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LTHLife Time Group Holdings, Inc.Hold5.7·$34.87+1.81%
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Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. (LTH) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: membership dues and enrollment fees (72.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.2%.

Life Time operates 189 resort-like athletic country clubs across 31 U.S. states and Canada, serving nearly 1.6 million individual members across approximately 873,000 memberships. Subscription membership dues and enrollment fees represent over 72% of Center revenue, with average... Read more

$34.87+3.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 12 Leisure
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-4.55%
Stop $32.45Target $35.98(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 0.3:1
Analyst target$41.36+18.6%14 analysts
$35.98our TP
$34.87price
$41.36mean
$45

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: membership dues and enrollment fees (72.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.2%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Aug 4, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: membership dues and enrollment fees (72.0%)
Thin upside margin: 3.2%
Near 52-week high (1.3% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.0
P/E (Fwd)17.6
Mkt Cap$7.6B
EV/EBITDA14.4
Profit Mgn12.5%
ROE13.0%
Rev Growth11.7%
Beta1.55
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.91neutral
IV46%normal
Max Pain$40+14.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductmembership dues and enrollment fees72%
    10-K Item 1: 'our membership dues and enrollment fees now representing over 72% of our total Center revenue for the year ended December 31, 2025'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-20Item 5.02LOW
    Director Andres Small resigned effective May 20, 2026; replaced by Rachael Wagner appointed as independent Class III director with term expiring at 2027 annual meeting. Board remains at 12 members, 10 independent.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-11Item 5.02LOW
    Director Alejandro Santo Domingo gave notice of intention to resign from Board effective March 31, 2026. No successor named. No reason cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.3
Support Resistance
1.1
52w Position
9.7
GatesA.R:R 0.3 < 1.5@spotExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
60 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $31.03Resistance $35.33

Price Targets

$32
$36
A.Upside+3.2%
A.R:R0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! asymmetry at 0.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LTH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $34.87, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: membership dues and enrollment fees (72.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.2%. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $35.98 (+3.2%), stop $32.45 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LTH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $35.98 (+3.2% upside). Target $35.98 (+3.2%), stop $32.45 (−7.5%), A.R:R 0.3:1. Stop-loss: $32.45.

What are the risks of investing in LTH?

Concentration risk — Product: membership dues and enrollment fees (72.0%); Thin upside margin: 3.2%; Near 52-week high (1.3% away).

Is LTH overvalued or undervalued?

Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 17.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LTH?

19 analysts cover LTH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $41.

What does Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. do?Life Time operates 189 resort-like athletic country clubs across 31 U.S. states and Canada, serving nearly 1.6 million...

Life Time operates 189 resort-like athletic country clubs across 31 U.S. states and Canada, serving nearly 1.6 million individual members across approximately 873,000 memberships. Subscription membership dues and enrollment fees represent over 72% of Center revenue, with average annual revenue per center membership of $3,531 in 2025. The company employs over 44,000 team members and targets affluent suburban and urban markets.

Related stocks: PLNT (Planet Fitness, Inc.) · HAS (Hasbro, Inc.) · AS (Amer Sports, Inc.) · OSW (OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited) · YETI (YETI Holdings, Inc.)
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