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Columbia Sportswear Company (COLM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Manufacturing

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $55.27. BUY gates pass at $61.08, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $55.27 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

Columbia Sportswear designs, develops, markets, and distributes outdoor, active, and lifestyle apparel, footwear, accessories, and equipment under Columbia, SOREL, Mountain Hardwear, and prAna brands globally. Products are manufactured by contract manufacturers primarily in the... Read more

$61.08+9.6% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#7 of 13 Apparel Manufacturing
Entry $55.27(Ma50 Sticky)Stop $51.76Target $63.82(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1Setup A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$65.00+6.4%6 analysts
$63.82our TP
$61.08price
$65.00mean
$44
$75

Wait for pullback to $55.27. BUY gates pass at $61.08, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $55.27 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.5
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$3.1B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn5.2%
ROE10.2%
Rev Growth-2.4%
Beta0.88
Dividend2.00%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$35-42.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicChina raw materials27%
    10-K Item 1A: 'our contract manufacturers sourced roughly 27% of our footwear raw materials and roughly 21% of our apparel raw materials for the U.S. market from China.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 1.02MEDIUM
    Columbia Sportswear terminated its prior revolving credit facility upon entering a new $500M unsecured revolving credit facility with JPMorgan Chase as administrative agent, maturing March 19, 2031. No adverse circumstances cited for termination of prior facility.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Revenue shrinking — -2.4% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.9
Earnings Growth
5.8
Declining revenue: -2%
GatesA.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 6.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
63 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $53.17Resistance $65.12

Price Targets

$52
$55
$64
A.Upside+4.5%
A.R:R-0.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.1% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is COLM stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $55.27. BUY gates pass at $61.08, but analyst target reached - limited upside remaining argues for a more patient entry. Engine's entry $55.27 (Ma50 Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 63, MACD bullish. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $63.82 (+4.5%), stop $51.76 (−18.0%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the COLM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.82 (+9.6% upside). Target $63.82 (+4.5%), stop $51.76 (−18.0%), Setup A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $51.76.

What are the risks of investing in COLM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is COLM overvalued or undervalued?

Columbia Sportswear Company trades at a P/E of 18.5 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about COLM?

14 analysts cover COLM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $65.

What does Columbia Sportswear Company do?Columbia Sportswear designs, develops, markets, and distributes outdoor, active, and lifestyle apparel, footwear,...

Columbia Sportswear designs, develops, markets, and distributes outdoor, active, and lifestyle apparel, footwear, accessories, and equipment under Columbia, SOREL, Mountain Hardwear, and prAna brands globally. Products are manufactured by contract manufacturers primarily in the Asia Pacific region and sold through wholesale and DTC channels.

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