A leisure business trading at over 50 times forward earnings carries below-minimum business quality, a 2-and-2 earnings record over the past year, and 21% short interest — with only 2.6% headroom to the near-term price ceiling and a risk/reward of 0.37-to-1, the setup offers no margin of safety despite a constructive near-term price chart.
Thesis pillars
- Below Minimum Business Quality→Stable
- Erratic Earnings Track Record↓Deteriorating
- Heavy Short Interest And Elevated Iv↑Improving
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days
Six Flags Entertainment Corpora (FUN) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge
Consumer Cyclical · Leisure
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.93: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 29%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.33; Below-average business quality.
The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated water parks and nine resort properties. Of the 41 amusement and water parks, 37 are located in the United States, two are located in Mexico and two are located in... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.93: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 29%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.33; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 44. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: speculative.
Recent developments
updated Nov 5, 2026Recent Developments — Six Flags Entertainment Corpora
Latest news
- NEWS Six Flags Entertainment Q3 EPS $(3.59) Misses $1.88 Estimate, Sales $1.173B Beat $1.158B Estimate — benzinga Nov 5, 2026 negative
- NEWS Six Flags Fiesta Texas Announces 2027 Event Calendar and New 'Werewolf Gorge' Coaster — fiscal.ai Nov 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS 'Roller Coaster Fatality Rattles Six Flags CEO’s Turnaround Plan' - Bloomberg — benzinga Oct 28, 2026 negative
- NEWS Capital-Light Expansion Isn't a Golden Ticket—How To Stress-Test Valuations — benzinga Oct 26, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Six Flags Announces Safety Upgrades Following Fatal Roller Coaster Incident — fiscal.ai Oct 26, 2026 negative
Latest item Nov 5, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T12:04:08Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
5 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Revenue shrinking — -7.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static
Volatile — 7.5% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $7.93: Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 5.8:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 29%; Elevated put/call ratio: 4.33; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 44. Prior stop was $7.37. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $14.79 (+86.5% upside). Prior stop was $7.37. Stop-loss: $7.37.
Quality below floor (2.5 < 4.0).
Six Flags Entertainment Corpora trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -91.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts rate FUN, with a consensus score of 3.8/5. 13 analysts publish price targets averaging $17.
What does Six Flags Entertainment Corpora do?The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated...
The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated water parks and nine resort properties. Of the 41 amusement and water parks, 37 are located in the United States, two are located in Mexico and two are located in Canada. The parks are family-oriented, with recreational facilities for people of all ages, and provide clean and attractive environments with exciting rides and immersive entertainment.