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TransUnion (TRU) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $66.35, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Negative momentum.

TransUnion is a global information and analytics company providing credit risk, fraud mitigation, marketing, and identity solutions in 30+ countries, with data on over one billion consumers. Revenue is primarily transaction- and subscription-based, with U.S. Markets Financial... Read more

$66.35+24.4% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#4 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.67%
IncomeYield0.73%(5y avg 0.51%)Payout13.02%sustainable
Stop $63.74Target $82.20(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst target$91.33+37.7%21 analysts
$82.20our TP
$66.35price
$91.33mean
$114

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $66.35, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — TransUnion

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.0
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$13.2B
EV/EBITDA12.7
Profit Mgn14.9%
ROE15.3%
Rev Growth13.7%
Beta1.57
Dividend0.73%
Rating analysts26

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.41bearish
IV52%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProductU.S. Markets Financial Services37%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our 2025 revenue in our U.S. Markets Financial Services and Consumer Interactive verticals accounted for approximately 37% and 13%, respectively, of consolidated gross revenues'
  • MEDIUMProductConsumer Interactive13%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our 2025 revenue in our U.S. Markets Financial Services and Consumer Interactive verticals accounted for approximately 37% and 13%, respectively, of consolidated gross revenues'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume
6.6
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $65.71Resistance $78.89

Price Targets

$64
$82
A.Upside+23.9%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-23 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRU stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $66.35, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $82.20 (+23.9%), stop $63.74 (−4.1%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the TRU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $82.20 (+24.4% upside). Target $82.20 (+23.9%), stop $63.74 (−4.1%), A.R:R 3.0:1. Stop-loss: $63.74.

What are the risks of investing in TRU?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.2): -0.5; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is TRU overvalued or undervalued?

TransUnion trades at a P/E of 19.0 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about TRU?

26 analysts cover TRU with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $91.

What does TransUnion do?TransUnion is a global information and analytics company providing credit risk, fraud mitigation, marketing, and...

TransUnion is a global information and analytics company providing credit risk, fraud mitigation, marketing, and identity solutions in 30+ countries, with data on over one billion consumers. Revenue is primarily transaction- and subscription-based, with U.S. Markets Financial Services representing 37% of 2025 consolidated gross revenues and Consumer Interactive representing 13%. The OneTru platform centralizes AI-powered analytics and identity resolution for business and consumer customers.

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