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TRUTransUnionHold6.3·$68.92+2.39%
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TransUnion (TRU) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $68.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

TransUnion provides consumer credit reporting, fraud detection, marketing analytics, and identity resolution to businesses and consumers in over 30 countries. The company earns transactional and subscription-based revenue from lenders, insurers, retailers, and government... Read more

$68.92+17.7% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#3 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.78%
IncomeYield0.74%(5y avg 0.52%)Payout13.02%sustainable
Stop $64.10Target $81.09(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.2:1
Analyst target$90.10+30.7%21 analysts
$81.09our TP
$68.92price
$90.10mean
$108

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $68.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 36d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About TransUnion

About TransUnion

TransUnion's 2025 revenue was concentrated in U.S. Markets, with the Financial Services vertical accounting for approximately 37% of consolidated gross revenues and the Consumer Interactive vertical approximately 13%, making these two domestic segments the dominant revenue sources globally. The company processes data on over one billion consumers across more than 30 countries in North America, Latin America, Europe, Africa, India, and Asia Pacific, delivering credit risk, fraud mitigation, marketing analytics, and identity resolution solutions through its OneTru platform.

TransUnion generates revenue from transactional volume — lenders running credit checks, insurers pulling risk scores, employers screening candidates — and from subscription-based analytics and marketing solutions. Customer agreements in the U.S. Markets core credit segment are typically terminable on advance written notice ranging from 30 days to six months by either party, providing customers with the ability to renegotiate pricing or move to competitors. Industry consolidation could reduce the transactional base if merged customers operate under a single contract with volume discounts. The company has built adjacent verticals including fraud, marketing, and tenant screening to reduce exposure to cyclical credit demand. Global Capability Centers in India, South Africa, and Costa Rica now represent approximately 42% of the global workforce, supporting operational efficiency across software development, analytics, and back-office functions.

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The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau has supervisory and examination authority over TransUnion's business and may initiate enforcement actions for non-compliance with federal consumer financial laws, as explicitly named in the company's 10-K risk factors. A July 2025 cyberattack — in which a third party gained unauthorized access through social engineering to a customer support application — exposed personal data of 4.4 million consumers, triggering regulatory inquiries and class action lawsuits. With more than 50 disparate U.S. state and federal notification regimes applicable to consumer data breaches, future incidents may trigger multi-jurisdiction enforcement actions that could adversely affect operating costs and reputation.

See also: Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

From TransUnion's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 16, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 23, 202636d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.6
P/E (Fwd)12.1
Mkt Cap$13.0B
EV/EBITDA12.5
Profit Mgn14.9%
ROE15.3%
Rev Growth13.7%
Beta1.55
Dividend0.74%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.31bearish
IV56%elevated
Max Pain$125+81.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductU.S. Markets Financial Services vertical37%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our 2025 revenue in our U.S. Markets Financial Services and Consumer Interactive verticals accounted for approximately 37% and 13%, respectively, of consolidated gross revenues'
  • LOWProductConsumer Interactive vertical13%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our 2025 revenue in our U.S. Markets Financial Services and Consumer Interactive verticals accounted for approximately 37% and 13%, respectively, of consolidated gross revenues'
  • MEDIUMGeographicUnited States
    10-K Item 1A: 'a significant amount of our revenue is concentrated among certain customers, industries, product offerings and in distinct geographic regions, primarily in the United States'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 36d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $64.40Resistance $74.19

Price Targets

$64
$81
A.Upside+17.7%
A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (36d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRU stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $68.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $81.09 (+17.7%), stop $64.10 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $81.09 (+17.7% upside). Target $81.09 (+17.7%), stop $64.10 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Stop-loss: $64.10.

What are the risks of investing in TRU?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is TRU overvalued or undervalued?

TransUnion trades at a P/E of 18.6 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TRU?

26 analysts cover TRU with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $90.

What does TransUnion do?TransUnion provides consumer credit reporting, fraud detection, marketing analytics, and identity resolution to...

TransUnion provides consumer credit reporting, fraud detection, marketing analytics, and identity resolution to businesses and consumers in over 30 countries. The company earns transactional and subscription-based revenue from lenders, insurers, retailers, and government agencies; the U.S. Markets Financial Services vertical generated approximately 37% of 2025 consolidated gross revenues, with Consumer Interactive contributing approximately 13%.

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