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Six Flags Entertainment Corpora (FUN) Stock Analysis

Momentum Cont setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.20: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.30; Below-average business quality.

The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated water parks and nine resort properties. Of the 41 amusement and water parks, 37 are located in the United States, two are located in Mexico and two are located in... Read more

$20.20+14.4% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#10 of 12 Leisure
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield4.13%
Stop $18.67Target $22.98(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.0:1
Analyst target$26.42+30.8%12 analysts
$22.98our TP
$20.20price
$26.42mean
$33

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.20: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.30; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Val6.2Qual2.8Grw7.7Mom6.4Sent7.2Ins5.3Peer4.8Tech3.3Risk2.55.3OVERALL

Recent Developments — Six Flags Entertainment Corpora

Material events (past 30 days)

  • May 7, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.31% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)80.7
Mkt Cap$2.1B
EV/EBITDA9.7
Profit Mgn-52.8%
ROE-123.4%
Rev Growth11.7%
Beta0.34
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.30bearish
IV73%elevated
Max Pain$5-75.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-25Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On March 24, 2026, the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (the "Company") appointed Richard Haddrill as the Company's Executive Chair of the Board, effective immediately. Mr.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-13Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On March 10, 2026, Jennifer Mason, a member of the Board of Directors (the "Board") of Six Flags Entertainment Corporation (the "Company"), informed the Company that she will not stand for re-election when her term expires at the 2026 annual meeting of stockholders of the Company (the "2026 Annua...
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Volatile — 8.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Short Interest
1.3
Implied Vol
1.3
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Put Call
4.6
Beta
10.0
High short interest justified: 22%High IV: 72%Above max pain $5

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.5
Current Ratio
2.7
Gross Margin
3.5
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.4
Bollinger
3.7
Support Resistance
5.8

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M
GatesA.R:R 1.0 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 6.4>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARMomentum ContSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $17.35Resistance $23.80

Price Targets

$19
$23
A.Upside+13.8%
A.R:R1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.31% of cap)
! Reward/Risk 1.0:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is FUN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $20.20: Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 22%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.30; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Trend continuation, RSI 56, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $18.67. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FUN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $22.98 (+14.4% upside). Prior stop was $18.67. Stop-loss: $18.67.

What are the risks of investing in FUN?

Quality below floor (2.8 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin 4.9%), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.31% of cap).

Is FUN overvalued or undervalued?

Six Flags Entertainment Corpora trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 80.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about FUN?

19 analysts cover FUN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Six Flags Entertainment Corpora do?The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated...

The Company is North America's largest regional amusement park operator with 26 amusement parks, 15 separately gated water parks and nine resort properties. Of the 41 amusement and water parks, 37 are located in the United States, two are located in Mexico and two are located in Canada. The parks are family-oriented, with recreational facilities for people of all ages, and provide clean and attractive environments with exciting rides and immersive entertainment.

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