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LIMENeutron Holdings, Inc.Hold6.5·$32.50-4.66%
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Lime is a fundamentally strong, fast-growing operator with best-in-class margins and a fresh earnings beat, but the stock is trading well above its price target already, carries cyclical earnings-normalization risk, and failed the engine's asymmetry gate outright with a negative reward/risk ratio.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Margins Growth QualityStable
  • Trading Above Price TargetStable
  • Cyclical Pe Expansion RiskStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Neutron Holdings, Inc. (LIME) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $32.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.1x (earnings normalizing); Thin upside margin: 5.5%.

Neutron Holdings, Inc., doing business as Lime, provides electric vehicle sharing services in the United States. The company offers dock-free bikes and scooters for riding through its mobile application. It offers Gen 4.1 scooters, e-scooters, e-bikes, Gen 3 e-scooters, Lime... Read more

$32.50+5.5% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#2 of 18 Rental & Leasing Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
Stop $31.50Target $34.30(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$39.43+21.3%7 analysts
$34.30our TP
$32.50price
$39.43mean
$45

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $32.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.1x (earnings normalizing); Thin upside margin: 5.5%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 54d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-10
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 3, 202654d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Outperforming peers
Risks
Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.1x (earnings normalizing)
Thin upside margin: 5.5%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.4
P/E (Fwd)23.8
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA12.8
Profit Mgn21.3%
ROE
Rev Growth23.6%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.3
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 54d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $32.47Resistance $44.38

Price Targets

$32
$34
A.Upside+5.5%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.4 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-03 (54d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LIME stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $32.50, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.1x (earnings normalizing); Thin upside margin: 5.5%. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $34.30 (+5.5%), stop $31.50 (−3.2%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LIME stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.30 (+5.5% upside). Target $34.30 (+5.5%), stop $31.50 (−3.2%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $31.50.

What are the risks of investing in LIME?

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.1x (earnings normalizing); Thin upside margin: 5.5%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is LIME overvalued or undervalued?

Neutron Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.4 (forward 23.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LIME?

14 analysts cover LIME with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $39.

What does Neutron Holdings, Inc. do?Neutron Holdings, Inc., doing business as Lime, provides electric vehicle sharing services in the United States. The...

Neutron Holdings, Inc., doing business as Lime, provides electric vehicle sharing services in the United States. The company offers dock-free bikes and scooters for riding through its mobile application. It offers Gen 4.1 scooters, e-scooters, e-bikes, Gen 3 e-scooters, Lime jump e-bikes, and Gen4 seated e-scooters. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in San Francisco, California.

Related stocks: PRG (PROG Holdings, Inc.) · WLFC (Willis Lease Finance Corporatio) · GATX (GATX Corporation) · HRI (Herc Holdings Inc.) · AER (AerCap Holdings N.V.)
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