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AVAHAveanna Healthcare Holdings IncSell6.4·$7.72+6.78%
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Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc (AVAH) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.72: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.50; Below long-term trend.

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc., a diversified home care platform company, provides pediatric and adult healthcare services in the United States. Its patient-centered care delivery platform allows patients to remain in their homes and minimizes the overutilization of high-cost... Read more

$7.72+16.2% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#1 of 27 Medical Care Facilities
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield5.25%
Stop $6.99Target $8.74(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$10.05+30.2%10 analysts
$8.74our TP
$7.72price
$10.05mean
$13

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.72: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.50; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)6.0
P/E (Fwd)9.4
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA9.3
Profit Mgn10.4%
ROE368.0%
Rev Growth15.9%
Beta1.93
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.50bearish
IV107%elevated
Max Pain$5-35.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 5.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
3.6
Short Interest
7.7
Days To Cover
8.4
Elevated put/call: 5.50High IV: 107%Above max pain $5

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.0
Bollinger
2.2
52w Position
4.6
GatesA.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
54 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $6.45Resistance $7.79

Price Targets

$7
$9
A.Upside+13.2%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)
! asymmetry at 1.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVAH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.72: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.4/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 5.50; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 54. Prior stop was $6.99. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AVAH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.74 (+16.2% upside). Prior stop was $6.99. Stop-loss: $6.99.

What are the risks of investing in AVAH?

Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0).

Is AVAH overvalued or undervalued?

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc trades at a P/E of 6.0 (forward 9.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AVAH?

17 analysts cover AVAH with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $10.

What does Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc do?Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc., a diversified home care platform company, provides pediatric and adult healthcare...

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc., a diversified home care platform company, provides pediatric and adult healthcare services in the United States. Its patient-centered care delivery platform allows patients to remain in their homes and minimizes the overutilization of high-cost care settings, such as hospitals or skilled nursing facilities. The company operates through three segments: Private Duty Services (PDS), Home Health & Hospice (HHH), and Medical Solutions (MS). The PDS segment offers private duty nursing (PDN) services, which include in-home skilled nursing services to medically complex children and adults; nursing services in school settings in which its caregivers accompany patients to school; services to patients in its pediatric day healthcare centers; and non-clinical care, including support services and personal care services; and in-clinic and home-based therapy services, such as physical, occupational, and speech services. The HHH segment provides home health services, including in-home skilled nursing services; physical, occupational, and speech therapy services; and medical social and aide services, as well as hospice services for patients and their families when a life-limiting illness no longer responds to cure-oriented treatments. The MS segment offers enteral nutrition supplies and other products, including formulas, supplies, and pumps to adults and children delivered on a periodic or as-needed basis. The company was incorporated in 2016 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.

Related stocks: THC (Tenet Healthcare Corporation) · UHS (Universal Health Services, Inc.) · ARDT (Ardent Health, Inc.) · EHC (Encompass Health Corporation) · ASTH (Astrana Health Inc.)
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