Skip to main content

Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $169.40: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 35%; Below-average business quality.

Hyatt Hotels Corporation is a global hospitality company operating 1,528 hotels and all-inclusive resorts (372,763 rooms) across five brand portfolios, generating $7,101 million in revenues in 2025 primarily from management, franchising, hotel services, and owned/leased... Read more

$169.40+0.8% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#8 of 8 Lodging
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield2.20%
IncomeYield0.35%Payout13.64%sustainable
Stop $157.54Target $170.69(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$187.39+10.6%23 analysts
$170.69our TP
$169.40price
$187.39mean
$160
$219

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $169.40: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 35%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Hyatt Hotels Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-0.4% upside)
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 5.7), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.15% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)35.8
Mkt Cap$16.0B
EV/EBITDA23.7
Profit Mgn-1.0%
ROE-0.9%
Rev Growth-3.5%
Beta1.33
Dividend0.35%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C1.08bearish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$120-29.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicoutside the United States30%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our operations outside the United States represented approximately 30% of our revenues for the year ended December 31, 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-27Item 5.02LOW
    Hyatt Board increased from 11 to 12 members; Gianni Marostica appointed as Class II director effective March 27, 2026. No arrangement between Marostica and any other person. No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-02-17Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Thomas J. Pritzker retired as Executive Chairman effective Feb 16, 2026 and will not stand for re-election. Mark Hoplamazian appointed Chairman (in addition to CEO role). No disagreement cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
3.8

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Roa
1.6
Current Ratio
2.4
Moat
3.2
Gross Margin
4.5
Fcf Quality
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Operating Margin
6.7
FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 10%, FCF yield 2.2%)No competitive moat
GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.8>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
58 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $156.85Resistance $174.17

Price Targets

$158
$171
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.4% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 5.7), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.15% of cap)

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is H stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $169.40: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 35%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $157.54. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the H stock price target?

Take-profit target: $170.69 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $157.54. Stop-loss: $157.54.

What are the risks of investing in H?

Target reached (-0.4% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 5.7), Material insider selling (3 sells, 0.15% of cap).

Is H overvalued or undervalued?

Hyatt Hotels Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 35.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about H?

30 analysts cover H with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $187.

What does Hyatt Hotels Corporation do?Hyatt Hotels Corporation is a global hospitality company operating 1,528 hotels and all-inclusive resorts (372,763...

Hyatt Hotels Corporation is a global hospitality company operating 1,528 hotels and all-inclusive resorts (372,763 rooms) across five brand portfolios, generating $7,101 million in revenues in 2025 primarily from management, franchising, hotel services, and owned/leased properties. Approximately 55% of system-wide rooms are outside the United States, with international operations representing 30% of revenues.

Related stocks: ATAT (Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite) · HTHT (H World Group Limited) · HLT (Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.) · MAR (Marriott International) · WH (Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.)