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WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.Sell5.9·$69.99
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts is a high-quality hotel franchise operator with 38% return on equity, 176% free cash flow conversion, and 23% analyst-projected upside, but 3 consecutive earnings misses, heavy financial leverage, and an asymmetry ratio below the minimum entry threshold make this a hold-not-buy situation.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Franchise Cash Machine→Stable
  • Three Consecutive Earnings Misses→Stable
  • Heavy Leverage Risk↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthShortHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $69.99: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by... Read more

$69.99+25.5% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#1 of 6 Lodging
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield7.05%
IncomeYield2.48%(5y avg 1.75%)Payout60.87%
Stop $66.11Target $87.83(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 4.6:1
Analyst target$97.59+39.4%17 analysts
$87.83our TP
$69.99price
$97.59mean
$115

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $69.99: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.9/10, high confidence.

Passes 8/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 26d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 202626d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.5 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)25.1
P/E (Fwd)13.0
Mkt Cap$5.1B
EV/EBITDA13.8
Profit Mgn14.6%
ROE39.4%
Rev Growth-5.5%
Beta0.64
Dividend2.48%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.22bullish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
4.2
Value Rank
7.5

Revenue shrinking — -5.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.1
Earnings Growth
6.1
Declining revenue: -6%
GatesMomentum 6.0>=5.5A.R:R 4.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 26d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
44 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $66.87Resistance $77.18

Price Targets

$66
$88
A.Upside+25.5%
A.R:R4.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts25
Consensus4.2/5
Avg Target$98

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (26d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $69.99: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $66.11. Score 5.9/10, high confidence.

What is the WH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $87.83 (+25.5% upside). Prior stop was $66.11. Stop-loss: $66.11.

What are the risks of investing in WH?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Weak growth.

Is WH overvalued or undervalued?

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 25.1 (forward 13.0). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WH?

25 analysts cover WH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $98.

What does Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. do?Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include,...

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by consumers and businesses to use travel accommodations; global trade disputes, including with China; the performance of the financial and credit markets; the economic environment for the hospitality industry; operating risk...

Related stocks: IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group) · CHH (Choice Hotels International, In) · H (Hyatt Hotels Corporation) · AS (Amer Sports, Inc.) · YETI (YETI Holdings, Inc.)
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