JFrog Ltd. (FROG) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the FROG stock price target?

Take-profit $61.02 (+34.8% upside). Target $61.02 (+35.3%), stop $42.09 (−7.1%), A.R:R 3.4:1.

Q: Is FROG overvalued or undervalued?

JFrog Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 42.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

Q: What do analysts say about FROG?

29 analysts cover FROG with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $68.

Recovery setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Technology · Software - Application

Earnings in 7 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: JFrog Artifactory; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5.

JFrog provides a unified software supply chain platform covering DevOps, DevSecOps, DevGovOps, and AI/MLOps workflows, serving the majority of the Fortune 500 as a system of record for software development. Revenue of $531.8 million in 2025 (24% growth) comes from self-managed... Read more

$45.09+34.8% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#19 of 96 Software - Application

Stop $42.09Target $61.02(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 3.4:1

Analyst target$67.80+50.4%20 analysts

$61.02our TP

$45.09price

$67.80mean

$80

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: JFrog Artifactory; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 7d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)

Strong growth profile

Analyst upside: 35%

Risks

Concentration risk — Product: JFrog Artifactory

Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5

Earnings in 7 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)42.2

Mkt Cap$5.6B

EV/EBITDA-79.4

Profit Mgn-13.5%

ROE-8.6%

Rev Growth25.2%

Beta1.14

DividendNone

Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.84neutral

IV101%elevated

Max Pain$23-50.1% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

HIGHProductJFrog Artifactory
10-K Item 1A: 'JFrog Artifactory is at the center of our platform and all subscriptions'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.615%0.84

Quality4.815%0.72

Growth9.415%1.41

Momentum5.210%0.52

Sentiment7.810%0.78

Insider Activity5.210%0.52

Peer Rank4.210%0.42

Technical Setup4.95%0.25

Risk Profile4.75%0.24

Catalyst7.65%0.38

Overall (Σ contributions)6.07

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 7d<=7dMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate

RSI

56 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $41.10Resistance $52.00

Price Targets

$42

$61

A.Upside+35.3%

A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:7d<=7d

Earnings

4/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-07 (7d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is FROG stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $45.09, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Concentration risk — Product: JFrog Artifactory; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 56. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. Target $61.02 (+35.3%), stop $42.09 (−7.1%), A.R:R 3.4:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the FROG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.02 (+34.8% upside). Target $61.02 (+35.3%), stop $42.09 (−7.1%), A.R:R 3.4:1. Stop-loss: $42.09.

What are the risks of investing in FROG?

Concentration risk — Product: JFrog Artifactory; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.4): -0.5; Earnings in 7 days (event risk).

Is FROG overvalued or undervalued?

JFrog Ltd. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 42.2). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about FROG?

29 analysts cover FROG with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $68.

What does JFrog Ltd. do?JFrog provides a unified software supply chain platform covering DevOps, DevSecOps, DevGovOps, and AI/MLOps workflows,...