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InnovAge Holding Corp. (INNV) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.09 — A.R:R is negative (-3.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

InnovAge Holding Corp. manages and provides a range of medical and ancillary services for seniors in need of care and support to live independently in its homes and communities. It manages its business through Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE) approach. The... Read more

$8.09+4.6% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#17 of 27 Medical Care Facilities
Stop $7.52Target $8.46(resistance)A.R:R -3.3:1
Analyst target$7.00-13.5%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.09 — A.R:R is negative (-3.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)161.4
P/E (Fwd)23.7
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA25.3
Profit Mgn0.7%
ROE1.2%
Rev Growth14.7%
Beta0.50
DividendNone
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish
IV78%elevated
Max Pain$13+54.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.2
Value Rank
2.1
Growth Rank
6.5
GatesA.R:R -3.3=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $7.44Resistance $8.63

Price Targets

$8
$8
A.Upside+4.6%
A.R:R-3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-26.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is INNV stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $8.09 — A.R:R is negative (-3.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $7.52. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the INNV stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.46 (+4.6% upside). Prior stop was $7.52. Stop-loss: $7.52.

What are the risks of investing in INNV?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is INNV overvalued or undervalued?

InnovAge Holding Corp. trades at a P/E of 161.4 (forward 23.7). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about INNV?

9 analysts cover INNV with a consensus score of 2.3/5. Average price target: $7.

What does InnovAge Holding Corp. do?InnovAge Holding Corp. manages and provides a range of medical and ancillary services for seniors in need of care and...

InnovAge Holding Corp. manages and provides a range of medical and ancillary services for seniors in need of care and support to live independently in its homes and communities. It manages its business through Program of All-Inclusive Care for the Elderly (PACE) approach. The company also offers in-home care services consisting of skilled, unskilled, and personal care; in-center services, such as primary care, physical therapy, occupational therapy, speech therapy, dental services, mental health and psychiatric services, meals, and activities; transportation to and from the PACE center and third-party medical appointments; and care management. It serves participants in the United States; and operates PACE centers in Colorado, California, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Virginia. The company was formerly known as TCO Group Holdings, Inc. and changed its name to InnovAge Holding Corp. in January 2021. InnovAge Holding Corp. was founded in 1989 and is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

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