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IRIngersoll Rand Inc.Sell5.9·$84.18
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ingersoll Rand presents an unusually strong balance sheet — perfect financial health score and free cash flow conversion of 176% — but the current price geometry offers only 9.3% upside against 11.3% potential downside, and the stock remains in a confirmed near-term downtrend, making the setup unfavorable until asymmetry improves.

Thesis pillars

  • Exceptional Balance Sheet Quality↑Improving
  • Unfavorable Reward Risk Geometry↑Improving
  • Early Signs Of Momentum Recovery↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 17, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ingersoll Rand Inc. (IR) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. At $84.18, A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenues outside the United States (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source iron castings and motors.

Ingersoll Rand designs, manufactures and markets compressors, vacuum and blower products, and precision fluid-handling equipment across two segments — Industrial Technologies and Services, and Precision and Science Technologies. Aftermarket parts, consumables, and services... Read more

$84.18-2.8% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#15 of 56 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.15%
IncomeYield0.10%(5y avg 0.09%)Payout2.27%sustainable
Stop $78.66Analyst target $81.86(reached)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst consensus$94.10+11.8%13 analysts with price targets
$84.18price
$94.10mean
$109

Sell if holding. At $84.18, A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenues outside the United States (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source iron castings and motors. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 98d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 28, 2026

Recent Developments — Ingersoll Rand Inc.

Latest item Oct 28, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:39:30Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 11, 202798d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: revenues outside the United States (58.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source iron castings and motors
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.8
P/E (Fwd)21.3
Mkt Cap$32.3B
EV/EBITDA17.8
Profit Mgn17.2%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth5.6%
Beta1.16
Dividend0.10%
Analysts with ratings23

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.23bearish
IV40%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicrevenues outside the United States58%
    10-K Item 1A: 'For the year ended December 31, 2025, 58% of our revenues were from customers in countries outside of the United States'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle-source iron castings and motors
    10-K Item 1A: 'we use single sources of supply for certain iron castings, motors and other select engineered components that are critical in the manufacturing of our products'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.2
Support Resistance
1.5
Gap
5.0
52w Position
6.7
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 98d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $72.36Resistance $86.19

Price Targets

A.Upside-2.8%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.8% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-11 (98d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $84.18, A.R:R is negative (-0.2) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: revenues outside the United States (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source iron castings and motors. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $78.66. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IR stock price target?

Analyst target $81.86 reached (−2.8% from $84.18); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $78.66. Stop-loss: $78.66.

What are the risks of investing in IR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: revenues outside the United States (58.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single-source iron castings and motors; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Is IR overvalued or undervalued?

Ingersoll Rand Inc. trades at a P/E of 23.8 (forward 21.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IR?

23 analysts rate IR, with a consensus score of 3.9/5. 13 analysts publish price targets averaging $94.

What does Ingersoll Rand Inc. do?Ingersoll Rand designs, manufactures and markets compressors, vacuum and blower products, and precision fluid-handling...

Ingersoll Rand designs, manufactures and markets compressors, vacuum and blower products, and precision fluid-handling equipment across two segments — Industrial Technologies and Services, and Precision and Science Technologies. Aftermarket parts, consumables, and services represented 36.5% of 2025 total revenue from an installed base served by over 60 manufacturing facilities and 21,000 employees worldwide. No single customer exceeded 10% of 2025 consolidated revenues.

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