Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: STMicroelectronics; Earnings estimates trending DOWN.
Mobileye develops and deploys advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technology, generating $1.9 billion in revenue in 2025 (up 15% from $1.7 billion in 2024) from EyeQ™ SoC chips and software solutions shipped to over 50 OEMs with 35.7 million units in... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: STMicroelectronics; Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.
About Mobileye Global Inc.
About Mobileye Global Inc.
Mobileye generated $1.9 billion in revenue in 2025, a 15% increase from $1.7 billion in 2024, driven by 35.7 million EyeQ SoC and SuperVision systems shipped to more than 50 active OEM customers. The company has deployed its systems in approximately 1,400 vehicle models and more than 230 million vehicles as of December 27, 2025. Intel owns approximately 79.5% of outstanding shares and 97.3% of voting power; on February 3, 2026, Mobileye completed the acquisition of Mentee Robotics, a humanoid robotics company, to address what the company calls a second Physical AI market.
Mobileye earns revenue primarily from EyeQ SoC sales to Tier 1 automotive suppliers, who embed the chips in driver assistance electronic control units (ECUs) deployed in OEM vehicle models. Base ADAS (front-camera collision warning, lane keeping) represents current mainstream volume; Cloud-Enhanced ADAS and SuperVision (an 11-camera, hands-off system) carry higher per-vehicle pricing. STMicroelectronics manufactures all EyeQ SoCs as the company's sole foundry supplier — during 2021–2022, STMicroelectronics was unable to meet Mobileye's demand, causing significant inventory depletion. Mobileye's REM mapping system collected 34.5 billion miles of road data in 2025 from more than 8 million REM-enabled vehicles, supplying Mobileye Roadbook crowd-sourced maps that differentiate higher-margin cloud-enhanced solutions. The company competes in silicon against NVIDIA, Qualcomm/Arriver, NXP, and Renesas, and at the Tier 1 level against Bosch, Continental, and Denso.
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STMicroelectronics represents a single-point supply chain dependency: Mobileye sources all EyeQ SoCs from a sole foundry with no disclosed alternative. The 10-K states the company is substantially reliant on timely STMicroelectronics shipments, and a reoccurrence of supply constraints could impair Mobileye's ability to meet OEM customer requirements. Intel's 97.3% voting control, combined with provisions in Mobileye's certificate of incorporation governing related-person transactions, creates a risk that conflicts of interest with Intel may not be resolved on terms favorable to public minority shareholders.
See also: Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
From Mobileye Global Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-17Recent Developments — Mobileye Global Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Mobileye Global (NASDAQ:MBLY) Price Target Cut to $8.50 by Analysts at BNP Paribas Exane - MarketBeat — MarketBeat negative
- NEWS Barclays Remains a Buy on Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A (MBLY) - The Globe and Mail — The Globe and Mail positive
- NEWS Why Mobileye Global (MBLY) Just Saw Expectations Reset - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance negative
- NEWS Mobileye Global Inc expected to post earnings of 8 cents a share - Earnings Preview - TradingView — TradingView neutral
- NEWS Why Is Mobileye (MBLY) Stock Soaring Today - StockStory — StockStory positive
Generated 2026-06-17T09:12:25Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierSTMicroelectronics10-K Item 1A: 'STMicroelectronics, our sole supplier of EyeQ™ SoCs, was not able to meet our demand for EyeQ™ SoCs'
- MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of Tier 1 customers10-K Item 1A: 'We depend on a limited number of Tier 1 customers and OEMs for a substantial portion of our revenue'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
1 ceiling hit
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Analyst Consensus
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $9.64, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: STMicroelectronics; Earnings estimates trending DOWN. Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $11.96 (+24.1%), stop $8.95 (−7.7%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $11.96 (+24.3% upside). Target $11.96 (+24.1%), stop $8.95 (−7.7%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $8.95.
Concentration risk — Supplier: STMicroelectronics; Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Mobileye Global Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 26.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.
36 analysts cover MBLY with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $13.
What does Mobileye Global Inc. do?Mobileye develops and deploys advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technology, generating...
Mobileye develops and deploys advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technology, generating $1.9 billion in revenue in 2025 (up 15% from $1.7 billion in 2024) from EyeQ™ SoC chips and software solutions shipped to over 50 OEMs with 35.7 million units in 2025. Intel owns approximately 79.5% of outstanding shares; in February 2026, Mobileye acquired humanoid robotics company Mentee Robotics.