Willis Lease Finance offers attractive valuation and strong historical growth, but the stock has essentially reached its analyst price target with only 0.7% upside remaining, making the current entry point unfavorable from a risk-reward perspective.
Thesis pillars
- Upside Exhaustion Target Reached↓Deteriorating
- Valuation Attractive Multiples→Stable
- Revenue Earnings Growth Trajectory→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Willis Lease Finance Corporatio (WLFC) Stock Analysis
Catalyst-Driven edge
Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.89: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 5.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.
Willis Lease Finance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a lessor and servicer of commercial aircraft and aircraft engines worldwide. It operates in two segments, Leasing and Related Operations, and Spare Parts Sales. The company engages in acquiring and... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.89: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 5.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 18d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-15Recent Developments — Willis Lease Finance Corporatio
Latest news
- NEWS Willis Lease Finance Completes Series B Preferred Offering - TipRanks — TipRanks positive
- NEWS Willis Lease Finance Corporation and RTX’s Pratt & Whitney Sign Five-Year Agreement for Engine Storage and Lease Return — markets.businessinsider.com positive
- NEWS Willis Lease Finance Corporation Announces Five-Year Pratt & Whitney Engine Storage and Lease Return Services Agreement — Quiver Quantitative positive
- NEWS Willis Lease Finance Corp (WLFC) Institutional Confidence - TradingKey — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS $WLFC Investigation: Willis Lease Finance Executive - GlobeNewswire — GlobeNewswire negative
Generated 2026-10-15T11:32:15Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHProductLeasing and Related Operations segment95%10-K Item 1: 'Total revenues from our Leasing and Related Operations reportable segment was 94.9% and 95.4% of the respective total consolidated revenue for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
- HIGHGeographicleased and operated internationally65%10-K Item 1: 'approximately 64.8% of our on-lease engines, aircraft, and related equipment (all of which we sometimes refer to as "equipment") by net book value are leased and operated internationally'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Volatile — 6.5% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $37.89: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.2/10 and A.R:R 5.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 20%; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $36.46. Score 6.2/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $64.17 (+69.4% upside). Prior stop was $36.46. Stop-loss: $36.46.
Concentration risk — Product: Leasing and Related Operations segment (94.9%); Concentration risk — Geographic: leased and operated internationally (64.8%); Risk below floor (1.8 < 3.0).
Willis Lease Finance Corporatio trades at a P/E of 9.9 (forward 5.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.
7 analysts cover WLFC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $76.
What does Willis Lease Finance Corporatio do?Willis Lease Finance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a lessor and servicer of commercial...
Willis Lease Finance Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a lessor and servicer of commercial aircraft and aircraft engines worldwide. It operates in two segments, Leasing and Related Operations, and Spare Parts Sales. The company engages in acquiring and leasing commercial aircraft, aircraft engines, and related aircraft equipment, as well as the purchase and resale of commercial aircraft engines and other aircraft equipment, and service and maintenance related businesses. It also purchases and resells after-market engine parts, whole engines, engine modules, and portable aircraft components. The company serves commercial aircraft operators, as well as maintenance, repair, and overhaul organizations. Willis Lease Finance Corporation was incorporated in 1985 and is headquartered in Coconut Creek, Florida.