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HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.Hold5.7·$350.22+0.90%
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Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (HLT) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Lodging

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $350.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away).

Hilton Worldwide Holdings operates 9,158 properties with 1,351,351 rooms across 143 countries through a management and franchise model spanning 22 brands from luxury (Waldorf Astoria) to economy (Spark by Hilton). The company earns management and franchise fees from third-party... Read more

$350.22-1.5% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#3 of 8 Lodging
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.13%
IncomeYield0.17%(5y avg 0.80%)Payout9.16%sustainable
Stop $334.14Target $345.04(resistance)A.R:R -1.0:1
Analyst target$347.33-0.8%24 analysts
$345.04our TP
$350.22price
$347.33mean
$260
$390

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $350.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 43d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 29, 202643d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.4% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)52.9
P/E (Fwd)33.3
Mkt Cap$79.0B
EV/EBITDA30.5
Profit Mgn30.4%
ROE
Rev Growth11.0%
Beta1.05
Dividend0.17%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV40%normal
Max Pain$105-70.0% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-18Item 5.02LOW
    Stockholders approved the Hilton Amended and Restated 2017 Omnibus Incentive Plan on May 14, 2026, authorizing an additional 846,000 shares and extending the plan term by 10 years to May 14, 2036. Compensatory arrangement only; no officer departure.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-05-05Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Christopher W. Silcock, President Global Brands & Commercial Services, announced planned retirement in Q1 2027. Laura Fuentes to become Chief Brand Officer; Chris Wilroy to join Executive Committee; external search launched for new Chief Technology Officer.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
2.4
Analyst Target
3.0
Forward Pe
3.3
Peg Ratio
4.8
Forward P/E: 33.3xPEG: 1.72Expensive valuation

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.5
Bollinger
1.0
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -1.0=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 7.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 43d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $312.85Resistance $352.08

Price Targets

$334
$345
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R-1.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-10.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (43d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HLT stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $350.22, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $345.04 (-1.5%), stop $334.14 (−4.8%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HLT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $345.04 (-1.5% upside). Target $345.04 (-1.5%), stop $334.14 (−4.8%), A.R:R -1.0:1. Stop-loss: $334.14.

What are the risks of investing in HLT?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.4% away); Expensive valuation.

Is HLT overvalued or undervalued?

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 52.9 (forward 33.3). TrendMatrix value score: 2.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HLT?

31 analysts cover HLT with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $347.

What does Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. do?Hilton Worldwide Holdings operates 9,158 properties with 1,351,351 rooms across 143 countries through a management and...

Hilton Worldwide Holdings operates 9,158 properties with 1,351,351 rooms across 143 countries through a management and franchise model spanning 22 brands from luxury (Waldorf Astoria) to economy (Spark by Hilton). The company earns management and franchise fees from third-party hotel owners plus direct room and food-and-beverage revenue from 46 owned/leased hotels, supplemented by licensing fees from Hilton Grand Vacations and co-branded credit card partners. Hilton Honors, with 243 million members, drives repeat bookings across the portfolio.

Related stocks: HTHT (H World Group Limited) · MAR (Marriott International) · IHG (Intercontinental Hotels Group) · H (Hyatt Hotels Corporation)
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