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MaxLinear, Inc (MXL) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Semiconductors

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.55: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality.

MaxLinear, Inc. provides communications systems-on-chip solutions in the United States, Asia, Europe, and internationally. Its products integrate various portions of a high-speed communication system, including radio frequency, high-performance analog, mixed-signal, digital... Read more

$72.55+3.5% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#20 of 45 Semiconductors
Stop $62.79Target $69.85(resistance)A.R:R -2.4:1
Analyst target$49.45-31.8%11 analysts
$69.85our TP
$72.55price
$49.45mean
$28

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.55: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 83d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-36.3% upside)
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)39.7
Mkt Cap$6.0B
EV/EBITDA-165.4
Profit Mgn-26.0%
ROE-27.9%
Rev Growth43.0%
Beta1.70
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.31bullish
IV150%elevated
Max Pain$9-87.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.2
Value Rank
3.9
Growth Rank
7.9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.7
Gap
3.0
52w Position
8.9
Extreme gap up (5.2%) - may pull back

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
3.9
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
6.1
Gross Margin
7.4
Piotroski F
8.9
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 4%, FCF yield 0.4%)No competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9
GatesA.R:R -2.4=NEGATIVEMomentum 8.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 83d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
87 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $16.91Resistance $71.28

Price Targets

$63
$70
A.Upside-3.7%
A.R:R-2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-36.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (83d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MXL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $72.55: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $62.79. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MXL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $69.85 (+3.5% upside). Prior stop was $62.79. Stop-loss: $62.79.

What are the risks of investing in MXL?

Target reached (-36.3% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Is MXL overvalued or undervalued?

MaxLinear, Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 39.7). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MXL?

15 analysts cover MXL with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $49.

What does MaxLinear, Inc do?MaxLinear, Inc. provides communications systems-on-chip solutions in the United States, Asia, Europe, and...

MaxLinear, Inc. provides communications systems-on-chip solutions in the United States, Asia, Europe, and internationally. Its products integrate various portions of a high-speed communication system, including radio frequency, high-performance analog, mixed-signal, digital signal processing, security engines, data compression and networking layers, and power management. Its products are used in various electronic devices, such as radio transceivers and modems for 4G/5G base-station and backhaul infrastructure; optical transceivers; wi-fi and wireline routers for home networking; broadband modems compliant with data over cable service interface specifications, passive optical fiber standards, and digital subscriber line, as well as power management and interface products. It serves electronics distributors, module makers, original equipment manufacturers, and original design manufacturers through a direct sales force, third-party sales representatives, and a network of distributors. The company was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.

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