Hyatt Hotels Corporation (H) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the H stock price target?

Take-profit $172.03 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $158.19.

Q: What are the risks of investing in H?

Target reached (-1.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.0), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.32% of cap); Target reached (-1.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).

Q: Is H overvalued or undervalued?

Hyatt Hotels Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 34.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about H?

30 analysts cover H with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $185.

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-05-01

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $169.76: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 39%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Hyatt Hotels operates 1,528 hotels and all-inclusive resorts (372,763 rooms) globally under 30+ brands through management, franchise, and direct ownership. It generated $7.1B in revenue in 2025, deriving most income from management and franchise fees. The company completed the... Read more

$169.76+1.2% A.UpsideScore 4.6/10#8 of 8 Lodging

Stop $158.19Target $172.03(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1

Analyst target$185.44+9.2%23 analysts

$172.03our TP

$169.76price

$185.44mean

$157

$222

Passes 4/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Target reached (-1.8% upside)

Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.0), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.32% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)34.2

Mkt Cap$15.0B

EV/EBITDA22.6

Profit Mgn-1.5%

ROE-1.3%

Rev Growth17.5%

Beta1.28

Dividend0.38%

Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral

IV51%elevated

Max Pain$135-20.5% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-03-27Item 5.02LOW
Gianni Marostica appointed to Hyatt Hotels Board of Directors as Class II member effective March 27, 2026. Board expanded from 11 to 12 members. Routine board appointment; no arrangement cited.
SEC filing →
2026-02-17Item 5.02LOW
Thomas J. Pritzker retired as Executive Chairman effective February 16, 2026 and will not stand for re-election. CEO Mark Hoplamazian appointed Board Chairman as successor effective immediately. No disagreement cited.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value3.415%0.51

Quality3.515%0.53

Growth6.915%1.03

Momentum4.910%0.49

Sentiment6.310%0.63

Insider Activity3.310%0.33

Peer Rank4.110%0.41

Technical Setup4.25%0.21

Risk Profile3.85%0.19

Catalyst5.85%0.29

Overall (Σ contributions)4.62

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda

0.0

Forward Pe

3.2

Analyst Target

4.0

Peg Ratio

10.0

Forward P/E: 34.2xPEG: 0.04

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Roa

1.6

Current Ratio

3.0

Gross Margin

4.4

Moat

5.0

Fcf Quality

5.3

Operating Margin

5.9

Piotroski F

6.7

FCF-positive but moderate margins (FCF margin 11%, FCF yield 2.6%)No competitive moat

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate

RSI

67 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $139.62Resistance $175.54

Price Targets

$158

$172

A.Upside+1.3%

A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-1.8% upside)

! Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0)

! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.0), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.32% of cap)

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is H stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $169.76: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.6/10. Specifically: High short interest: 39%; Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $158.19. Score 4.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the H stock price target?

Take-profit target: $172.03 (+1.2% upside). Prior stop was $158.19. Stop-loss: $158.19.

What are the risks of investing in H?

Target reached (-1.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 6.0), Material insider selling (11 sells, 0.32% of cap).

Is H overvalued or undervalued?

Hyatt Hotels Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 34.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about H?

30 analysts cover H with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $185.

What does Hyatt Hotels Corporation do?Hyatt Hotels operates 1,528 hotels and all-inclusive resorts (372,763 rooms) globally under 30+ brands through...