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Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Stock Analysis

Temp Headwind edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $139.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5; Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Palantir Technologies builds data integration and AI software platforms — Gotham (defense/intelligence), Foundry (enterprise operations), AIP (generative AI), and Apollo (continuous delivery) — for government and commercial customers globally. Revenue is recognized over... Read more

$139.09+19.4% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#21 of 80 Software - Infrastructure
Stop $129.29Target $166.02(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$184.47+32.6%25 analysts
$166.02our TP
$139.09price
$184.47mean
$70
$255

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $139.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5; Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5
Earnings in 4 days (event risk)
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)219.0
P/E (Fwd)74.0
Mkt Cap$330.7B
EV/EBITDA224.4
Profit Mgn36.3%
ROE26.0%
Rev Growth70.0%
Beta1.67
DividendNone
Rating analysts36

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.39bearish
IV73%elevated
Max Pain$50-64.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomertop three customers16%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our top three customers together accounted for 16% and 17% of our revenue for the years ended December 31, 2025 and 2024, respectively.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.2
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.8
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 1.6<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dA.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
62 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $122.68Resistance $156.28

Price Targets

$129
$166
A.Upside+19.4%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:4d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PLTR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.6/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $139.09 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5; Earnings in 4 days (event risk). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $129.29. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PLTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $166.02 (+19.4% upside). Prior stop was $129.29. Stop-loss: $129.29.

What are the risks of investing in PLTR?

Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5; Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Negative momentum.

Is PLTR overvalued or undervalued?

Palantir Technologies Inc. trades at a P/E of 219.0 (forward 74.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PLTR?

36 analysts cover PLTR with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $184.

What does Palantir Technologies Inc. do?Palantir Technologies builds data integration and AI software platforms — Gotham (defense/intelligence), Foundry...

Palantir Technologies builds data integration and AI software platforms — Gotham (defense/intelligence), Foundry (enterprise operations), AIP (generative AI), and Apollo (continuous delivery) — for government and commercial customers globally. Revenue is recognized over multi-year contracts, with total remaining deal value of $11.2 billion as of December 31, 2025.

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