Mobileye trades at an attractive valuation relative to its 27% revenue growth with a risk/reward ratio of roughly 3.6-to-1 and 25% upside to the analyst consensus target, but confirmed negative price momentum and a hard negative moving-average crossover signal that the market has not yet recognized the fundamental opportunity; patience is required for a technical catalyst before the setup resolves.
Thesis pillars
- Fcf Positive Piotroski Strength↓Deteriorating
- Strong Growth Attractive Valuation↑Improving
- Confirmed Price Downtrend↓Deteriorating
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 12, 2026· older than 90 days
Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.59: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 29%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
Mobileye develops and deploys advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technology, generating $1.9 billion in revenue in 2025 (up 15% from $1.7 billion in 2024) from EyeQ™ SoC chips and software solutions shipped to over 50 OEMs with 35.7 million units in... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.59: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 29%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.
About Mobileye Global Inc.
About Mobileye Global Inc.
Mobileye generated $1.9 billion in revenue in 2025, a 15% increase from $1.7 billion in 2024, driven by 35.7 million EyeQ SoC and SuperVision systems shipped to more than 50 active OEM customers. The company has deployed its systems in approximately 1,400 vehicle models and more than 230 million vehicles as of December 27, 2025. Intel owns approximately 79.5% of outstanding shares and 97.3% of voting power; on February 3, 2026, Mobileye completed the acquisition of Mentee Robotics, a humanoid robotics company, to address what the company calls a second Physical AI market.
Mobileye earns revenue primarily from EyeQ SoC sales to Tier 1 automotive suppliers, who embed the chips in driver assistance electronic control units (ECUs) deployed in OEM vehicle models. Base ADAS (front-camera collision warning, lane keeping) represents current mainstream volume; Cloud-Enhanced ADAS and SuperVision (an 11-camera, hands-off system) carry higher per-vehicle pricing. STMicroelectronics manufactures all EyeQ SoCs as the company's sole foundry supplier — during 2021–2022, STMicroelectronics was unable to meet Mobileye's demand, causing significant inventory depletion. Mobileye's REM mapping system collected 34.5 billion miles of road data in 2025 from more than 8 million REM-enabled vehicles, supplying Mobileye Roadbook crowd-sourced maps that differentiate higher-margin cloud-enhanced solutions. The company competes in silicon against NVIDIA, Qualcomm/Arriver, NXP, and Renesas, and at the Tier 1 level against Bosch, Continental, and Denso.
Show full overview
STMicroelectronics represents a single-point supply chain dependency: Mobileye sources all EyeQ SoCs from a sole foundry with no disclosed alternative. The 10-K states the company is substantially reliant on timely STMicroelectronics shipments, and a reoccurrence of supply constraints could impair Mobileye's ability to meet OEM customer requirements. Intel's 97.3% voting control, combined with provisions in Mobileye's certificate of incorporation governing related-person transactions, creates a risk that conflicts of interest with Intel may not be resolved on terms favorable to public minority shareholders.
See also: Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
From Mobileye Global Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated Oct 26, 2026Recent Developments — Mobileye Global Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Where Mobileye Global Goes After A 51% Drop - Simply Wall Street — Simply Wall Street Oct 26, 2026 negative
- NEWS Mobileye Sinks 5% While BlackBerry Rises 3%: Is Wall Street Choosing Car Software Over Chips? - 24/7 Wall St. — 24/7 Wall St. Oct 23, 2026 negative
- NEWS Mobileye Global (NASDAQ:MBLY) Stock Bumped Down to Hold by Zacks Research - MarketBeat — MarketBeat Oct 22, 2026 negative
- NEWS Mobileye Global, Inc. Class A (MBLY) Live Share Price, Invest From India - INDmoney — INDmoney Oct 21, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Mobileye falls as RBC downgrades stock to Underperform on growth risks - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Oct 21, 2026 negative
Latest item Oct 26, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T12:04:36Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierSTMicroelectronics10-K Item 1A: 'STMicroelectronics, our sole supplier of EyeQ™ SoCs, was not able to meet our demand for EyeQ™ SoCs'
- MEDIUMCustomerlimited number of Tier 1 customers10-K Item 1A: 'We depend on a limited number of Tier 1 customers and OEMs for a substantial portion of our revenue'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Revenue shrinking — -2.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.59: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.8/10 and A.R:R 3.5:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 29%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $5.40. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $8.43 (+50.8% upside). Prior stop was $5.40. Stop-loss: $5.40.
Concentration risk — Supplier: STMicroelectronics; Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).
Mobileye Global Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
32 analysts rate MBLY, with a consensus score of 3.5/5. 23 analysts publish price targets averaging $9.
What does Mobileye Global Inc. do?Mobileye develops and deploys advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technology, generating...
Mobileye develops and deploys advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving technology, generating $1.9 billion in revenue in 2025 (up 15% from $1.7 billion in 2024) from EyeQ™ SoC chips and software solutions shipped to over 50 OEMs with 35.7 million units in 2025. Intel owns approximately 79.5% of outstanding shares; in February 2026, Mobileye acquired humanoid robotics company Mentee Robotics.