Fortinet, Inc. (FTNT) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Sell if holding. At $82.93, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Taiwan (87.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC.
Fortinet provides cybersecurity through its integrated Security Fabric platform spanning secure networking, unified SASE, and AI-driven SecOps, serving customers in 100+ countries. In 2025, it generated .80 billion in revenue and .85 billion net income, selling primarily through... Read more
Sell if holding. At $82.93, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Taiwan (87.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, positive momentum, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicTaiwan87%10-K Item 1A: 'Approximately 87% of our hardware is manufactured in Taiwan'
- HIGHSupplierTSMC10-K Item 1A: 'foundries in Taiwan and Japan operated by either Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited ("TSMC") or by the contract manufacturer itself'
- MEDIUMCustomersmall number of distributors10-K Item 1A: 'a small number of distributors represents a large percentage of our revenue and accounts receivable'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $82.93, A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Taiwan (87.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 64. Prior stop was $77.27. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $85.89 (+3.7% upside). Prior stop was $77.27. Stop-loss: $77.27.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Taiwan (87.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: TSMC; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Fortinet, Inc. trades at a P/E of 35.6 (forward 26.0). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
51 analysts cover FTNT with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $89.
What does Fortinet, Inc. do?Fortinet provides cybersecurity through its integrated Security Fabric platform spanning secure networking, unified...
Fortinet provides cybersecurity through its integrated Security Fabric platform spanning secure networking, unified SASE, and AI-driven SecOps, serving customers in 100+ countries. In 2025, it generated .80 billion in revenue and .85 billion net income, selling primarily through a two-tier distribution model.