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Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $78.14 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by... Read more

$78.14+15.4% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#5 of 8 Lodging
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield5.81%
IncomeYield2.15%(5y avg 1.65%)Payout65.87%
Stop $75.52Target $90.16(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$100.18+28.2%17 analysts
$90.16our TP
$78.14price
$100.18mean
$115

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $78.14 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)31.0
P/E (Fwd)14.5
Mkt Cap$5.8B
EV/EBITDA15.4
Profit Mgn13.4%
ROE37.6%
Rev Growth3.5%
Beta0.65
Dividend2.15%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$60-23.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-03Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On March 3, 2026, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (the "Company") announced the appointment of Amit Sripathi, age 41, as Chief Financial Officer, effective as of March 3, 2026 (the "Effective Date").
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.0
Volume
2.7
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 25, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA (recent, shallow — too early to call)

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
3.4

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.9
Growth Rank
2.5
Value Rank
5.3
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
25 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $77.86Resistance $90.35

Price Targets

$76
$90
A.Upside+15.4%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $78.14 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $75.52. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the WH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $90.16 (+15.4% upside). Prior stop was $75.52. Stop-loss: $75.52.

What are the risks of investing in WH?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is WH overvalued or undervalued?

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 31.0 (forward 14.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about WH?

25 analysts cover WH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $100.

What does Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. do?Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include,...

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by consumers and businesses to use travel accommodations; global trade disputes, including with China; the performance of the financial and credit markets; the economic environment for the hospitality industry; operating risk...

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