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Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $78.92 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: customers in countries outside of the United States (58.0%); Weak overall score: 4.6/10.

Ingersoll Rand is a global manufacturer of compressors, pumps, vacuum and blower products, fluid transfer equipment, power tools, and lifting equipment serving industrial and life science markets across 60+ facilities on six continents. Aftermarket parts and services represent... Read more

$78.92+11.7% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#43 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
Stop $73.73Target $87.84(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$97.60+23.7%15 analysts
$87.84our TP
$78.92price
$97.60mean
$115

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $78.92 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: customers in countries outside of the United States (58.0%); Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/6 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 91d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: customers in countries outside of the United States (58.0%)
Weak overall score: 4.6/10
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)52.3
P/E (Fwd)20.0
Mkt Cap$30.3B
EV/EBITDA16.8
Profit Mgn7.5%
ROE5.7%
Rev Growth7.6%
Beta1.33
Dividend0.10%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9

Options Flow

P/C1.80bearish
IV54%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographiccustomers in countries outside of the United States58%
    10-K Item 1A: 'For the year ended December 31, 2025, 58% of our revenues were from customers in countries outside of the United States.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.6
Quality Rank
2.8
Growth Rank
4.1

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.3
Revenue Growth
4.4
GatesMomentum 1.2<4.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 91d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $76.01Resistance $89.10

Price Targets

$74
$88
A.Upside+11.3%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (91d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $78.92 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: customers in countries outside of the United States (58.0%); Weak overall score: 4.6/10. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $73.73. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $87.84 (+11.7% upside). Prior stop was $73.73. Stop-loss: $73.73.

What are the risks of investing in IR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: customers in countries outside of the United States (58.0%); Weak overall score: 4.6/10; Weak growth.

Is IR overvalued or undervalued?

Ingersoll Rand Inc. trades at a P/E of 52.3 (forward 20.0). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IR?

25 analysts cover IR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $98.

What does Ingersoll Rand Inc. do?Ingersoll Rand is a global manufacturer of compressors, pumps, vacuum and blower products, fluid transfer equipment,...

Ingersoll Rand is a global manufacturer of compressors, pumps, vacuum and blower products, fluid transfer equipment, power tools, and lifting equipment serving industrial and life science markets across 60+ facilities on six continents. Aftermarket parts and services represent 36.5% of 2025 revenue; 58% of revenues came from non-US customers.

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