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Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. (LTH) Stock Analysis

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $33.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: membership dues and enrollment fees (72.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.4%.

Life Time operates 185+ premium athletic country clubs across 31 U.S. states and one Canadian province, serving nearly 1.6 million individual members (approximately 873,000 memberships) as of December 31, 2025. Revenue is primarily subscription-based membership dues and... Read more

$33.23+6.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#9 of 12 Leisure
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-4.69%
Stop $30.90Target $35.36(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.4:1
Analyst target$40.64+22.3%14 analysts
$35.36our TP
$33.23price
$40.64mean
$45

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $33.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: membership dues and enrollment fees (72.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.4%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.5Qual4.6Grw5.2Mom4.7Sent8.3Ins3.1Peer5.3Tech4.4Risk4.65.3OVERALL

Recent Developments — Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: membership dues and enrollment fees (72.0%)
Thin upside margin: 6.4%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.4
P/E (Fwd)17.0
Mkt Cap$7.4B
EV/EBITDA14.1
Profit Mgn12.5%
ROE13.0%
Rev Growth11.7%
Beta1.50
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$25-24.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductmembership dues and enrollment fees72%
    10-K Item 1: 'Membership dues and enrollment fees comprise our largest source of revenue, representing over 70% of our total Center revenue... 72% of our total Center revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-11Item 5.02LOW
    Alejandro Santo Domingo, Class I director, gave notice of resignation from Board effective March 31, 2026. No reason cited in the 8-K body. No successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R 0.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 4.7<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.7>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
78 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.94Resistance $35.33

Price Targets

$31
$35
A.Upside+6.4%
A.R:R0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Reward/Risk 0.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LTH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $33.23, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: membership dues and enrollment fees (72.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.4%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $35.36 (+6.4%), stop $30.90 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Score 5.3/10, high confidence.

What is the LTH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.36 (+6.4% upside). Target $35.36 (+6.4%), stop $30.90 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.4:1. Stop-loss: $30.90.

What are the risks of investing in LTH?

Concentration risk — Product: membership dues and enrollment fees (72.0%); Thin upside margin: 6.4%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.6).

Is LTH overvalued or undervalued?

Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 19.4 (forward 17.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LTH?

18 analysts cover LTH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. do?Life Time operates 185+ premium athletic country clubs across 31 U.S. states and one Canadian province, serving nearly...

Life Time operates 185+ premium athletic country clubs across 31 U.S. states and one Canadian province, serving nearly 1.6 million individual members (approximately 873,000 memberships) as of December 31, 2025. Revenue is primarily subscription-based membership dues and enrollment fees, which comprised 72% of total Center revenue in 2025; average revenue per center membership was $3,531.

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