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HTZHertz Global Holdings, IncSell5.3·$5.05-1.56%
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Hertz Global Holdings, Inc (HTZ) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.05: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 43%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. operates as a vehicle rental company. It operates through two segments: Americas RAC and International RAC. The company offers vehicle rental services under the Hertz, Dollar, and Thrifty brands from company-operated, licensee, and franchisee... Read more

$5.05+12.0% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#7 of 16 Rental & Leasing Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-1.04%
Stop $4.66Target $5.59(resistance)A.R:R -1.9:1
Analyst target$4.64-8.1%7 analysts
$5.59our TP
$5.05price
$4.64mean
$3
$6

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.05: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 43%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17

Recent Developments — Hertz Global Holdings, Inc

Generated 2026-06-17T08:56:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-19.1% upside)
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)24.1
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA71.1
Profit Mgn-7.3%
ROE
Rev Growth10.5%
Beta2.12
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV82%elevated
Max Pain$1-90.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Unprofitable operations — net margin -7.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.4
Current Ratio
3.1
Moat
5.5
Piotroski F
6.7
Cash-burning: FCF -0% of revenueQuality concerns

Volatile — 5.1% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
2.9
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Days To Cover
4.5
Put Call
7.6
High short interest justified: 43%High IV: 82%Above max pain $0
GatesA.R:R -1.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $4.80Resistance $5.70

Price Targets

$5
$6
A.Upside+10.7%
A.R:R-1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-19.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HTZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.05: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 43%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $4.66. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HTZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $5.59 (+12.0% upside). Prior stop was $4.66. Stop-loss: $4.66.

What are the risks of investing in HTZ?

Target reached (-19.1% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is HTZ overvalued or undervalued?

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 24.1). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HTZ?

16 analysts cover HTZ with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $5.

What does Hertz Global Holdings, Inc do?Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. operates as a vehicle rental company. It operates through two segments: Americas RAC and...

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. operates as a vehicle rental company. It operates through two segments: Americas RAC and International RAC. The company offers vehicle rental services under the Hertz, Dollar, and Thrifty brands from company-operated, licensee, and franchisee locations in the United States, Africa, Asia, Australia, Canada, the Caribbean, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and New Zealand. It also sells vehicles and value-added services. The company was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Estero, Florida.

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