Lennar Corporation (LEN) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Residential Construction
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $90.13: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 9.37; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States by deliveries, revenues and net earnings, an originator of residential and commercial mortgage loans, a provider of title insurance and closing services and a developer of multifamily rental properties. In addition, we... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $90.13: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 9.37; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 47d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
5 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -13.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $90.13: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 9.37; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 55. Prior stop was $84.70. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $95.47 (+6.0% upside). Prior stop was $84.70. Stop-loss: $84.70.
Target reached (-9.2% upside); Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).
Lennar Corporation trades at a P/E of 12.8 (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
27 analysts cover LEN with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $94.
What does Lennar Corporation do?We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States by deliveries, revenues and net earnings, an originator of...
We are one of the largest homebuilders in the United States by deliveries, revenues and net earnings, an originator of residential and commercial mortgage loans, a provider of title insurance and closing services and a developer of multifamily rental properties. In addition, we are a sponsor and manager of funds and joint ventures engaged in development and ownership of multifamily rental properties and a sponsor and manager of a fund engaged in ownership of single-family rental properties.