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MSCIMSCI Inc.Hold6.0·$608.16-0.49%
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MSCI Inc. (MSCI) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $608.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Index segment (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

MSCI provides indexes, analytics, sustainability and climate data, and private asset solutions to approximately 6,800 clients in more than 100 countries, generating revenues primarily through recurring subscriptions and asset-based fees. The Index segment represented 57% of 2025... Read more

$608.16+1.9% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#5 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.71%
IncomeYield1.34%(5y avg 1.01%)Payout42.55%sustainable
Stop $575.56Target $619.71(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$688.56+13.2%16 analysts
$619.71our TP
$608.16price
$688.56mean
$550
$730

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $608.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Index segment (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About MSCI Inc.

About MSCI Inc.

MSCI's five operating segments produced revenues that were 57.0% Index, 22.8% Analytics, and 11.3% Sustainability and Climate for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, with Real Assets and Private Capital Solutions reported together as All Other – Private Assets. The company served approximately 6,800 clients in more than 100 countries, and BlackRock — simultaneously a client, shareholder, and competitor — accounted for 10.8% of consolidated operating revenues in 2025, up from 10.2% in 2024.

MSCI generates revenue through two primary fee types: annual recurring subscriptions spanning index data, Barra equity and multi-asset class risk models, ESG ratings, sustainability screening tools, and private asset benchmarks; and variable asset-based fees tied to clients' AUM or trading volumes in indexed financial products. For the Index segment, asset-based fees alone accounted for 43.1% of that segment's 2025 revenues, making them sensitive to equity market levels and net fund flows. Clients span asset managers, banks and broker-dealers, asset owners, hedge fund managers, wealth managers, insurance companies, and corporates. MSCI co-maintains the GICS global industry classification standard with S&P Dow Jones Indices, a division of S&P Global Inc. — an arrangement that illustrates the competitor/partner dynamic characterizing several key relationships. A majority of Index segment revenues flow from recurring subscriptions, partially moderating exposure to AUM-driven variability.

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BlackRock accounted for 10.8% of MSCI's consolidated operating revenues in fiscal 2025, with 96.5% of those revenues derived from asset-based fees tied to BlackRock's ETFs and non-ETF indexed products. The 10-K identifies BlackRock as simultaneously a significant shareholder, competitor, and distributor of content, noting this dynamic 'may introduce competitive pressures that could cause these clients to terminate all or a portion of the relationship.' Any decline in AUM in BlackRock's MSCI-indexed products, a renegotiation of fee rates, or a shift toward internally developed indexes could weigh on MSCI's Index segment, which itself represents 57% of total revenue.

See also: Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

From MSCI Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Jul 21, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Index segment (57.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)35.0
P/E (Fwd)27.2
Mkt Cap$44.4B
EV/EBITDA26.7
Profit Mgn40.7%
ROE
Rev Growth14.1%
Beta1.23
Dividend1.34%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.84neutral
IV43%normal
Max Pain$320-47.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductIndex segment57%
    10-K Item 1: '57.0% of our revenues were attributable to our Index segment'
  • LOWCustomerBlackRock11%
    10-K Item 1: 'our largest client organization by revenue, BlackRock, accounted for 10.8% of our consolidated operating revenues'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-31Item 5.02MEDIUM
    C. Jack Read, Global Controller and Chief Accounting Officer (principal accounting officer), resigned to pursue another opportunity. Will continue in role until August 9, 2026. No disagreement with Company on financial statements, internal controls, operations, policies or practices cited. Successor search initiated.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Ps
0.9
Pe
3.7
Peg Ratio
4.5
Forward Pe
4.6
Analyst Target
5.0
Forward P/E: 27.2xPEG: 1.97
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $569.18Resistance $644.68

Price Targets

$576
$620
A.Upside+1.9%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.9% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MSCI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $608.16, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: Index segment (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $619.71 (+1.9%), stop $575.56 (−5.7%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MSCI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $619.71 (+1.9% upside). Target $619.71 (+1.9%), stop $575.56 (−5.7%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $575.56.

What are the risks of investing in MSCI?

Concentration risk — Product: Index segment (57.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Expensive valuation.

Is MSCI overvalued or undervalued?

MSCI Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.0 (forward 27.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MSCI?

25 analysts cover MSCI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $689.

What does MSCI Inc. do?MSCI provides indexes, analytics, sustainability and climate data, and private asset solutions to approximately 6,800...

MSCI provides indexes, analytics, sustainability and climate data, and private asset solutions to approximately 6,800 clients in more than 100 countries, generating revenues primarily through recurring subscriptions and asset-based fees. The Index segment represented 57% of 2025 revenues, with BlackRock as the largest client at 10.8% of consolidated operating revenues.

Related stocks: ICE (Intercontinental Exchange Inc.) · MORN (Morningstar, Inc.) · TRU (TransUnion) · NDAQ (Nasdaq, Inc.) · SPGI (S&P Global Inc.)
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