation.

See also: Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

From TransUnion's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — TransUnion

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:34:09Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 11, 202798d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.1 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.0
P/E (Fwd)15.3
Mkt Cap$15.7B
EV/EBITDA12.8
Profit Mgn15.8%
ROE17.0%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta1.56
Dividend0.66%
Analysts with ratings27

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.38bearish
IV53%elevated
Max Pain$48-42.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductU.S. Markets Financial Services vertical37%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our 2025 revenue in our U.S. Markets Financial Services and Consumer Interactive verticals accounted for approximately 37% and 13%, respectively, of consolidated gross revenues'
  • LOWProductConsumer Interactive vertical13%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our 2025 revenue in our U.S. Markets Financial Services and Consumer Interactive verticals accounted for approximately 37% and 13%, respectively, of consolidated gross revenues'
  • MEDIUMGeographicUnited States
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant amount of our revenue is concentrated among certain customers, industries, product offerings and in distinct geographic regions, primarily in the United States'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.8
Bollinger
1.9
Gap
4.0
52w Position
8.5
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.0>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 98d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $62.40Resistance $83.86

Price Targets

A.Upside-1.2%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.2% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-11 (98d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRU stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $82.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $81.17 reached (−1.2%), stop $76.38 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRU stock price target?

Analyst target $81.17 reached (−1.2% from $82.13); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $81.17 reached (−1.2%), stop $76.38 (−7.5%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $76.38.

What are the risks of investing in TRU?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.1): -0.5.

Is TRU overvalued or undervalued?

TransUnion trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 15.3). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TRU?

27 analysts rate TRU, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 21 analysts publish price targets averaging $90.

What does TransUnion do?TransUnion provides consumer credit reporting, fraud detection, marketing analytics, and identity resolution to...

TransUnion provides consumer credit reporting, fraud detection, marketing analytics, and identity resolution to businesses and consumers in over 30 countries. The company earns transactional and subscription-based revenue from lenders, insurers, retailers, and government agencies; the U.S. Markets Financial Services vertical generated approximately 37% of 2025 consolidated gross revenues, with Consumer Interactive contributing approximately 13%.

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