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EQPTEquipmentShare.com IncSell6.0·$19.16-1.16%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

EquipmentShare is growing revenue at 38% year-over-year and has beaten earnings estimates in both reported quarters with an average surprise exceeding 60%, but the business burns cash at a rate that dwarfs net income by more than 30 times, quality metrics fall below minimum thresholds, and the options market is pricing in substantial downside — making this a high-conviction growth story with severe execution and financial risk.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Revenue Growth RateStable
  • Catastrophic Cash BurnStable
  • Analyst Consensus Upside PotentialImproving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

EquipmentShare.com Inc (EQPT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthShortModerate Confidence

Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.16: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality.

EquipmentShare.com Inc and subsidiaries ("EquipmentShare" or the "Company") was organized in 2014 and

$19.16+53.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#7 of 17 Rental & Leasing Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-14.65%
Stop $17.78Target $29.41(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.6:1
Analyst target$33.80+76.4%10 analysts
$29.41our TP
$19.16price
$33.80mean
$55

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.16: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 17d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-27

Recent Developments — EquipmentShare.com Inc

Generated 2026-07-27T18:52:51Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202617d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)215.3
P/E (Fwd)18.2
Mkt Cap$4.9B
EV/EBITDA25.3
Profit Mgn0.5%
ROE1.8%
Rev Growth38.1%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.57bullish
IV116%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-10Item 5.02MEDIUM
    UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 ___________________________________ FORM 8-K ___________________________________ CURRENT REPORT Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): June 4, ...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 8.1% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
2.0
Debt Equity
2.3
Days To Cover
3.6
Put Call
9.5
High short interest: 16%High IV: 116%

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Net Margin
0.2
Roe
0.6
Roa
2.2
Gross Margin
3.2
Moat
5.6
Current Ratio
8.4
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -3257% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.8
Bollinger
3.0
Support Resistance
3.5
Gap
6.0
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5Executive change: officer departure/appointmentA.R:R 3.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 17d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $15.71Resistance $20.99

Price Targets

$18
$29
A.Upside+53.8%
A.R:R3.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (17d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EQPT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $19.16: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 3.6:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $17.78. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EQPT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $29.41 (+53.8% upside). Prior stop was $17.78. Stop-loss: $17.78.

What are the risks of investing in EQPT?

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is EQPT overvalued or undervalued?

EquipmentShare.com Inc trades at a P/E of 215.3 (forward 18.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EQPT?

17 analysts cover EQPT with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $34.

What does EquipmentShare.com Inc do?EquipmentShare.com Inc and subsidiaries ("EquipmentShare" or the "Company") was organized in 2014...

EquipmentShare.com Inc and subsidiaries ("EquipmentShare" or the "Company") was organized in 2014 and

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