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LIMENeutron Holdings, Inc.Hold6.4·$18.22
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Neutron Holdings looks attractively valued with strong growth and quality (Piotroski 8/9), but earnings are expected to decline about 72% from a cyclical peak and the forward P/E of 18x is 3.6x the trailing multiple, so cheapness on trailing numbers is a cyclical trap risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Quality And Margins↑Improving
  • Cyclical Peak Earnings Decline↓Deteriorating
  • Attractive Valuation Analyst Upside↑Improving
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Oct 18, 2026

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Neutron Holdings, Inc. (LIME) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

HoldValueGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~78% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Neutron Holdings, Inc., doing business as Lime, provides electric vehicle sharing services in the United States. The company offers dock-free bikes and scooters for riding through its mobile application. It offers Gen 4.1 scooters, e-scooters, e-bikes, Gen 3 e-scooters, Lime... Read more

$18.22+61.7% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#2 of 18 Rental & Leasing Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield—
Stop $16.94Analyst target $29.46(−13% haircut)A.R:R 4.1:1
Analyst consensus$33.86+85.8%7 analysts with price targets
$29.46Analyst target
$18.22price
$33.86mean
$40

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~78% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 100d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 7, 2026

Recent Developments — Neutron Holdings, Inc.

Latest item Nov 7, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-10T11:32:59Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 18, 2027100d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Earnings expected to decline ~78% (cyclical peak)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)3.6
P/E (Fwd)16.0
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA4.7
Profit Mgn21.3%
ROE—
Rev Growth19.6%
Beta—
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV108%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Volume
2.7
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 30, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
7.4
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R 4.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 100d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
30 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $17.22Resistance $29.27

Price Targets

$17
$29
A.Upside+61.7%
A.R:R4.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 16x vs trail 4x (4.5x)
! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-18 (100d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LIME stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $18.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings expected to decline ~78% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $29.46 (+61.7%), stop $16.94 (−7.6%), A.R:R 4.1:1. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LIME stock price target?

Analyst target: $29.46 (+61.7% upside). Analyst target $29.46 (+61.7%), stop $16.94 (−7.6%), A.R:R 4.1:1. Stop-loss: $16.94.

What are the risks of investing in LIME?

Earnings expected to decline ~78% (cyclical peak); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Weak growth.

Is LIME overvalued or undervalued?

Neutron Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 3.6 (forward 16.0). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LIME?

14 analysts rate LIME, with a consensus score of 4.2/5. 7 analysts publish price targets averaging $34.

What does Neutron Holdings, Inc. do?Neutron Holdings, Inc., doing business as Lime, provides electric vehicle sharing services in the United States. The...

Neutron Holdings, Inc., doing business as Lime, provides electric vehicle sharing services in the United States. The company offers dock-free bikes and scooters for riding through its mobile application. It offers Gen 4.1 scooters, e-scooters, e-bikes, Gen 3 e-scooters, Lime jump e-bikes, and Gen4 seated e-scooters. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is based in San Francisco, California.

Related stocks: PRG (PROG Holdings, Inc.) · WLFC (Willis Lease Finance Corporatio) · GATX (GATX Corporation) · HRI (Herc Holdings Inc.) · R (Ryder System, Inc.)
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