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LIMENeutron Holdings, Inc.Hold7.0·$26.28
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Neutron Holdings looks attractively valued with strong growth and quality (Piotroski 8/9), but earnings are expected to decline about 72% from a cyclical peak and the forward P/E of 18x is 3.6x the trailing multiple, so cheapness on trailing numbers is a cyclical trap risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Quality And Margins→Stable
  • Cyclical Peak Earnings Decline→Stable
  • Attractive Valuation Analyst Upside↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Neutron Holdings, Inc. (LIME) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Neutron Holdings, Inc., doing business as Lime, provides electric vehicle sharing services in the United States. The company offers dock-free bikes and scooters for riding through its mobile application. It offers Gen 4.1 scooters, e-scooters, e-bikes, Gen 3 e-scooters, Lime... Read more

$26.28+30.5% A.UpsideScore 7.0/10#2 of 18 Rental & Leasing Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $24.44Analyst target $34.30(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst consensus$39.43+50.0%7 analysts
$34.30Analyst target
$26.28price
$39.43mean
$45

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-21
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202614d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Outperforming peers
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)5.1
P/E (Fwd)17.0
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA9.1
Profit Mgn21.3%
ROE—
Rev Growth23.6%
Beta—
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.7
Ma Position
2.5
Volume
3.1
Rsi
4.5
Macd
6.1
Volume distribution (falling OBV)
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 14d<=14d (soft)A.R:R 2.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
43 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $23.96Resistance $29.99

Price Targets

$24
$34
A.Upside+30.5%
A.R:R2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 17x vs trail 5x (3.3x)
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (14d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LIME stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $26.28, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $34.30 (+30.5%), stop $24.44 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Score 7.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LIME stock price target?

Analyst target: $34.30 (+30.5% upside). Analyst target $34.30 (+30.5%), stop $24.44 (−7.5%), A.R:R 2.1:1. Stop-loss: $24.44.

What are the risks of investing in LIME?

Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Negative momentum.

Is LIME overvalued or undervalued?

Neutron Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 5.1 (forward 17.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.7/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LIME?

14 analysts cover LIME with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Neutron Holdings, Inc. do?Neutron Holdings, Inc., doing business as Lime, provides electric vehicle sharing services in the United States. The...

Neutron Holdings, Inc., doing business as Lime, provides electric vehicle sharing services in the United States. The company offers dock-free bikes and scooters for riding through its mobile application. It offers Gen 4.1 scooters, e-scooters, e-bikes, Gen 3 e-scooters, Lime jump e-bikes, and Gen4 seated e-scooters. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in San Francisco, California.

Related stocks: PRG (PROG Holdings, Inc.) · GATX (GATX Corporation) · WLFC (Willis Lease Finance Corporatio) · HRI (Herc Holdings Inc.) · CTOS (Custom Truck One Source, Inc.)
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