Skip to main content

Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.

Mobileye Global Inc. develops and deploys advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies and solutions in the United States, Europe, China, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Mobileye and Moovit. It offers end-to-end ADAS and... Read more

$8.71+38.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 26 Auto Parts
Stop $8.09Target $12.08(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$13.43+54.1%28 analysts
$12.08our TP
$8.71price
$13.43mean
$27

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 39%
Risks
Negative momentum
Elevated risk factors
Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)24.3
Mkt Cap$7.4B
EV/EBITDA-21.1
Profit Mgn-204.0%
ROE-40.6%
Rev Growth27.4%
Beta0.74
DividendNone
Rating analysts36

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C15.45bearish
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$3-65.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
2.3
Support Resistance
3.2

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
2.7
Ma Position
6.0
Macd
9.4
Overbought bear rally (RSI 75)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
75 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.04Resistance $9.49

Price Targets

$8
$12
A.Upside+38.7%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MBLY stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.71, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 75. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $12.08 (+38.7%), stop $8.09 (−7.7%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MBLY stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.08 (+38.9% upside). Target $12.08 (+38.7%), stop $8.09 (−7.7%), A.R:R 2.6:1. Stop-loss: $8.09.

What are the risks of investing in MBLY?

Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors; Below 200-MA, MA slope -10.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is MBLY overvalued or undervalued?

Mobileye Global Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 24.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MBLY?

36 analysts cover MBLY with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $13.

What does Mobileye Global Inc. do?Mobileye Global Inc. develops and deploys advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies...

Mobileye Global Inc. develops and deploys advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technologies and solutions in the United States, Europe, China, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Mobileye and Moovit. It offers end-to-end ADAS and autonomous driving solutions, including Base ADAS, a front camera that delivers a combination of intelligent safety features to avoid unsafe driving situations; Cloud-Enhanced ADAS, which leverages crowdsourced data to offer accurate localization; safer, smoother, and natural driving experience; and Mobileye Surround ADAS that offer eyes-on/hands-off functionality for highway ODDs with features, such as automatic lane change, front and rear collision avoidance, traffic jam assist, and a Highway Pilot function, as well as includes DXP support that enables customers to customize the driving experience. It also provides Mobileye SuperVision, a eyes-on/hands-off driver assist system for autonomous vehicles; Mobileye Chauffeur, an eyes-off/hands-off solution for consumer vehicles; and Mobileye Drive, a fleet-focused end-to-end self-driving system that enables automakers, public transportation companies, and transportation network operators to offer a no-driver solution for robotaxis, ride-pooling, public transport, and goods delivery. In addition, it offers EyeQ SoC that provide drivers with basic safety features covered by front-facing sensing, such as collision warning, lane departure warnings, pedestrian and cyclist collision warning, headway monitoring and warning, speed limit indicator, blind spot detection, and others; True Redundancy, which is an AI system architecture; and Road Experience Management solutions. It provides its products and services to original equipment manufacturers through automotive suppliers, as well as fleet owners and operators. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Jerusalem, Israel. Mobileye Global Inc. is a subsidiary of Intel Corporation.

Related stocks: GNTX (Gentex Corporation) · GTX (Garrett Motion Inc.) · XPEL (XPEL, Inc.) · DORM (Dorman Products, Inc.) · LKQ (LKQ Corporation)