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LEVILevi Strauss & CoSell5.9·$19.57
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Levi Strauss combines a wide economic moat, four consecutive earnings beats averaging over 22% above estimates, and strong quality metrics — but the stock has essentially reached its near-term price target with only about 1.5% headroom remaining, leaving the reward-to-risk ratio at 0.25-to-1 and limiting the attractiveness of adding exposure at current levels despite the underlying business quality.

Thesis pillars

  • Wide Moat High Quality Franchise↓Deteriorating
  • Consistent Earnings Beat Streak↑Improving
  • Price Target Nearly Reached↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Levi Strauss & Co (LEVI) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $19.57: Concentration risk — Product: Levi's brand (94.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States.

Levi Strauss & Co. designs, markets and sells jeans, casual pants, activewear, tops and accessories under the Levi's® brand (94% of fiscal 2025 net revenues), operating 1,231 company-owned stores in 38 countries and distributing through approximately 50,000 retail locations... Read more

$19.57+23.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#5 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.54%
IncomeYield3.29%(5y avg 2.34%)Payout38.16%sustainable
Stop $18.41Target $24.12(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst target$26.80+36.9%15 analysts
$24.12our TP
$19.57price
$26.80mean
$35

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $19.57: Concentration risk — Product: Levi's brand (94.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 105d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 28, 2027105d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 23%
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Levi's brand (94.0%)
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.9
P/E (Fwd)11.7
Mkt Cap$7.5B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn8.8%
ROE26.2%
Rev Growth4.3%
Beta1.32
Dividend3.29%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C27.68bearish
IV72%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductLevi's brand94%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our Levi's® brand products accounted for 94%, 94% and 92% of our net revenues in each of the fiscal years 2025, 2024 and 2023, respectively'
  • HIGHGeographicoutside the United States
    10-K Item 1: 'we derived over half of our net revenues from outside the United States in fiscal year 2025'
  • LOWCustomertop ten wholesale customers24%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to our top ten wholesale customers totaled 24%, 25% and 27% of our net revenues in fiscal years 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-07Item 5.02MEDIUM
    EVP and CFO Harmit Singh will transition to Special Advisor role; will remain as CFO until successor appointed or no later than November 30, 2026. Executive search firm retained for CFO search. No reason for departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.6
Earnings Growth
4.0
GatesMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.0>=4.5A.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 105d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
48 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $18.35Resistance $20.69

Price Targets

$18
$24
A.Upside+23.2%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts22
Consensus4.1/5
Avg Target$27

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-28 (105d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LEVI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $19.57: Concentration risk — Product: Levi's brand (94.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Prior stop was $18.41. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LEVI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $24.12 (+23.2% upside). Prior stop was $18.41. Stop-loss: $18.41.

What are the risks of investing in LEVI?

Concentration risk — Product: Levi's brand (94.0%); Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is LEVI overvalued or undervalued?

Levi Strauss & Co trades at a P/E of 12.9 (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LEVI?

22 analysts cover LEVI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $27.

What does Levi Strauss & Co do?Levi Strauss & Co. designs, markets and sells jeans, casual pants, activewear, tops and accessories under the Levi's®...

Levi Strauss & Co. designs, markets and sells jeans, casual pants, activewear, tops and accessories under the Levi's® brand (94% of fiscal 2025 net revenues), operating 1,231 company-owned stores in 38 countries and distributing through approximately 50,000 retail locations worldwide. International markets generated over half of net revenues in fiscal 2025, with DTC company-operated stores contributing 33%.

Related stocks: KTB (Kontoor Brands, Inc.) · FIGS (FIGS, Inc.) · GIL (Gildan Activewear, Inc.) · RL (Ralph Lauren Corporation) · GIII (G-III Apparel Group, LTD.)
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