Hertz Global Holdings, Inc (HTZ) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the HTZ stock price target?

Take-profit $8.02 (+24.4% upside). Prior stop was $5.99.

Q: What are the risks of investing in HTZ?

Target reached (-40.2% upside); Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0); Target reached (-40.2% upside); Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).

Q: Is HTZ overvalued or undervalued?

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 17.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about HTZ?

16 analysts cover HTZ with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $4.

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.45: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 45%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.90; Below-average business quality.

$6.45+24.4% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#9 of 17 Rental & Leasing Services

Stop $5.99Target $8.02(resistance)A.R:R -2.7:1

Analyst target$4.43-31.3%7 analysts

$8.02our TP

$6.45price

$4.43mean

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-40.2% upside)

Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)17.8

Mkt Cap$1.8B

EV/EBITDA140.5

Profit Mgn-8.8%

ROE—

Rev Growth-0.6%

Beta2.06

DividendNone

Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C1.90bearish

IV138%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.015%1.20

Quality1.715%0.26

Growth6.215%0.93

Momentum6.710%0.67

Sentiment4.510%0.45

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank3.910%0.39

Technical Setup4.15%0.20

Risk Profile1.95%0.10

Catalyst6.35%0.32

Overall (Σ contributions)5.01

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Unprofitable operations — net margin -8.8%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Gross Margin

0.0

Operating Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Roa

0.1

Current Ratio

2.3

Piotroski F

4.4

Moat

5.0

No competitive moatQuality concerns

Volatile — 11.9% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest

0.0

Volatility

0.0

Implied Vol

0.0

Put Call

0.6

Beta

3.1

Days To Cover

4.8

News Risk

5.0

High short interest justified: 45%Elevated put/call: 1.90High IV: 138%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank

0.0

Growth Rank

1.2

Value Rank

9.4

GatesA.R:R -2.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

51 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $4.91Resistance $8.18

Price Targets

A.Upside+24.3%

A.R:R-2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-40.2% upside)

! Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0)

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is HTZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.45: Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 45%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.90; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $5.99. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HTZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $8.02 (+24.4% upside). Prior stop was $5.99. Stop-loss: $5.99.

What are the risks of investing in HTZ?

Target reached (-40.2% upside); Quality below floor (1.7 < 4.0).

Is HTZ overvalued or undervalued?

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 17.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HTZ?

16 analysts cover HTZ with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $4.

What does Hertz Global Holdings, Inc do?Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. operates as a vehicle rental company. It operates through two segments: Americas RAC and...

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. operates as a vehicle rental company. It operates through two segments: Americas RAC and International RAC. The company offers vehicle rental services under the Hertz, Dollar, and Thrifty brands from company-operated, licensee, and franchisee locations in the United States, Africa, Asia, Australia, Canada, the Caribbean, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and New Zealand. It also sells vehicles and value-added services. The company was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Estero, Florida.