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Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. (LTH) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $26.73 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Life Time Group Holdings operates 185+ premium athletic country clubs across 31 US states and one Canadian province, serving nearly 1.6 million individual members. Monthly membership dues and enrollment fees represent the majority of Center revenue, supplemented by in-center... Read more

$26.73+30.1% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#2 of 13 Leisure
Stop $25.15Target $34.80(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.0:1
Analyst target$40.00+49.6%14 analysts
$34.80our TP
$26.73price
$40.00mean
$45

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $26.73 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5
Earnings in 5 days (event risk)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)15.8
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$5.8B
EV/EBITDA12.7
Profit Mgn12.5%
ROE13.0%
Rev Growth12.3%
Beta1.65
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.05bearish
IV69%elevated
Max Pain$23-15.8% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-11Item 5.02LOW
    Alejandro Santo Domingo, Class I director, gave notice of resignation from Board of Directors effective March 31, 2026. No reason cited, no successor named.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.1
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 5.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $25.40Resistance $29.50

Price Targets

$25
$35
A.Upside+30.2%
A.R:R5.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-05 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LTH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $26.73 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk). Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 38, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $25.15. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LTH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $34.80 (+30.1% upside). Prior stop was $25.15. Stop-loss: $25.15.

What are the risks of investing in LTH?

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.3): -0.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is LTH overvalued or undervalued?

Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 15.8 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LTH?

18 analysts cover LTH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $40.

What does Life Time Group Holdings, Inc. do?Life Time Group Holdings operates 185+ premium athletic country clubs across 31 US states and one Canadian province,...

Life Time Group Holdings operates 185+ premium athletic country clubs across 31 US states and one Canadian province, serving nearly 1.6 million individual members. Monthly membership dues and enrollment fees represent the majority of Center revenue, supplemented by in-center services including spa, dining, and personal training.

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