International Paper Company (IP) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.42: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
International Paper produces renewable fiber-based packaging with $23.63B net sales in 2025. Operates 15 packaging mills and 159 converting plants in the U.S., plus 14 containerboard mills and 159 plants in Europe, North Africa, and Latin America. A planned separation into... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.42: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $30.42: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 24, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $28.57. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $37.15 (+21.7% upside). Prior stop was $28.57. Stop-loss: $28.57.
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Revenue declining (-22.6% YoY), Margin compression (op margin 3.0%).
International Paper Company trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts cover IP with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $43.
What does International Paper Company do?International Paper produces renewable fiber-based packaging with $23.63B net sales in 2025. Operates 15 packaging...
International Paper produces renewable fiber-based packaging with $23.63B net sales in 2025. Operates 15 packaging mills and 159 converting plants in the U.S., plus 14 containerboard mills and 159 plants in Europe, North Africa, and Latin America. A planned separation into independent North America and EMEA companies announced January 2026 is currently paused.