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Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $134.84 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (74.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: government segment (54.0%).

Palantir Technologies builds data integration and AI software platforms—Gotham, Foundry, Apollo, and AIP—used by government agencies and commercial enterprises to operationalize data and AI-driven decisions at scale. Generated $4.5 billion in revenue in 2025, with 54% from... Read more

$134.84+22.3% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#18 of 78 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield0.54%
Stop $125.79Target $165.36(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.7:1
Analyst target$183.73+36.3%27 analysts
$165.36our TP
$134.84price
$183.73mean
$70
$255

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $134.84 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (74.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: government segment (54.0%). Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Val2.7Qual8.8Grw10.0Mom3.5Sent7.9Ins3.4Peer6.1Tech5.7Risk5.46.3OVERALL

Recent Developments — Palantir Technologies Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.8 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (74.0%)
Concentration risk — Customer: government segment (54.0%)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)151.8
P/E (Fwd)65.5
Mkt Cap$324.0B
EV/EBITDA156.7
Profit Mgn43.7%
ROE32.6%
Rev Growth84.7%
Beta1.52
DividendNone
Rating analysts38

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C1.06bearish
IV58%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicUnited States74%
    10-K Item 1: 'In 2025, we earned 74% of our revenue from customers in the United States, and 26% from those abroad'
  • HIGHCustomergovernment segment54%
    10-K Item 1: '54% came from customers in the government segment, and 46% came from customers in the commercial segment'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·2 ceiling hits

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Pe
0.0
Forward Pe
1.6
Peg Ratio
4.5
Analyst Target
7.5
Forward P/E: 65.5xPEG: 2.05Expensive valuation

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.2
Volume
1.2
Ma Position
1.5
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope flat
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $128.75Resistance $152.68

Price Targets

$126
$165
A.Upside+22.6%
A.R:R2.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is PLTR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 3.5/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $134.84 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (74.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: government segment (54.0%). Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $125.79. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the PLTR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $165.36 (+22.3% upside). Prior stop was $125.79. Stop-loss: $125.79.

What are the risks of investing in PLTR?

Concentration risk — Geographic: United States (74.0%); Concentration risk — Customer: government segment (54.0%); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is PLTR overvalued or undervalued?

Palantir Technologies Inc. trades at a P/E of 151.8 (forward 65.5). TrendMatrix value score: 2.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about PLTR?

38 analysts cover PLTR with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $184.

What does Palantir Technologies Inc. do?Palantir Technologies builds data integration and AI software platforms—Gotham, Foundry, Apollo, and AIP—used by...

Palantir Technologies builds data integration and AI software platforms—Gotham, Foundry, Apollo, and AIP—used by government agencies and commercial enterprises to operationalize data and AI-driven decisions at scale. Generated $4.5 billion in revenue in 2025, with 54% from government customers and 74% from U.S. customers across 954 total customers.

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