Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge
Technology · Software - Infrastructure
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $132.55 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (74.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: government segment (54.0%).
Palantir Technologies builds enterprise software platforms — Gotham for defense and intelligence, Foundry for commercial data operations, Apollo for continuous delivery, and AIP for generative AI — serving 954 customers in 2025. The company generated $4.5 billion in revenue in... Read more
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $132.55 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (74.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: government segment (54.0%). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 48d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
About Palantir Technologies Inc.
About Palantir Technologies Inc.
Palantir Technologies generated $4.5 billion in revenue in 2025, with the government segment contributing 54% and the commercial segment 46%; 74% of total revenue came from U.S. customers and 26% from customers abroad. The company held 954 customers as of December 31, 2025, served by four core platforms: Gotham for defense and intelligence operations, Foundry for commercial data management and workflow development, Apollo for continuous software delivery across cloud and on-premises environments, and AIP for generative AI agent deployment. Palantir employed 4,429 full-time employees globally as of December 31, 2025.
Palantir earns revenue through multi-year software contracts — typically one to five years — with government and commercial institutions that expand platform usage over time. The top twenty customers averaged $93.9 million in trailing-twelve-month revenue as of December 31, 2025, up from $64.6 million a year earlier. Total remaining deal value stood at $11.2 billion as of December 31, 2025, split between $6.8 billion in commercial and $4.4 billion in government contracts. Customer acquisition relies on a direct sales force reinforced by AIP bootcamps — short programs that deliver working workflows on actual customer data within days — as well as cloud partnerships with major providers. Revenue is seasonally weighted toward the third and fourth quarters, influenced by U.S. government customers' September 30 fiscal year-end and commercial customers' December 31 budget cycles. The company competes primarily against customers' internal software development efforts, as well as large enterprise software companies, government contractors, and system integrators.
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U.S. federal government contracts — representing a portion of the $4.4 billion in government remaining deal value — carry termination-for-convenience provisions, and by law the government may not exercise contract options more than one year in advance. The top three customers accounted for 16% of 2025 revenue, and the 10-K warns that losing or delaying one large government contract could adversely affect results for the affected quarter and future periods. The company's 74% U.S. revenue concentration also subjects the business to federal budget cycles, continuing-resolution risk, and export-control regulations that may restrict certain international deployments.
See also: Technology · Software - Infrastructure
From Palantir Technologies Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.
Recent developments
updated 2026-06-17Recent Developments — Palantir Technologies Inc.
Latest news
- NEWS Why Palantir Stock Is Sinking Today - The Motley Fool — The Motley Fool negative
- NEWS Should Palantir Stock Be in Your Portfolio Before Q1 Earnings? - Zacks Investment Research — Zacks Investment Research neutral
- NEWS VTI is down 0.3% today, on PLTR stock price movement - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative negative
- NEWS Palantir Technologies Stock (PLTR) Opinions on FAA AI Contract Competition - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative neutral
- NEWS Palantir Has Become A Buy Ahead Of Earnings (Preview, Upgrade) (NASDAQ:PLTR) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha positive
Generated 2026-06-17T09:02:27Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicUnited States74%10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, we earned 74% of our revenue from customers in the United States, and 26% from those abroad.'
- HIGHCustomergovernment segment54%10-K Item 1: '54% came from customers in the government segment, and 46% came from customers in the commercial segment'
- LOWCustomertop three customers16%10-K Item 1A: 'Our top three customers together accounted for 16% and 17% of our revenue for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Momentum 2.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $132.55 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (74.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: government segment (54.0%). Chart setup: RSI 51 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $123.92. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $164.48 (+23.4% upside). Prior stop was $123.92. Stop-loss: $123.92.
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (74.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: government segment (54.0%); Leverage penalty (D/E 2.5): -1.5.
Palantir Technologies Inc. trades at a P/E of 149.7 (forward 64.8). TrendMatrix value score: 2.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
38 analysts cover PLTR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $183.
What does Palantir Technologies Inc. do?Palantir Technologies builds enterprise software platforms — Gotham for defense and intelligence, Foundry for...
Palantir Technologies builds enterprise software platforms — Gotham for defense and intelligence, Foundry for commercial data operations, Apollo for continuous delivery, and AIP for generative AI — serving 954 customers in 2025. The company generated $4.5 billion in revenue in 2025, with 54% from the government segment and 74% from U.S. customers.