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Willis Lease Finance Corporatio (WLFC) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

Sell if holding. At $178.83, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Willis Lease Finance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a lessor and servicer of commercial aircraft and aircraft engines worldwide. It operates in two segments, Leasing and Related Operations, and Spare Parts Sales. The company engages in acquiring and... Read more

$178.83+7.4% A.UpsideScore 6.5/10#1 of 16 Rental & Leasing Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.11%
IncomeYield0.92%Payout7.86%sustainable
Stop $166.85Target $192.10(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$226.00+26.4%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. At $178.83, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Willis Lease Finance Corporatio

Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.4%
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.5
P/E (Fwd)9.6
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn16.2%
ROE17.6%
Rev Growth24.6%
Beta0.81
Dividend0.92%
Rating analysts7

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·2 ceiling hits

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
44 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $172.01Resistance $239.01

Price Targets

$167
$192
A.Upside+7.4%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WLFC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $178.83, A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $166.85. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the WLFC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $192.10 (+7.4% upside). Prior stop was $166.85. Stop-loss: $166.85.

What are the risks of investing in WLFC?

Thin upside margin: 7.4%; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.0): -1.5.

Is WLFC overvalued or undervalued?

Willis Lease Finance Corporatio trades at a P/E of 10.5 (forward 9.6). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WLFC?

7 analysts cover WLFC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $226.

What does Willis Lease Finance Corporatio do?Willis Lease Finance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a lessor and servicer of commercial...

Willis Lease Finance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a lessor and servicer of commercial aircraft and aircraft engines worldwide. It operates in two segments, Leasing and Related Operations, and Spare Parts Sales. The company engages in acquiring and leasing commercial aircraft, aircraft engines, and related aircraft equipment, as well as the purchase and resale of commercial aircraft engines and other aircraft equipment, and service and maintenance related businesses. It also purchases and resells after-market engine parts, whole engines, engine modules, and portable aircraft components. The company serves commercial aircraft operators, as well as maintenance, repair, and overhaul organizations. Willis Lease Finance Corporation was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Coconut Creek, Florida.

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