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LEVILevi Strauss & CoBuy Wait6.3·$24.88+1.93%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Levi Strauss combines a wide economic moat, four consecutive earnings beats averaging over 22% above estimates, and strong quality metrics — but the stock has essentially reached its near-term price target with only about 1.5% headroom remaining, leaving the reward-to-risk ratio at 0.25-to-1 and limiting the attractiveness of adding exposure at current levels despite the underlying business quality.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat High Quality FranchiseStable
  • Consistent Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Price Target Nearly ReachedStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Levi Strauss & Co (LEVI) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Earnings in 3 days (2026-07-08). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $22.86. At $24.88 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $22.86 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Levi's brand (94.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States.

Levi Strauss & Co. designs, markets and sells jeans, casual pants, activewear, tops and accessories under the Levi's® brand (94% of fiscal 2025 net revenues), operating 1,231 company-owned stores in 38 countries and distributing through approximately 50,000 retail locations... Read more

$24.88+9.0% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#2 of 14 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.80%
IncomeYield2.29%(5y avg 2.42%)Payout40.44%sustainable
Entry $22.86(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $21.23Target $24.96(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst target$27.73+11.5%15 analysts
$24.96our TP
$24.88price
$27.73mean
$34

Wait for pullback to $22.86. At $24.88 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $22.86 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Levi's brand (94.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (positive momentum, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 3d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-07
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 8, 20263d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Levi's brand (94.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.9
P/E (Fwd)14.5
Mkt Cap$9.4B
EV/EBITDA11.5
Profit Mgn9.5%
ROE25.4%
Rev Growth14.1%
Beta1.32
Dividend2.29%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.82neutral
IV75%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductLevi's brand94%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our Levi's® brand products accounted for 94%, 94% and 92% of our net revenues in each of the fiscal years 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively'
  • HIGHGeographicoutside the United States
    10-K Item 1: 'we derived over half of our net revenues from outside the United States in fiscal year 2025'
  • LOWCustomertop ten wholesale customers24%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to our top ten wholesale customers totaled 24%, 25% and 27% of our net revenues in fiscal years 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-07Item 5.02MEDIUM
    EVP and CFO Harmit Singh will transition to Special Advisor role; will remain as CFO until successor appointed or no later than November 30, 2026. Executive search firm retained for CFO search. No reason for departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 3d<=7dINSIDER 0.42%=MODERATEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.0>=5.5NEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
59 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.24Resistance $25.58

Price Targets

$21
$23
$25
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.1% upside)
! Earnings in 3 days - binary event risk
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-08 (3d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LEVI stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $22.86. At $24.88 the A.R:R is 0.1:1 — below the 1.5:1 minimum for BUY_NOW. Engine's entry $22.86 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Concentration risk — Product: Levi's brand (94.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 59, MACD bullish. Earnings in 3 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $24.96 (+0.3%), stop $21.23 (−17.2%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LEVI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.96 (+9.0% upside). Target $24.96 (+0.3%), stop $21.23 (−17.2%), A.R:R 0.1:1. Stop-loss: $21.23.

What are the risks of investing in LEVI?

Concentration risk — Product: Levi's brand (94.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is LEVI overvalued or undervalued?

Levi Strauss & Co trades at a P/E of 17.9 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about LEVI?

22 analysts cover LEVI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $28.

What does Levi Strauss & Co do?Levi Strauss & Co. designs, markets and sells jeans, casual pants, activewear, tops and accessories under the Levi's®...

Levi Strauss & Co. designs, markets and sells jeans, casual pants, activewear, tops and accessories under the Levi's® brand (94% of fiscal 2025 net revenues), operating 1,231 company-owned stores in 38 countries and distributing through approximately 50,000 retail locations worldwide. International markets generated over half of net revenues in fiscal 2025, with DTC company-operated stores contributing 33%.

Related stocks: KTB (Kontoor Brands, Inc.) · GIL (Gildan Activewear, Inc.) · FIGS (FIGS, Inc.) · RL (Ralph Lauren Corporation) · COLM (Columbia Sportswear Company)
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