GCO screens reasonably valued (12.5x forward P/E) with strong cash conversion, but has already run roughly 3.9% past its analyst target and sits just under the $400M investable-universe cutoff, leaving limited near-term asymmetric upside despite a solid recent earnings-beat record.
Thesis pillars
- Strong Cash Conversion—
- Modest Forward Valuation—
- Mixed Obv Signal Above Trend—
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Genesco Inc. (GCO) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $39.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.
Genesco Inc., incorporated in 1934 in the State of Tennessee, is a leading retailer and wholesaler of branded footwear, apparel and accessories with net sales for Fiscal 2026 of $2.4 billion. During Fiscal 2026, we operated four reportable business segments (not including... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $39.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-06-29Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On June 29, 2026, Genesco Inc.SEC filing →
- 2026-05-05Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. On May 5, 2026, Genesco Inc. (the "Company") announced the appointment of Ashley Randolph as Chief Accounting Officer and principal accounting officer.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $39.47 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 62, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $36.71. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $45.39 (-13.1% upside). Prior stop was $36.71. Stop-loss: $36.71.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.
Genesco Inc. trades at a P/E of 21.1 (forward 13.8). TrendMatrix value score: 7.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
8 analysts cover GCO with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $40.
What does Genesco Inc. do?Genesco Inc., incorporated in 1934 in the State of Tennessee, is a leading retailer and wholesaler of branded footwear,...
Genesco Inc., incorporated in 1934 in the State of Tennessee, is a leading retailer and wholesaler of branded footwear, apparel and accessories with net sales for Fiscal 2026 of $2.4 billion. During Fiscal 2026, we operated four reportable business segments (not including corporate): (i) Journeys Group, comprised of the Journeys®, Journeys Kidz® and Little Burgundy® retail footwear chains and e-commerce operations; (ii) Schuh Group, comprised of the Schuh retail footwear chain and e-commerce ...