Three consecutive earnings beats were followed by a miss in the most recent quarter, and while the business is the industry growth leader with 63% revenue growth year-over-year, free cash flow is negative, the stock is just below the analyst consensus target with only about 2% upside remaining, and the risk/reward ratio of 0.3-to-1 tilts firmly unfavorable — a setup that favors patience over new exposure.
Thesis pillars
- Thin Upside Unfavorable Risk Reward↓Deteriorating
- Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
- Earnings Streak Interrupted↑Improving
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Mar 27, 2026· older than 90 days
Dick's Sporting Goods Inc (DKS) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $147.65: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Dick's Sporting Goods operates DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Going Going Gone!, Public Lands, and Foot Locker banners (acquired September 2025) across the US and internationally, selling sports equipment, apparel, and footwear. Nike represents approximately 31% of... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $147.65: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 19d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated Nov 4, 2026Recent Developments — Dick's Sporting Goods Inc
Latest news
- NEWS DICK'S Sporting Goods Announces Multi-Year Partnership with Caitlin Clark — fiscal.ai Nov 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS DICK'S Sporting Goods plunges 31% after earnings miss (DKS:NYSE) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha Aug 25, 2026 negative
- NEWS Dick's Sporting Goods stock plunges as retailer warns athleticwear demand is weakening - Fox Business — Fox Business Aug 25, 2026 negative
- NEWS Why Dick's (DKS) Shares Are Plunging Today - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance Aug 25, 2026 negative
- NEWS Why Is Dick’s Sporting Goods (NYSE:DKS) Stock Crashing Today? DKS Plunges 28% in Worst Day Ever - Stocks Down Under — Stocks Down Under Aug 25, 2026 negative
Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:07Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMSupplierNike10-K Item 1: 'Nike, our largest vendor, representing approximately 31% of our consolidated merchandise purchases'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
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Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $147.65: Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.7/10. Specifically: High short interest: 24%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 57. Prior stop was $137.31. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target $144.75 reached (−2.0% from $147.65); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $137.31. Stop-loss: $137.31.
Target reached (-2.0% upside); Quality below floor (4.0 < 4.0).
Dick's Sporting Goods Inc trades at a P/E of 16.0 (forward 11.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
32 analysts rate DKS, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 23 analysts publish price targets averaging $161.
What does Dick's Sporting Goods Inc do?Dick's Sporting Goods operates DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Going Going Gone!, Public Lands, and Foot Locker...
Dick's Sporting Goods operates DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, Going Going Gone!, Public Lands, and Foot Locker banners (acquired September 2025) across the US and internationally, selling sports equipment, apparel, and footwear. Nike represents approximately 31% of consolidated merchandise purchases; no other vendor exceeded 10%. The ScoreCard loyalty program's 30 million members account for over 75% of DICK'S Business sales.