Six Flags Entertainment Corpora (FUN) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the FUN stock price target?

Take-profit $20.45 (+12.1% upside). Prior stop was $16.97.

Q: Is FUN overvalued or undervalued?

Six Flags Entertainment Corpora trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 136.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about FUN?

20 analysts cover FUN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $24.

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

$18.23+12.1% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#13 of 13 Leisure

Stop $16.97Target $20.45(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.2:1

Analyst target$23.50+28.9%12 analysts

$20.45our TP

$18.23price

$23.50mean

$14

$29

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.23: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.26% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)136.8

Mkt Cap$1.8B

EV/EBITDA10.3

Profit Mgn-51.6%

ROE-101.0%

Rev Growth-5.4%

Beta0.31

DividendNone

Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.07bearish

IV94%elevated

Max Pain$10-45.1% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-03-25Item 5.02MEDIUM
On March 24, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (the "Company") appointed Richard Haddrill as the Company's Executive Chair of the Board, effective immediately. Mr.
SEC filing →
2026-03-13Item 5.02MEDIUM
On March 10, 2026, Jennifer Mason, a member of the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (the "Company"), informed the Company that she will not stand for re-election when her term expires at the 2026 annual meeting of stockholders of the Company (the "2026 Annua...
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.615%0.84

Quality2.015%0.30

Growth5.615%0.84

Momentum1.510%0.15

Sentiment7.010%0.70

Insider Activity5.210%0.52

Peer Rank3.810%0.38

Technical Setup4.25%0.21

Risk Profile2.55%0.13

Catalyst3.35%0.17

Overall (Σ contributions)4.23

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd

0.0

Volume

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

3.0

Rsi

3.5

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.9%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe

0.0

Operating Margin

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Roa

1.1

Current Ratio

2.8

Gross Margin

3.2

Moat

5.0

Piotroski F

5.6

Cash-burning: FCF -4% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Volatile — 5.1% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover

0.0

Volatility

0.0

Implied Vol

0.0

Debt Equity

0.0

Short Interest

1.1

Max Pain Risk

3.0

Put Call

6.2

Beta

10.0

High short interest justified: 24%High IV: 94%Above max pain $10

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg

0.0

Earnings History

3.3

Erm

5.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 7 days

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank

0.0

Growth Rank

0.8

Value Rank

9.2

GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5A.R:R 1.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

35 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $16.75Resistance $20.73

Price Targets

$17

$20

A.Upside+12.2%

A.R:R1.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0)

! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.26% of cap)

! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is FUN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $18.23: Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $16.97. Score 4.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FUN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $20.45 (+12.1% upside). Prior stop was $16.97. Stop-loss: $16.97.

What are the risks of investing in FUN?

Quality below floor (2.0 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.26% of cap).

Is FUN overvalued or undervalued?

Six Flags Entertainment Corpora trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 136.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FUN?

20 analysts cover FUN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Six Flags Entertainment Corpora do?The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated...

The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated water parks and nine resort properties. Of the 41 amusement and water parks, 37 are located in the United States, two are located in Mexico and two are located in Canada. The parks are family-oriented, with recreational facilities for people of all ages, and provide clean and attractive environments with exciting rides and immersive entertainment.