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Dick's Sporting Goods Inc (DKS) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $225.64 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (5.0% away).

Dick's Sporting Goods operates ~2,151 U.S. and 8 Canadian company stores under DICK'S, Golf Galaxy, and other banners; it acquired Foot Locker in fiscal 2025, adding global Foot Locker, Kids Foot Locker, and Champs Sports locations across North America, Europe, Asia, and... Read more

$225.64+0.9% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#11 of 18 Specialty Retail
Stop $211.77Target $227.51(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$238.77+5.8%22 analysts
$227.51our TP
$225.64price
$238.77mean
$167
$300

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $225.64 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (5.0% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 27d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (5.0% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)22.1
P/E (Fwd)13.6
Mkt Cap$19.8B
EV/EBITDA13.1
Profit Mgn4.9%
ROE19.4%
Rev Growth59.9%
Beta1.24
Dividend2.27%
Rating analysts30

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.13bearish
IV45%normal
Max Pain$135-40.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWProductvertical brand products13%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our vertical brand products represent approximately 13% of our overall sales within the DICK'S Business'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
3.0
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 27d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $186.77Resistance $232.15

Price Targets

$212
$228
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.7% upside)
! Momentum score 3.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-27 (27d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is DKS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $225.64 — A.R:R is negative (-0.3) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (5.0% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $211.77. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the DKS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $227.51 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $211.77. Stop-loss: $211.77.

What are the risks of investing in DKS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (5.0% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

Is DKS overvalued or undervalued?

Dick's Sporting Goods Inc trades at a P/E of 22.1 (forward 13.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about DKS?

30 analysts cover DKS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $239.

What does Dick's Sporting Goods Inc do?Dick's Sporting Goods operates ~2,151 U.S. and 8 Canadian company stores under DICK'S, Golf Galaxy, and other banners;...

Dick's Sporting Goods operates ~2,151 U.S. and 8 Canadian company stores under DICK'S, Golf Galaxy, and other banners; it acquired Foot Locker in fiscal 2025, adding global Foot Locker, Kids Foot Locker, and Champs Sports locations across North America, Europe, Asia, and Australia. Revenue comes from retail sales of sporting goods, footwear, and apparel through two reportable segments: DICK'S and Foot Locker.

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