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Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5AI GATE: FLAGGED — 1 risk, 1 concernModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Financial Data & Stock Exchanges

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $154.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Intercontinental Exchange operates global exchanges, clearing houses, fixed income data, and mortgage technology across three segments: Exchanges (55% of 2025 net revenues), Fixed Income and Data Services (24%), and Mortgage Technology (21%). Revenue is earned via transaction... Read more

$154.11+17.2% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 11 Financial Data & Stock Exchanges
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.24%
IncomeYield1.33%(5y avg 1.23%)Payout28.53%sustainable
Stop $147.78Target $180.60(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.3:1
Analyst target$200.67+30.2%15 analysts
$180.60our TP
$154.11price
$200.67mean
$251

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $154.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and news legal. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Intercontinental Exchange Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.7
P/E (Fwd)17.8
Mkt Cap$88.2B
EV/EBITDA16.4
Profit Mgn37.7%
ROE13.9%
Rev Growth20.4%
Beta0.96
Dividend1.33%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.64bullish
IV39%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Ma Position
1.0
Obv
1.3
Macd
3.5
Volume
4.1
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 2.9<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)NEWS LEGALA.R:R 3.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $152.35Resistance $161.34

Price Targets

$148
$181
A.Upside+17.2%
A.R:R3.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! NEWS:LEGAL

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ICE stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $154.11, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $180.60 (+17.2%), stop $147.78 (−4.3%), A.R:R 3.3:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ICE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $180.60 (+17.2% upside). Target $180.60 (+17.2%), stop $147.78 (−4.3%), A.R:R 3.3:1. Stop-loss: $147.78.

What are the risks of investing in ICE?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.0%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is ICE overvalued or undervalued?

Intercontinental Exchange Inc. trades at a P/E of 22.7 (forward 17.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about ICE?

21 analysts cover ICE with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $201.

What does Intercontinental Exchange Inc. do?Intercontinental Exchange operates global exchanges, clearing houses, fixed income data, and mortgage technology across...

Intercontinental Exchange operates global exchanges, clearing houses, fixed income data, and mortgage technology across three segments: Exchanges (55% of 2025 net revenues), Fixed Income and Data Services (24%), and Mortgage Technology (21%). Revenue is earned via transaction fees, data subscriptions, and technology licensing from financial institutions and the U.S. residential mortgage market.

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