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Genuine Parts Company (GPC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $106.22: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Company is a leading global service provider of automotive and industrial replacement parts and value-added solutions. We serve our customers from more than 10,800 locations, primarily in North America, Europe, and Australasia (primarily Australia and New Zealand). We offer... Read more

$106.22+8.5% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#24 of 26 Auto Parts
Stop $99.82Target $115.21(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$132.43+24.7%7 analysts
$115.21our TP
$106.22price
$132.43mean
$145

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $106.22: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)234.7
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$14.4B
EV/EBITDA10.0
Profit Mgn0.2%
ROE1.3%
Rev Growth6.8%
Beta0.77
Dividend4.12%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.26bearish
IV42%normal
Max Pain$85-20.0% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 5.02MEDIUM
    On March 18, 2026, Naveen Krishna, the Executive Vice President, Chief Information & Digital Officer of Genuine Parts Company (the "Company"), notified the Company of his intent to resign from the Company to pursue other opportunities. Mr.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.9
Value Rank
3.2
Growth Rank
6.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
1.6
Revenue Growth
4.2

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Net Margin
0.1
Roe
0.4
Operating Margin
2.3
Roa
3.0
Gross Margin
3.5
Current Ratio
4.3
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesMomentum 1.3<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $102.28Resistance $116.77

Price Targets

$100
$115
A.Upside+8.5%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-21 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is GPC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $106.22: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.5/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: RSI 47 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $99.82. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the GPC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $115.21 (+8.5% upside). Prior stop was $99.82. Stop-loss: $99.82.

What are the risks of investing in GPC?

Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is GPC overvalued or undervalued?

Genuine Parts Company trades at a P/E of 234.7 (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about GPC?

18 analysts cover GPC with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $132.

What does Genuine Parts Company do?Company is a leading global service provider of automotive and industrial replacement parts and value-added solutions....

Company is a leading global service provider of automotive and industrial replacement parts and value-added solutions. We serve our customers from more than 10,800 locations, primarily in North America, Europe, and Australasia (primarily Australia and New Zealand). We offer outstanding service, an industry-leading assortment of replacement parts, extensive supply chain and distribution capabilities, and enhanced technology solutions.

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