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Ralph Lauren Corporation (RL) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Earnings in 1 day (2026-05-21). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $315.87. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $318.34. Engine's entry $315.87 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Ralph Lauren designs, markets, and distributes luxury lifestyle products — apparel, footwear, accessories, home, fragrances, and hospitality — globally through 564 retail stores, 671 concession shops, and 9,400+ wholesale doors; North America 43%, Europe 31%, and Asia 24% of... Read more

$318.34+21.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#4 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.94%
IncomeYield1.14%(5y avg 2.23%)Payout24.23%sustainable
Entry $315.87(Atr Pullback Sticky)Stop $293.75Target $372.78(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.5:1Setup A.R:R 3.1:1
Analyst target$414.20+30.1%16 analysts
$372.78our TP
$318.34price
$414.20mean
$219
$480

Wait for pullback to $315.87. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $318.34. Engine's entry $315.87 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.3Qual7.2Grw6.2Mom1.2Sent8.1Ins5.0Peer5.7Tech8.5Risk4.55.9OVERALL

Recent Developments — Ralph Lauren Corporation

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.8
P/E (Fwd)17.8
Mkt Cap$19.4B
EV/EBITDA14.6
Profit Mgn11.7%
ROE33.8%
Rev Growth12.2%
Beta1.39
Dividend1.14%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.52bearish
IV51%elevated
Max Pain$200-37.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 29, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+3.4%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dA.R:R 2.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
29 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $317.24Resistance $382.55

Price Targets

$294
$316
$373
A.Upside+17.1%
A.R:R2.5:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)3.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! Momentum score 1.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:1d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-21 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is RL stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $315.87. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $318.34. Engine's entry $315.87 (Atr Pullback Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $372.78 (+17.1%), stop $293.75 (−8.4%), Setup A.R:R 3.1:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the RL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $372.78 (+21.5% upside). Target $372.78 (+17.1%), stop $293.75 (−8.4%), Setup A.R:R 3.1:1. Stop-loss: $293.75.

What are the risks of investing in RL?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is RL overvalued or undervalued?

Ralph Lauren Corporation trades at a P/E of 21.8 (forward 17.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about RL?

28 analysts cover RL with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $414.

What does Ralph Lauren Corporation do?Ralph Lauren designs, markets, and distributes luxury lifestyle products — apparel, footwear, accessories, home,...

Ralph Lauren designs, markets, and distributes luxury lifestyle products — apparel, footwear, accessories, home, fragrances, and hospitality — globally through 564 retail stores, 671 concession shops, and 9,400+ wholesale doors; North America 43%, Europe 31%, and Asia 24% of fiscal 2025 net revenues. Revenue is diversified across retail, wholesale, and licensing; no single customer represents more than 10% of net sales. The Lauren family controls approximately 85% of voting power.

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