H World Group Limited (HTHT) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the HTHT stock price target?

Take-profit $54.25 (+4.6% upside). Prior stop was $48.24.

Q: What are the risks of investing in HTHT?

Thin upside margin: 4.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Negative momentum; Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum; Reward/Risk 0.6:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum.

Q: Is HTHT overvalued or undervalued?

H World Group Limited trades at a P/E of 22.2 (forward 16.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about HTHT?

21 analysts cover HTHT with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $60.

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Sell if holding. At $51.77, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 4.6%.

$51.77+4.6% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#3 of 8 Lodging

Stop $48.24Target $54.25(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.6:1

Analyst target$60.28+16.4%16 analysts

$54.25our TP

$51.77price

$60.28mean

$43

$66

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 20d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

High-quality business

Risks

Thin upside margin: 4.6%

Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5

Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.2

P/E (Fwd)16.7

Mkt Cap$15.9B

EV/EBITDA22.3

Profit Mgn20.1%

ROE40.5%

Rev Growth8.3%

Beta0.15

Dividend4.07%

Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish

IV74%elevated

Max Pain$30-42.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.615%0.99

Quality7.115%1.06

Growth4.615%0.69

Momentum3.910%0.39

Sentiment7.310%0.73

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank5.510%0.55

Technical Setup7.05%0.35

Risk Profile4.15%0.20

Catalyst6.95%0.35

Overall (Σ contributions)5.81

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd

0.0

Volume

0.0

Ma Position

4.0

Rsi

5.5

Obv

10.0

Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Above 200-day MA

GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 0.6 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 20d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate

RSI

48 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.11Resistance $56.45

Price Targets

$48

$54

A.Upside+4.8%

A.R:R0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.9/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Reward/Risk 0.6:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-20 (20d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is HTHT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $51.77, A.R:R 0.6:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Thin upside margin: 4.6%. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $48.24. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HTHT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $54.25 (+4.6% upside). Prior stop was $48.24. Stop-loss: $48.24.

What are the risks of investing in HTHT?

Thin upside margin: 4.6%; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.8): -1.5; Negative momentum.

Is HTHT overvalued or undervalued?

H World Group Limited trades at a P/E of 22.2 (forward 16.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HTHT?

21 analysts cover HTHT with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $60.

What does H World Group Limited do?H World Group Limited develops leased and owned, manachised, and franchised hotels in the People's Republic of China....

H World Group Limited develops leased and owned, manachised, and franchised hotels in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hotels under its own brands, such as HanTing Hotel, Ni Hao Hotel, Hi Inn, Elan Hotel, Zleep Hotels, Ibis Hotel, JI Hotel, Orange Hotel, Starway Hotel, Ibis Styles Hotel, CitiGO Hotel, Crystal Orange Hotel, IntercityHotel, Manxin Hotel, Mercure Hotel, Madison Hotel, Novotel Hotel, Joya Hotel, Blossom House, Steigenberger Hotels & Resorts, Jaz in the City, Grand Mercure, Steigenberger Icon, and Song Hotels. The company was formerly known as Huazhu Group Limited and changed its name to H World Group Limited in June 2022. H World Group Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.