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Hertz Global Holdings, Inc (HTZ) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Rental & Leasing Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.22: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 42%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.58; Below-average business quality.

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. operates as a vehicle rental company. It operates through two segments: Americas RAC and International RAC. The company offers vehicle rental services under the Hertz, Dollar, and Thrifty brands from company-operated, licensee, and franchisee... Read more

$5.22+49.6% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#8 of 16 Rental & Leasing Services
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-1.03%
Stop $4.93Target $7.78(resistance)A.R:R -1.5:1
Analyst target$4.64-11.1%7 analysts
$7.78our TP
$5.22price
$4.64mean
$3
$8

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.22: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 42%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.58; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Hertz Global Holdings, Inc

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-22.3% upside)
Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)16.9
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA71.2
Profit Mgn-7.3%
ROE
Rev Growth10.5%
Beta2.21
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.58bearish
IV92%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Volatile — 10.7% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Short Interest
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Beta
2.7
Days To Cover
7.4
High short interest justified: 42%Elevated put/call: 2.58High IV: 92%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
1.1
Macd
1.3
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -2.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Unprofitable operations — net margin -7.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.4
Current Ratio
3.1
Moat
5.5
Piotroski F
6.7
Cash-burning: FCF -0% of revenueQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R -1.5=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.08Resistance $7.94

Price Targets

$5
$8
A.Upside+49.0%
A.R:R-1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-22.3% upside)
! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HTZ stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.22: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 42%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.58; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $4.93. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HTZ stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.78 (+49.6% upside). Prior stop was $4.93. Stop-loss: $4.93.

What are the risks of investing in HTZ?

Target reached (-22.3% upside); Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0).

Is HTZ overvalued or undervalued?

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 16.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HTZ?

16 analysts cover HTZ with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $5.

What does Hertz Global Holdings, Inc do?Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. operates as a vehicle rental company. It operates through two segments: Americas RAC and...

Hertz Global Holdings, Inc. operates as a vehicle rental company. It operates through two segments: Americas RAC and International RAC. The company offers vehicle rental services under the Hertz, Dollar, and Thrifty brands from company-operated, licensee, and franchisee locations in the United States, Africa, Asia, Australia, Canada, the Caribbean, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and New Zealand. It also sells vehicles and value-added services. The company was founded in 1918 and is headquartered in Estero, Florida.

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