Semtech Corporation (SMTC) Stock Analysis
Catalyst-Driven edge
Technology · Semiconductors
Sell if holding. At $101.27, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: China, Malaysia, Taiwan and Vietnam package and test contractors; Concentration risk — Supplier: China rare earth elements.
Semtech designs and markets high-performance analog and mixed-signal semiconductors for data center networking, IoT connectivity, and cellular infrastructure, serving OEM customers in infrastructure, high-end consumer, and industrial markets globally. Revenue from silicon... Read more
Sell if holding. At $101.27, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: China, Malaysia, Taiwan and Vietnam package and test contractors; Concentration risk — Supplier: China rare earth elements. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSupplierChina, Malaysia, Taiwan and Vietnam package and test contractors10-K Item 1A: 'A majority of our package and test operations are performed by third-party contractors based in China, Malaysia, Taiwan and Vietnam.'
- HIGHSupplierChina rare earth elements10-K Item 1A: 'Certain of our products rely on rare earth elements for their manufacturing, of which a significant majority are sourced from China.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $101.27, A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Supplier: China, Malaysia, Taiwan and Vietnam package and test contractors; Concentration risk — Supplier: China rare earth elements. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $94.50. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $110.79 (+9.0% upside). Prior stop was $94.50. Stop-loss: $94.50.
Concentration risk — Supplier: China, Malaysia, Taiwan and Vietnam package and test contractors; Concentration risk — Supplier: China rare earth elements; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Semtech Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 33.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover SMTC with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $106.
What does Semtech Corporation do?Semtech designs and markets high-performance analog and mixed-signal semiconductors for data center networking, IoT...
Semtech designs and markets high-performance analog and mixed-signal semiconductors for data center networking, IoT connectivity, and cellular infrastructure, serving OEM customers in infrastructure, high-end consumer, and industrial markets globally. Revenue from silicon solutions and IoT modules/routers/gateways sold to device makers, enterprises, and solution providers.