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lululemon athletica inc. (LULU) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Temp Headwind edge

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $130.66 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Weak growth.

Our vision is to create transformative products and experiences that build meaningful connections, unlocking greater possibility and wellbeing for all. Since our inception, we have fostered a distinctive corporate culture; we promote a set of core values in our business which... Read more

$117.00+42.3% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#7 of 12 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.78%
Entry $130.66(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $123.57Target $161.43(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 6.3:1
Analyst target$179.36+53.3%25 analysts
$161.43our TP
$117.00price
$179.36mean
$295

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $130.66 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 18, MACD bearish. Value play: 40% MoS with quality 7.9. | Falling knife (FK=6.5): wait for stabilization. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 15d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — lululemon athletica inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • Apr 28, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.** _Appointment of Director_ On April 26, 2026, the board of directors (the "Board") of lululemon athletica inc.
  • Apr 22, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: . | Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 21, 2026, lululemon athletica inc. entered into an employment agreement with Heidi O'Neill whereby it agreed to appoint Ms.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.9 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Weak growth
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)9.0
P/E (Fwd)9.0
Mkt Cap$14.3B
EV/EBITDA5.1
Profit Mgn14.2%
ROE34.0%
Rev Growth0.8%
Beta0.90
DividendNone
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV70%elevated
Max Pain$65-44.4% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-28Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.** _Appointment of Director_ On April 26, 2026, the board of directors (the "Board") of lululemon athletica inc.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . | Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 21, 2026, lululemon athletica inc. entered into an employment agreement with Heidi O'Neill whereby it agreed to appoint Ms.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-17Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . | Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Appointment of Director On March 13, 2026, the board of directors (the "Board") of lululemon athletica inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 18, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.7
GatesMomentum 1.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 6.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 15d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
18 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $116.76Resistance $152.08

Price Targets

$124
$131
$161
A.Upside+38.0%
A.R:R6.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionHigh conviction
Suggested %0.9%
Max %1.8%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-04 (15d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LULU stock a buy right now?

Wait — supporting gate not met yet. Price is at or below entry $130.66 but weak momentum; below 200-day MA (death cross) still blocks BUY_NOW. Key risks: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 18, MACD bearish. Value play: 40% MoS with quality 7.9. | Falling knife (FK=6.5): wait for stabilization. Target $161.43 (+38.0%), stop $123.57 (−-5.3%), Setup A.R:R 6.8:1. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LULU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $161.43 (+42.3% upside). Target $161.43 (+38.0%), stop $123.57 (−-5.3%), Setup A.R:R 6.8:1. Stop-loss: $123.57.

What are the risks of investing in LULU?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Weak growth; Negative momentum.

Is LULU overvalued or undervalued?

lululemon athletica inc. trades at a P/E of 9.0 (forward 9.0). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about LULU?

39 analysts cover LULU with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $179.

What does lululemon athletica inc. do?Our vision is to create transformative products and experiences that build meaningful connections, unlocking greater...

Our vision is to create transformative products and experiences that build meaningful connections, unlocking greater possibility and wellbeing for all. Since our inception, we have fostered a distinctive corporate culture; we promote a set of core values in our business which include taking personal responsibility, acting with courage, valuing connection and inclusion, and choosing to have fun.

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