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Marriott International (MAR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $361.35 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away).

We are a worldwide franchisor, operator, and licensor of hotel, residential, timeshare, and other lodging properties under a portfolio of compelling brands at different price and service points. Consistent with our focus on franchising, management, and licensing, we own or lease... Read more

$361.35+3.0% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#7 of 8 Lodging
Stop $344.05Target $372.40(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$371.88+2.9%24 analysts
$372.40our TP
$361.35price
$371.88mean
$269
$443

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $361.35 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.8% away)
Earnings in 6 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)37.2
P/E (Fwd)27.1
Mkt Cap$93.8B
EV/EBITDA24.1
Profit Mgn37.3%
ROE
Rev Growth6.3%
Beta1.10
Dividend0.76%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$180-50.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-06Item 5.02MEDIUM
    MARRIOTT INTERNATIONAL, INC. | | | Date: February 6, 2026 | | | | By: | | /s/ Rena Hozore Reiss | | | | | | Rena Hozore Reiss | | | | | | Executive Vice President and General Counsel
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Ps
1.1
Pe
3.4
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.3
Forward Pe
4.6
Forward P/E: 27.1xPEG: 2.17

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.3
Revenue Growth
4.1

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.3
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $324.89Resistance $380.00

Price Targets

$344
$372
A.Upside+3.1%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-7.5% upside)
! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MAR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $361.35 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $344.05. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MAR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $372.40 (+3.0% upside). Prior stop was $344.05. Stop-loss: $344.05.

What are the risks of investing in MAR?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away); Earnings in 6 days (event risk).

Is MAR overvalued or undervalued?

Marriott International trades at a P/E of 37.2 (forward 27.1). TrendMatrix value score: 3.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MAR?

31 analysts cover MAR with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $372.

What does Marriott International do?We are a worldwide franchisor, operator, and licensor of hotel, residential, timeshare, and other lodging properties...

We are a worldwide franchisor, operator, and licensor of hotel, residential, timeshare, and other lodging properties under a portfolio of compelling brands at different price and service points. Consistent with our focus on franchising, management, and licensing, we own or lease very few of our lodging properties (less than one percent of our system).

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