Samsara Inc. (IOT) Stock Analysis
Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.36 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.1): -1.5; Negative momentum.
Samsara operates a Connected Operations Platform linking IoT devices, AI, and data systems for physical operations industries including transportation, logistics, and construction. Revenue was $1,618.6M in FY2026 (~98% subscriptions); over 12,000 Core Customers each generating... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.36 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.1): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSupplierlimited number of joint design manufacturers and suppliers10-K Item 1A: 'a limited number of joint design manufacturers and suppliers of manufacturing services and critical components within our supply chain for our Internet of Things'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $28.36 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.1): -1.5; Negative momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $26.41. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $39.75 (+40.0% upside). Prior stop was $26.41. Stop-loss: $26.41.
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.1): -1.5; Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.
Samsara Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 34.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
27 analysts cover IOT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $44.
What does Samsara Inc. do?Samsara operates a Connected Operations Platform linking IoT devices, AI, and data systems for physical operations...
Samsara operates a Connected Operations Platform linking IoT devices, AI, and data systems for physical operations industries including transportation, logistics, and construction. Revenue was $1,618.6M in FY2026 (~98% subscriptions); over 12,000 Core Customers each generating $25,000+ in ARR.