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Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $362.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Ralph Lauren designs, markets, and distributes luxury lifestyle products — apparel, footwear, accessories, home, fragrances, and hospitality — globally through 564 retail stores, 671 concession shops, and 9,400+ wholesale doors; North America 43%, Europe 31%, and Asia 24% of... Read more

$362.00+2.6% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
Stop $340.13Target $370.87(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$412.07+13.8%16 analysts
$370.87our TP
$362.00price
$412.07mean
$219
$477

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $362.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 21d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val5.3Qual6.9Grw6.2Mom3.0Sent6.8Ins3.8Peer5.6Tech7.2Risk5.35.7OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.5
P/E (Fwd)20.0
Mkt Cap$21.8B
EV/EBITDA16.4
Profit Mgn11.7%
ROE33.8%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta1.48
Dividend1.02%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.96neutral
IV46%normal
Max Pain$250-30.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
6.0
Rsi
8.0
Uptrend pullback (RSI 35) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 21d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $340.23Resistance $393.41

Price Targets

$340
$371
A.Upside+2.5%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.6% upside)
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-21 (21d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RL stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $362.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $370.87 (+2.5%), stop $340.13 (−6.4%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $370.87 (+2.6% upside). Target $370.87 (+2.5%), stop $340.13 (−6.4%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $340.13.

What are the risks of investing in RL?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is RL overvalued or undervalued?

Ralph Lauren Corporation trades at a P/E of 24.5 (forward 20.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about RL?

28 analysts cover RL with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $412.

What does Ralph Lauren Corporation do?Ralph Lauren designs, markets, and distributes luxury lifestyle products — apparel, footwear, accessories, home,...

Ralph Lauren designs, markets, and distributes luxury lifestyle products — apparel, footwear, accessories, home, fragrances, and hospitality — globally through 564 retail stores, 671 concession shops, and 9,400+ wholesale doors; North America 43%, Europe 31%, and Asia 24% of fiscal 2025 net revenues. Revenue is diversified across retail, wholesale, and licensing; no single customer represents more than 10% of net sales. The Lauren family controls approximately 85% of voting power.

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