Murphy Oil Corporation (MUR) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Energy · Oil & Gas E&P
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $41.77 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.7% away).
Murphy Oil is a global E&P company producing crude oil, NGLs, and natural gas from the Gulf of America, Eagle Ford Shale, and Canada (Tupper Montney, Kaybob Duvernay), with 2025 production of 188,682 BOEPD. Revenue comes from commodity sales priced off WTI, Brent, and regional... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $41.77 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -8.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $41.77 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (3.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $39.03. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $42.47 (+1.7% upside). Prior stop was $39.03. Stop-loss: $39.03.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (3.7% away); Earnings in 6 days (event risk).
Murphy Oil Corporation trades at a P/E of 58.1 (forward 11.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
23 analysts cover MUR with a consensus score of 3.2/5. Average price target: $42.
What does Murphy Oil Corporation do?Murphy Oil is a global E&P company producing crude oil, NGLs, and natural gas from the Gulf of America, Eagle Ford...
Murphy Oil is a global E&P company producing crude oil, NGLs, and natural gas from the Gulf of America, Eagle Ford Shale, and Canada (Tupper Montney, Kaybob Duvernay), with 2025 production of 188,682 BOEPD. Revenue comes from commodity sales priced off WTI, Brent, and regional benchmarks.