Skip to main content

H World Group Limited (HTHT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $45.97: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.2): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

H World Group Limited develops leased and owned, manachised, and franchised hotels in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hotels under its own brands, such as HanTing Hotel, Ni Hao Hotel, Hi Inn, Elan Hotel, Zleep Hotels, Ibis Hotel, JI Hotel, Orange Hotel,... Read more

$45.97+17.9% A.UpsideScore 6.6/10#2 of 8 Lodging
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield46.26%
IncomeYield4.63%Payout81.13%at-risk
Stop $43.09Target $54.18(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.6:1
Analyst target$60.20+31.0%16 analysts
$54.18our TP
$45.97price
$60.20mean
$43
$65

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $45.97: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.2): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 93d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — H World Group Limited

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.2): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)19.6
P/E (Fwd)14.6
Mkt Cap$14.0B
EV/EBITDA18.9
Profit Mgn19.3%
ROE46.4%
Rev Growth11.1%
Beta0.14
Dividend4.63%
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.56bullish
IV44%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 5.3<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.3>=4.5A.R:R 2.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 93d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
30 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $44.42Resistance $53.20

Price Targets

$43
$54
A.Upside+17.9%
A.R:R2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts21
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target$60

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-20 (93d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HTHT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $45.97: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.2): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $43.09. Score 6.6/10, high confidence.

What is the HTHT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $54.18 (+17.9% upside). Prior stop was $43.09. Stop-loss: $43.09.

What are the risks of investing in HTHT?

Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.2): -1.5.

Is HTHT overvalued or undervalued?

H World Group Limited trades at a P/E of 19.6 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HTHT?

21 analysts cover HTHT with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $60.

What does H World Group Limited do?H World Group Limited develops leased and owned, manachised, and franchised hotels in the People's Republic of China....

H World Group Limited develops leased and owned, manachised, and franchised hotels in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hotels under its own brands, such as HanTing Hotel, Ni Hao Hotel, Hi Inn, Elan Hotel, Zleep Hotels, Ibis Hotel, JI Hotel, Orange Hotel, Starway Hotel, Ibis Styles Hotel, CitiGO Hotel, Crystal Orange Hotel, IntercityHotel, Manxin Hotel, Mercure Hotel, Madison Hotel, Novotel Hotel, Joya Hotel, Blossom House, Steigenberger Hotels & Resorts, Jaz in the City, Grand Mercure, Steigenberger Icon, and Song Hotels. The company was formerly known as Huazhu Group Limited and changed its name to H World Group Limited in June 2022. H World Group Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Related stocks: ATAT (Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limite) · HLT (Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.) · MAR (Marriott International) · WH (Wyndham Hotels & Resorts, Inc.) · IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group)