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IMOSChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC.Sell5.3·$51.19
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ChipMOS Technologies is growing revenue at 25% year over year, but free cash flow is negative relative to net income and the quality score falls below the minimum floor, creating tension between a compelling growth profile and materially impaired earnings quality.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth Momentum→Stable
  • Negative Free Cash Flow Quality Gap→Stable
  • Mixed Earnings Execution→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. (IMOS) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Earnings in 5 days (2026-11-10). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $51.19 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.1x (earnings normalizing); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2).

ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of integrated circuits, and related assembly and testing services in Taiwan, Japan, the People's Republic of China, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Testing; Assembly;... Read more

$51.19+52.2% Upside to targetScore 5.3/10#41 of 52 Semiconductors
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-47.63%
IncomeYield1.49%(5y avg 3.96%)Payout36.39%sustainable
Stop $49.26Resistance target $77.91A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $51.19 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.1x (earnings normalizing); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 13, 2026

Recent Developments — ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC.

Latest item Oct 13, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:54:12Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Nov 10, 20265d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.1x (earnings normalizing)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.3
P/E (Fwd)50.7
Mkt Cap$1.8B
EV/EBITDA0.7
Profit Mgn8.3%
ROE9.3%
Rev Growth28.7%
Beta1.47
Dividend1.49%
Analysts with ratings11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV88%elevated
Max Pain$30-41.4% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
4.9
Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+11.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
1.1
Surprise Avg
3.5
Dividend Safety
4.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/2MEarnings in 5 daysYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
27 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $50.78Resistance $79.50

Price Targets

$49
$78
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-10 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IMOS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.2/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $51.19 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.1x (earnings normalizing); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $49.26. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IMOS stock price target?

Resistance target: $77.91 (+52.2% upside). Prior stop was $49.26. Stop-loss: $49.26.

What are the risks of investing in IMOS?

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 2.1x (earnings normalizing); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is IMOS overvalued or undervalued?

ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. trades at a P/E of 24.3 (forward 50.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IMOS?

11 analysts rate IMOS, with a consensus score of 4.1/5.

What does ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. do?ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of integrated circuits, and...

ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of integrated circuits, and related assembly and testing services in Taiwan, Japan, the People's Republic of China, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Testing; Assembly; Display Panel Driver Semiconductor Assembly and Testing; Bumping; and Others. The company offers leadframe-based packages, such as the small outline package, thin small outline package, and quad flat package; and substrate-based packages, including FBGA, VFBGA, stacked chip-scale package, TFBGA, LGA, COG, and COF; and testing solutions comprising professional wafer and final testing, tester/tooling correlation, test program verification, engineering lot and pilot lot run arrangement, engineering support, device failure mode analysis, and automation system for simple digital logic, complex ASIC, high speed digital, memory, and mixed signal and display driver IC devices. It also provides bumping services; intellectual property management and enabling technologies; and turnkey services, such as wafer bumping/RDL, wafer sort, assembly, final test, and drop shipment to display driver IC, memory IC, and logic mixed-signal IC. The company serves fabless companies, integrated device manufacturers, and foundries. ChipMOS TECHNOLOGIES INC. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.

Related stocks: SIMO (Silicon Motion Technology Corpo) · CRUS (Cirrus Logic, Inc.) · RMBS (Rambus, Inc.) · MRAM (Everspin Technologies, Inc.) · LSCC (Lattice Semiconductor Corporati)
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