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WHWyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.Hold5.6·$72.59
HoldHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts is a high-quality hotel franchise operator with 38% return on equity, 176% free cash flow conversion, and 23% analyst-projected upside, but 3 consecutive earnings misses, heavy financial leverage, and an asymmetry ratio below the minimum entry threshold make this a hold-not-buy situation.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Franchise Cash Machine→Stable
  • Three Consecutive Earnings Misses↓Deteriorating
  • Heavy Leverage Risk↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. (WH) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthShortHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Earnings in 7 days (2026-10-21). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5.

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by... Read more

$72.59+21.1% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#1 of 6 Lodging
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield6.65%
IncomeYield2.34%(5y avg 1.68%)Payout60.87%
Stop $68.91Target $87.88(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$97.65+34.5%17 analysts
$87.88our TP
$72.59price
$97.65mean
$115

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Oct 21, 20267d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.5 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5
Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.6
P/E (Fwd)13.8
Mkt Cap$5.4B
EV/EBITDA14.3
Profit Mgn14.6%
ROE39.4%
Rev Growth-5.5%
Beta0.69
Dividend2.34%
Rating analysts25

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.26bullish
IV87%elevated
Max Pain$55-24.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.7
Quality Rank
4.2
Value Rank
7.5

Revenue shrinking — -5.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.1
Earnings Growth
6.1
Declining revenue: -6%
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $66.87Resistance $74.55

Price Targets

$69
$88
A.Upside+21.1%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +1: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-21 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $72.59, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +1 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $87.88 (+21.1%), stop $68.91 (−5.3%), A.R:R 2.7:1. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the WH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $87.88 (+21.1% upside). Target $87.88 (+21.1%), stop $68.91 (−5.3%), A.R:R 2.7:1. Stop-loss: $68.91.

What are the risks of investing in WH?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 5.6): -1.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Is WH overvalued or undervalued?

Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.6 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about WH?

25 analysts cover WH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $98.

What does Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc. do?Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include,...

Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements include, without limitation, general economic conditions, including inflation, higher interest rates and potential recessionary pressures, which may impact decisions by consumers and businesses to use travel accommodations; global trade disputes, including with China; the performance of the financial and credit markets; the economic environment for the hospitality industry; operating risk...

Related stocks: IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group) · CHH (Choice Hotels International, In) · H (Hyatt Hotels Corporation) · AS (Amer Sports, Inc.) · PTRN (Pattern Group Inc. - Series A)
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