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LAURLaureate Education, Inc.Hold6.3·$35.70-2.88%
LAUR · Why this verdict

Why Laureate Education (LAUR) is rated HOLD

Updated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

VerdictHOLD
Overall score6.3/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroNEUTRAL

Per-dimension breakdown

Value

7.1/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
P/E6.6
P/S8.3
EV/EBITDA5.0
Fwd P/E8.1
PEG10.0
Analyst target4.0
  • Forward P/E: 14.8x
  • PEG: 0.45
  • Attractively valued

Quality

6.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
ROE9.6
ROA8.4
Gross margin3.4
Op margin0.0
Net margin8.0
Current ratio2.3
FCF quality7.9
Moat7.5
Piotroski F8.9
  • Excellent ROE: 29%
  • Strong margins: 16%
  • Wide economic moat
  • Compounder quality: strong returns + growth

Growth

7.4/10data confidence 67%
ComponentSub-score
Rev growth6.3
EPS growth8.6

Momentum

6.8/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
RSI5.0
MACD10.0
OBV10.0
MA position9.0
Volume0.0
  • Volume accumulation (rising OBV)
  • Above 200-day MA

Sentiment

6.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
Analyst rating6.6
Price target6.8
erm sentiment5.0
  • Light analyst coverage (6.0) — signal dampened

Insider

5.1/10data confidence 50%
ComponentSub-score
materiality5.0
holder change5.2
  • No net insider activity — $0 (0.000% of mkt cap)

Peer rank

4.2/10data confidence 80%
ComponentSub-score
value rank1.8
quality rank7.6
growth rank7.3
  • Superior ROE vs peers

Technical

5.2/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
bollinger2.3
support resistance3.9
52w position8.7
gap6.0

Risk (lower is worse)

6.0/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
short interest7.4
days to cover6.4
volatility4.2
put call10.0
implied vol0.0
max pain risk3.0
beta10.0
debt equity6.9
  • High IV: 99%
  • Above max pain $15
  • Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Catalyst

7.5/10data confidence 100%
ComponentSub-score
erm5.0
earnings history10.0
earnings timing5.0
surprise avg10.0
  • Perfect beat streak: 4Q

How the verdict was assembled

Engine trigger

Maintain position. Not compelling to add more.

Engine technical detail
verdict_path: L4:PATH_F_HOLD
Passed (7)
  • MOMENTUM:6.8>=5.5
  • INSIDER:OK
  • 8K:CLEAN
  • NEWS_EVENTS:NONE_RECENT
  • EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:45d clear
  • SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
  • MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (1)
  • ASYMMETRY:-0.2=NEGATIVE
Warning (0)

none

Reward-to-Risk
-0.17
Upside
-1.9%
Downside
11.5%
Sizing output
AVOID

SetupBREAKOUT Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish

EdgeNO_EDGE No clear edge identified

SuitabilityMODERATE Balanced profile

Investment implication

None of the engine's positive-conviction paths (C-quality, D-momentum) triggered — the F-path HOLD reflects balanced signals. Strongest-cleared gate: MOMENTUM:6.8>=5.5. Top dim: Catalyst at 7.5; weakest: Peer rank at 4.2. No conviction either direction.

The strongest dimensions are Catalyst at 7.5, Growth at 7.4, and Value at 7.1; the weakest are Peer rank at 4.2, Insider at 5.1, and Technical at 5.2. The V9 engine flagged 1 failed gate, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of -0.17 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.

Engine reasoning is mechanically derived from pipeline gate outputs. See decision view.

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