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Columbia Sportswear Company (COLM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Sell if holding. At $60.42, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Vietnam footwear production (80.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: Vietnam and Bangladesh apparel production (65.0%).

Columbia Sportswear designs, develops, markets, and distributes outdoor apparel, footwear, accessories, and equipment under four brands (Columbia, SOREL, Mountain Hardwear, prAna) in 115 countries, with ~9,620 employees. Revenue is primarily from wholesale to 1,950+ US customers... Read more

$60.42+1.8% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#6 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield4.16%
IncomeYield2.05%(5y avg 1.50%)Payout38.34%sustainable
Stop $56.19Target $61.48(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$70.67+17.0%6 analysts
$61.48our TP
$60.42price
$70.67mean
$47
$92

Sell if holding. At $60.42, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Vietnam footwear production (80.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: Vietnam and Bangladesh apparel production (65.0%). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val7.7Qual5.6Grw5.8Mom5.2Sent5.7Ins5.0Peer4.4Tech5.9Risk6.25.8OVERALL

Recent Developments — Columbia Sportswear Company

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:56:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Vietnam footwear production (80.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: Vietnam and Bangladesh apparel production (65.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.7
P/E (Fwd)13.9
Mkt Cap$3.0B
EV/EBITDA10.2
Profit Mgn5.0%
ROE10.3%
Rev Growth0.1%
Beta0.91
Dividend2.05%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.27bullish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$55-9.0% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierVietnam footwear production80%
    10-K Item 1: 'finished goods manufacturers in Vietnam and China produced approximately 80% and 10%, respectively, of these products.'
  • HIGHSupplierVietnam and Bangladesh apparel production65%
    10-K Item 1: 'finished goods manufacturers in Vietnam, Bangladesh, Indonesia, and India produced approximately 35%, 30%, 10% and 10%, respectively, of these products.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerCanada top-2 wholesale customers30%
    10-K Item 1: 'our two largest Canada wholesale customers accounted for approximately 30% of Canada net sales; approximately 17% and 13%, respectively.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Columbia Sportswear terminated prior revolving credit facility and entered new $500M unsecured revolving credit facility (JPMorgan as admin agent) maturing March 19, 2031, with SOFR + 1.00-1.50% margin and max funded debt ratio 3.75x.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $57.12Resistance $64.63

Price Targets

$56
$61
A.Upside+1.8%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (1.8% upside)
! Reward/Risk 0.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is COLM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $60.42, A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: Vietnam footwear production (80.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: Vietnam and Bangladesh apparel production (65.0%). Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $56.19. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the COLM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.48 (+1.8% upside). Prior stop was $56.19. Stop-loss: $56.19.

What are the risks of investing in COLM?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Vietnam footwear production (80.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: Vietnam and Bangladesh apparel production (65.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is COLM overvalued or undervalued?

Columbia Sportswear Company trades at a P/E of 18.7 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about COLM?

14 analysts cover COLM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $71.

What does Columbia Sportswear Company do?Columbia Sportswear designs, develops, markets, and distributes outdoor apparel, footwear, accessories, and equipment...

Columbia Sportswear designs, develops, markets, and distributes outdoor apparel, footwear, accessories, and equipment under four brands (Columbia, SOREL, Mountain Hardwear, prAna) in 115 countries, with ~9,620 employees. Revenue is primarily from wholesale to 1,950+ US customers and DTC channels; footwear is manufactured ~80% in Vietnam and apparel ~35%/30% in Vietnam/Bangladesh from contract manufacturers.

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