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MSCI Inc. (MSCI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldDEATH CROSS (EXEMPT)Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $587.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.1%; Expensive valuation.

MSCI provides research-based indexes, portfolio analytics, ESG/climate solutions, and private asset data to approximately 6,800 institutional investment clients in 100+ countries. Revenue is primarily recurring fees tied to assets under management in indexed products,... Read more

$587.24+5.1% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Stop $554.97Target $616.89(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$685.44+16.7%16 analysts
$616.89our TP
$587.24price
$685.44mean
$550
$730

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $587.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.1%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 81d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 5.1%
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.1
P/E (Fwd)26.6
Mkt Cap$43.5B
EV/EBITDA26.2
Profit Mgn40.7%
ROE
Rev Growth14.1%
Beta1.29
Dividend1.37%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.63bullish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$800+36.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerBlackRock11%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our largest client organization by revenue, BlackRock, accounted for 10.8% of our consolidated operating revenues'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-31Item 5.02MEDIUM
    C. Jack Read (Global Controller and Chief Accounting Officer) notified MSCI on March 27, 2026 of his intention to resign effective August 9, 2026 to pursue another opportunity. No successor named; search initiated. No disagreement with company cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Ps
1.1
Pe
3.8
Peg Ratio
4.6
Forward Pe
4.7
Analyst Target
6.0
Forward P/E: 26.6xPEG: 1.93
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotDeath cross exempted (quality + momentum high enough)Momentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 81d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
70 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $531.45Resistance $621.29

Price Targets

$555
$617
A.Upside+5.0%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (81d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MSCI stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $587.24, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 5.1%; Expensive valuation. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 70. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $616.89 (+5.0%), stop $554.97 (−5.8%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MSCI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $616.89 (+5.1% upside). Target $616.89 (+5.0%), stop $554.97 (−5.8%), A.R:R 0.5:1. Stop-loss: $554.97.

What are the risks of investing in MSCI?

Thin upside margin: 5.1%; Expensive valuation.

Is MSCI overvalued or undervalued?

MSCI Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.1 (forward 26.6). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MSCI?

25 analysts cover MSCI with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $685.

What does MSCI Inc. do?MSCI provides research-based indexes, portfolio analytics, ESG/climate solutions, and private asset data to...

MSCI provides research-based indexes, portfolio analytics, ESG/climate solutions, and private asset data to approximately 6,800 institutional investment clients in 100+ countries. Revenue is primarily recurring fees tied to assets under management in indexed products, subscriptions, and transaction-based fees. BlackRock, the largest client, accounted for 10.8% of 2025 operating revenues.

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