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lululemon athletica inc. (LULU) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Temp Headwind edge

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $137.58 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth.

Our vision is to create transformative products and experiences that build meaningful connections, unlocking greater possibility and wellbeing for all. Since our inception, we have fostered a distinctive corporate culture; we promote a set of core values in our business which... Read more

$137.58+18.4% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#8 of 12 Apparel Retail
Stop $132.79Target $162.98(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.0:1
Analyst target$181.08+31.6%25 analysts
$162.98our TP
$137.58price
$181.08mean
$295

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $137.58 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Weak growth
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.4
P/E (Fwd)10.4
Mkt Cap$16.2B
EV/EBITDA5.9
Profit Mgn14.2%
ROE34.0%
Rev Growth0.8%
Beta1.07
DividendNone
Rating analysts39

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.00bearish
IV54%elevated
Max Pain$90-34.6% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-22Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . | Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On April 21, 2026, lululemon athletica inc. entered into an employment agreement with Heidi O'Neill whereby it agreed to appoint Ms.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-17Item 5.02MEDIUM
    . | Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Appointment of Director On March 13, 2026, the board of directors (the "Board") of lululemon athletica inc.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 24, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.7
GatesMomentum 1.0<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Moderate
RSI
24 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $136.90Resistance $170.20

Price Targets

$133
$163
A.Upside+18.5%
A.R:R2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-04 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LULU stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $137.58 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Weak growth. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $132.79. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LULU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $162.98 (+18.4% upside). Prior stop was $132.79. Stop-loss: $132.79.

What are the risks of investing in LULU?

Weak growth; Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.3%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is LULU overvalued or undervalued?

lululemon athletica inc. trades at a P/E of 10.4 (forward 10.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LULU?

39 analysts cover LULU with a consensus score of 3.3/5. Average price target: $181.

What does lululemon athletica inc. do?Our vision is to create transformative products and experiences that build meaningful connections, unlocking greater...

Our vision is to create transformative products and experiences that build meaningful connections, unlocking greater possibility and wellbeing for all. Since our inception, we have fostered a distinctive corporate culture; we promote a set of core values in our business which include taking personal responsibility, acting with courage, valuing connection and inclusion, and choosing to have fun.

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