Willis Lease Finance offers attractive valuation and strong historical growth, but the stock has essentially reached its analyst price target with only 0.7% upside remaining, making the current entry point unfavorable from a risk-reward perspective.
Thesis pillars
- Upside Exhaustion Target Reached↑Improving
- Valuation Attractive Multiples↓Deteriorating
- Revenue Earnings Growth Trajectory→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 10, 2026· older than 90 days
Willis Lease Finance Corporatio (WLFC) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge
Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.05: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.40; Below long-term trend. (Note: Risk dimension 2.7/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.)
Willis Lease Finance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a lessor and servicer of commercial aircraft and aircraft engines worldwide. It operates in two segments, Leasing and Related Operations, and Spare Parts Sales. The company engages in acquiring and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.05: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.40; Below long-term trend. (Note: Risk dimension 2.7/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated Nov 3, 2026Recent Developments — Willis Lease Finance Corporatio
Latest news
- NEWS Willis Lease Finance Q3 EPS $0.47 Misses $1.21 Estimate, Sales $246.322M Beat $170.450M Estimate — benzinga Nov 3, 2026 negative
- NEWS Earnings Preview: WLFC to Report Financial Results Pre-market on November 03 - 富途牛牛 — 富途牛牛 Oct 29, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Willis Lease Finance Completes Series B Preferred Offering - TipRanks — TipRanks Sep 30, 2026 positive
- NEWS Willis Lease Finance stock reports USD 35 million preferred deal - AD HOC NEWS — AD HOC NEWS Sep 24, 2026 positive
- NEWS Willis Lease Finance Crushes Q2 2026 Profit Estimates by 42.4% - AlphaStreet — AlphaStreet Aug 4, 2026 positive
Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:39:51Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductLeasing and Related Operations segment95%10-K Item 1: 'Total revenues from our Leasing and Related Operations reportable segment was 94.9% and 95.4% of the respective total consolidated revenue for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
- HIGHGeographicleased and operated internationally65%10-K Item 1: 'approximately 64.8% of our on-lease engines, aircraft, and related equipment (all of which we sometimes refer to as "equipment") by net book value are leased and operated internationally'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Volatile — 5.4% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $43.05: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.1/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.40; Below long-term trend. (Note: Risk dimension 2.7/10 and A.R:R 2.6:1 are different metrics that happen to read the same number here.) Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69. Prior stop was $40.04. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $59.92 (+39.2% upside). Prior stop was $40.04. Stop-loss: $40.04.
Concentration risk — Product: Leasing and Related Operations segment (94.9%); Concentration risk — Geographic: leased and operated internationally (64.8%); Risk below floor (2.7 < 3.0).
Willis Lease Finance Corporatio trades at a P/E of 12.8 (forward 6.3). TrendMatrix value score: 9.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts rate WLFC, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 2 analysts publish price targets averaging $71.
What does Willis Lease Finance Corporatio do?Willis Lease Finance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a lessor and servicer of commercial...
Willis Lease Finance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a lessor and servicer of commercial aircraft and aircraft engines worldwide. It operates in two segments, Leasing and Related Operations, and Spare Parts Sales. The company engages in acquiring and leasing commercial aircraft, aircraft engines, and related aircraft equipment, as well as the purchase and resale of commercial aircraft engines and other aircraft equipment, and service and maintenance related businesses. It also purchases and resells after-market engine parts, whole engines, engine modules, and portable aircraft components. The company serves commercial aircraft operators, as well as maintenance, repair, and overhaul organizations. Willis Lease Finance Corporation was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Coconut Creek, Florida.