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Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $158.02 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Intercontinental Exchange operates global exchanges, clearing houses, and data services across three segments: Exchanges (55% of revenues, including NYSE and global futures), Fixed Income and Data Services, and Mortgage Technology. It serves financial institutions, corporations,... Read more

$158.02+13.0% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#9 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
Stop $150.94Target $178.92(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$198.80+25.8%15 analysts
$178.92our TP
$158.02price
$198.80mean
$240

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $158.02 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.1
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$88.5B
EV/EBITDA17.5
Profit Mgn33.4%
ROE11.9%
Rev Growth7.8%
Beta1.04
Dividend1.33%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C5.54bearish
IV48%normal
Max Pain$134-15.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.9
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.8
Quality Rank
3.7
Value Rank
4.5
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $152.50Resistance $168.19

Price Targets

$151
$179
A.Upside+13.2%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ICE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $158.02 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $150.94. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ICE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $178.92 (+13.0% upside). Prior stop was $150.94. Stop-loss: $150.94.

What are the risks of investing in ICE?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ICE overvalued or undervalued?

Intercontinental Exchange Inc. trades at a P/E of 27.1 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ICE?

21 analysts cover ICE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $199.

What does Intercontinental Exchange Inc. do?Intercontinental Exchange operates global exchanges, clearing houses, and data services across three segments:...

Intercontinental Exchange operates global exchanges, clearing houses, and data services across three segments: Exchanges (55% of revenues, including NYSE and global futures), Fixed Income and Data Services, and Mortgage Technology. It serves financial institutions, corporations, and governments with trading, clearing, data, and mortgage workflow technology.

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