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Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Sell if holding. At $83.39, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.5): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 7.7%.

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by... Read more

$83.39+7.7% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#5 of 8 Lodging
Stop $78.43Target $89.84(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst target$99.82+19.7%17 analysts
$89.84our TP
$83.39price
$99.82mean
$115

Sell if holding. At $83.39, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.5): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 7.7%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 7.7%
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.5): -1.5
Weak overall score: 4.8/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)33.6
P/E (Fwd)15.6
Mkt Cap$6.3B
EV/EBITDA16.4
Profit Mgn13.5%
ROE34.5%
Rev Growth-2.1%
Beta0.71
Dividend1.97%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.26bearish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$125+49.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On March 3, 2026, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (the "Company") announced the appointment of Amit Sripathi, age 41, as Chief Financial Officer, effective as of March 3, 2026 (the "Effective Date").
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -2.1% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
2.0
Declining revenue: -2%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.9
Value Rank
3.6

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.7
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $79.46Resistance $90.35

Price Targets

$78
$90
A.Upside+7.7%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $83.39, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.5): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 7.7%. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $78.43. Score 4.8/10, high confidence.

What is the WH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $89.84 (+7.7% upside). Prior stop was $78.43. Stop-loss: $78.43.

What are the risks of investing in WH?

Thin upside margin: 7.7%; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.5): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.8/10.

Is WH overvalued or undervalued?

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 33.6 (forward 15.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WH?

25 analysts cover WH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $100.

What does Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. do?Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include,...

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by consumers and businesses to use travel accommodations; global trade disputes, including with China; the performance of the financial and credit markets; the economic environment for the hospitality industry; operating risk...

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