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SHOEShoe Station Group, Inc.Sell5.5·$15.12+0.13%
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Shoe Station Group, Inc. (SHOE) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $15.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors.

Shoe Station Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. It offers various products, including dress and casual shoes, sandals, boots, and athletic shoes; and non-athletics for men's, women's and children's shoes, as... Read more

$15.12+23.9% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#11 of 16 Apparel Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield11.73%
IncomeYield4.24%(5y avg 1.76%)Payout45.93%sustainable
Stop $14.35Target $18.70(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$22.00+45.5%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $15.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 61d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: speculative.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Sep 3, 202661d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 24%
Risks
Negative momentum
Elevated risk factors
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.2
P/E (Fwd)8.2
Mkt Cap$410M
EV/EBITDA6.8
Profit Mgn3.3%
ROE5.6%
Rev Growth-2.5%
Beta1.42
Dividend4.24%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.40bearish
IV66%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Macd
1.8
Volume
2.4
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 27, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.8%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
1.9
Value Rank
7.7
GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 61d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Speculative
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $14.79Resistance $17.74

Price Targets

$14
$19
A.Upside+23.7%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 1.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-09-03 (61d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SHOE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $15.12 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 27, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $14.35. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SHOE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $18.70 (+23.9% upside). Prior stop was $14.35. Stop-loss: $14.35.

What are the risks of investing in SHOE?

Negative momentum; Elevated risk factors; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is SHOE overvalued or undervalued?

Shoe Station Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.2 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SHOE?

9 analysts cover SHOE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Shoe Station Group, Inc. do?Shoe Station Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States....

Shoe Station Group Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a family footwear retailer in the United States. It offers various products, including dress and casual shoes, sandals, boots, and athletic shoes; and non-athletics for men's, women's and children's shoes, as well as accessories. The company also operates stores. It sells its products through www.shoecarnival.com and www.shoestation.com, as well as through related mobile app. The company was formerly known as Shoe Carnival, Inc. and changed its name to Shoe Station Group Inc. in June 2026. Shoe Station Group Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Fort Mill, South Carolina.

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