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Dick's Sporting Goods Inc (DKS) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $216.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Nike (31.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.

Dick's Sporting Goods operates specialty retail across two segments: the DICK'S Business (DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, House of Sport, and others) and Foot Locker Business (acquired September 2025), with stores across North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia. Nike is... Read more

$216.48+5.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#11 of 18 Specialty Retail
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-3.01%
IncomeYield2.31%(5y avg 1.99%)Payout48.65%sustainable
Stop $205.78Target $227.51(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$238.77+10.3%22 analysts
$227.51our TP
$216.48price
$238.77mean
$167
$300

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $216.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Nike (31.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Dick's Sporting Goods Inc

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.67)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Nike (31.0%)
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.7
P/E (Fwd)13.4
Mkt Cap$19.4B
EV/EBITDA13.0
Profit Mgn4.9%
ROE19.4%
Rev Growth59.9%
Beta1.24
Dividend2.31%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierNike31%
    10-K Item 1: 'Nike, our largest vendor, representing approximately 31% of our consolidated merchandise purchases within the DICK'S and Foot Locker Businesses.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.5
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.0<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 10d<=14d (soft)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
41 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $212.14Resistance $232.15

Price Targets

$206
$228
A.Upside+5.1%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Momentum score 3.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-27 (10d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DKS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $216.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Supplier: Nike (31.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $227.51 (+5.1%), stop $205.78 (−5.2%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the DKS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $227.51 (+5.1% upside). Target $227.51 (+5.1%), stop $205.78 (−5.2%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $205.78.

What are the risks of investing in DKS?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Nike (31.0%); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.2).

Is DKS overvalued or undervalued?

Dick's Sporting Goods Inc trades at a P/E of 21.7 (forward 13.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about DKS?

31 analysts cover DKS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $239.

What does Dick's Sporting Goods Inc do?Dick's Sporting Goods operates specialty retail across two segments: the DICK'S Business (DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf...

Dick's Sporting Goods operates specialty retail across two segments: the DICK'S Business (DICK'S Sporting Goods, Golf Galaxy, House of Sport, and others) and Foot Locker Business (acquired September 2025), with stores across North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia. Nike is the largest merchandise vendor at ~31% of consolidated purchases; digital channels fulfilled 80%+ of online U.S. sales.

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